玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1058.210.0-7.37619.761.31168.29N/A-
2024/958.2112.24-14.07561.552.31167.350.62-
2024/851.87-9.43-18.18503.344.62171.560.61-
2024/757.27-8.26-1.2451.478.08188.240.55-
2024/662.43-8.928.14394.219.57198.80.54-
2024/568.541.0415.4331.789.85199.460.54-
2024/467.837.530.31263.248.49193.590.55-
2024/363.080.64-7.91195.4111.65195.410.58-
2024/262.68-10.016.7132.3224.23191.550.6-
2024/169.6517.5931.8969.6531.89192.690.59-
2023/1259.23-7.199.37734.75-12.17185.890.56-
2023/1163.821.5520.12675.52-13.66194.410.54-
2023/1062.84-7.24-2.4611.7-16.12193.980.54-
2023/967.756.87-0.08548.86-17.45189.110.56-
2023/863.399.36-8.65481.11-19.42179.080.59-
2023/757.960.41-12.94417.72-20.84175.090.6-
2023/657.73-2.8-13.79359.76-21.98184.740.58-
2023/559.4-12.15-27.02302.03-23.37195.520.54-
2023/467.62-1.29-16.84242.63-22.43189.830.56-
2023/368.5127.56-13.21175.02-24.39175.020.62-
2023/253.71.7-29.54106.51-30.17160.660.68-
2023/152.81-2.48-30.852.81-30.8160.080.68-
2022/1254.151.92-34.27836.6-7.09171.670.58-
2022/1153.13-17.49-33.68782.45-4.35185.330.54-
2022/1064.39-5.04-15.41729.32-1.17201.590.49-
2022/967.81-2.28-14.93664.940.46203.790.59-
2022/869.394.22-12.88597.132.57202.940.59-
2022/766.58-0.57-21.33527.735.02214.940.56-
2022/666.97-17.72-21.29461.1510.36229.670.64-
2022/581.390.097.7394.1918.46241.640.6-
2022/481.313.015.49312.7921.62236.470.62-
2022/378.943.5517.24231.4823.93231.480.55-
2022/276.23-0.1233.29152.5427.7234.930.55-
2022/176.32-7.3622.5776.3222.57238.820.54-
2021/1282.392.8354.83900.4662.55238.620.59營收成長係因銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/1180.115.2443.96818.0863.37235.950.6營收成長係因銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/1076.12-4.5141.57737.9765.79235.490.6銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/979.720.0762.38661.8569.12244.010.65銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/879.66-5.8966.6582.1370.09249.390.63銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/784.64-0.52107.48502.4770.65245.30.65銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/685.0912.5995.84417.8364.73231.060.55銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/575.577.3380.19332.7458.3213.30.59銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/470.44.5668.73257.1852.84194.920.65銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/367.3317.7327.32186.7747.61186.770.57-
2021/257.19-8.1457.79119.4562.17172.650.62110年2月銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2021/162.2617.0166.4162.2666.41171.110.62110年1月銷售量及售價皆明顯較去年同期提升所致
2020/1253.21-4.384.73553.95-7.18162.620.52-
2020/1155.653.4927.64500.75-8.29158.50.54-
2020/1053.779.5217.9445.1-11.41150.670.57-
2020/949.092.67-1.64391.33-14.33137.70.57-
2020/847.8117.2-8.74342.24-15.89132.050.6-
2020/740.79-6.1-23.96294.43-16.95126.180.62-
2020/643.453.59-1.81253.64-15.7127.110.58-
2020/541.940.5-20.85210.19-18.09136.540.54-
2020/441.72-21.09-19.66168.26-17.37130.840.56-
2020/352.8845.9-5.38126.53-16.59126.530.66-
2020/236.24-3.13-28.0173.65-23.13124.460.67-
2020/137.41-26.35-17.7237.41-17.72131.810.63-
2019/1250.816.54-0.05596.84-18.940.0N/A-
2019/1143.59-4.4-15.41546.04-20.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/169.652023/152.812022/176.322021/162.262020/137.41
2024/262.682023/253.72022/276.232021/257.192020/236.24
2024/363.082023/368.512022/378.942021/367.332020/352.88
2024/467.832023/467.622022/481.312021/470.42020/441.72
2024/568.542023/559.42022/581.392021/575.572020/541.94
2024/662.432023/657.732022/666.972021/685.092020/643.45
2024/757.272023/757.962022/766.582021/784.642020/740.79
2024/851.872023/863.392022/869.392021/879.662020/847.81
2024/958.212023/967.752022/967.812021/979.722020/949.09
2024/1058.212023/1062.842022/1064.392021/1076.122020/1053.77
N/AN/A2023/1163.822022/1153.132021/1180.112020/1155.65
N/AN/A2023/1259.232022/1254.152021/1282.392020/1253.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.6434.58-1.59
24Q2 (19)6.42-44.27-40.06
24Q1 (18)11.52-37.297.76
23Q4 (17)18.37109.2337.4
23Q3 (16)8.78-18.02-40.8
23Q2 (15)10.710.19-26.44
23Q1 (14)10.69-20.04-60.26
22Q4 (13)13.37-9.84-56.34
22Q3 (12)14.831.85-39.22
22Q2 (11)14.56-45.87-36.78
22Q1 (10)26.9-12.1536.34
21Q4 (9)30.6225.4944.43
21Q3 (8)24.45.95101.82
21Q2 (7)23.0316.73165.94
21Q1 (6)19.73-6.9341.03
20Q4 (5)21.275.35117.88
20Q3 (4)12.0939.610.0
20Q2 (3)8.66-38.10.0
20Q1 (2)13.9943.780.0
19Q4 (1)9.730.00.0

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