玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.6240.1616.4940.24.6112.2N/A-
2024/93.3-22.83-3.8935.583.2412.390.89-
2024/84.27-11.194.9532.284.0312.380.89-
2024/74.8146.0716.5828.013.8912.540.88-
2024/63.3-25.57-17.9423.191.611.990.78-
2024/54.433.72.9819.95.7712.490.75-
2024/44.2712.6113.9315.476.5911.240.83-
2024/33.7919.11-9.8611.24.0411.20.81-
2024/23.18-24.7-6.027.4112.9611.30.8-
2024/14.238.5233.254.2333.2511.920.76-
2023/123.892.44-8.2446.13-15.0811.670.87-
2023/113.8-4.2-8.1342.23-15.6611.20.9-
2023/103.9715.63-9.5238.43-16.3411.470.88-
2023/93.43-15.72-1.3734.46-17.0611.630.85-
2023/84.07-1.36-14.5631.03-18.512.220.81-
2023/74.132.81-15.4826.96-19.0612.440.79-
2023/64.02-6.6-12.2922.83-19.6812.060.78-
2023/54.314.72-12.0418.81-21.0912.250.77-
2023/43.75-10.9-14.5314.51-23.4311.340.83-
2023/34.2124.18-18.5810.77-26.1110.770.96-
2023/23.396.77-25.376.56-30.2410.80.95-
2023/13.17-25.27-34.793.17-34.7911.560.89-
2022/124.242.56-17.0454.32-1.612.770.84-
2022/114.14-5.64-19.6750.08-0.0212.00.89-
2022/104.3926.04-14.8645.942.2212.630.85-
2022/93.48-27.0-17.1441.554.4313.130.98-
2022/84.77-2.4113.2338.076.9814.230.91-
2022/74.896.77.0133.316.1414.350.9-
2022/64.58-6.337.228.425.9913.851.03-
2022/54.8911.48-0.5123.845.7614.440.99-
2022/44.38-15.13-1.6718.957.5114.091.01-
2022/35.1713.842.7814.5710.6314.570.98-
2022/24.54-6.714.589.415.4714.520.99-
2022/14.86-4.9316.324.8616.3215.130.95-
2021/125.12-0.680.2555.2112.7715.420.84-
2021/115.150.024.9150.0914.2314.50.89-
2021/105.1522.660.544.9413.1213.560.95-
2021/94.2-0.230.1539.7914.9912.981.04-
2021/84.21-7.78-13.3135.5917.0313.051.04-
2021/74.576.891.1831.3822.813.750.98-
2021/64.27-13.0811.6726.8127.4313.640.97-
2021/54.9110.1877.4622.5430.9414.40.92因疫情因素,致使109年5月營收驟降。
2021/44.46-11.2859.8417.6322.0213.450.98因疫情因素,致使109年4月營收驟降。
2021/35.0326.9126.4213.1712.9713.170.87-
2021/23.96-5.281.588.146.0113.250.87-
2021/14.18-18.0710.584.1810.5813.410.86-
2020/125.123.756.6448.96-6.8714.360.67-
2020/114.12-19.54-6.4143.85-8.2213.440.71-
2020/105.1322.2416.9239.73-8.414.180.67-
2020/94.19-13.65-7.1434.6-11.2513.560.66-
2020/84.867.641.1730.41-11.7913.190.68-
2020/74.5117.970.8425.55-13.8911.10.8-
2020/63.8238.11-17.9121.04-16.519.381.05-
2020/52.77-0.75-38.917.22-16.199.531.03-
2020/42.79-29.83-26.2614.45-9.7610.670.92-
2020/33.981.98-11.1211.66-4.6611.660.9-
2020/23.93.110.287.68-0.9312.470.84-
2020/13.78-20.98-10.333.78-10.3312.980.81-
2019/124.798.595.652.570.390.0N/A-
2019/114.410.522.6947.78-0.090.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.232023/13.172022/14.862021/14.182020/13.78
2024/23.182023/23.392022/24.542021/23.962020/23.9
2024/33.792023/34.212022/35.172021/35.032020/33.98
2024/44.272023/43.752022/44.382021/44.462020/42.79
2024/54.432023/54.32022/54.892021/54.912020/52.77
2024/63.32023/64.022022/64.582021/64.272020/63.82
2024/74.812023/74.132022/74.892021/74.572020/74.51
2024/84.272023/84.072022/84.772021/84.212020/84.86
2024/93.32023/93.432022/93.482021/94.22020/94.19
2024/104.622023/103.972022/104.392021/105.152020/105.13
N/AN/A2023/113.82022/114.142021/115.152020/114.12
N/AN/A2023/123.892022/124.242021/125.122020/125.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.7917.9154.9
24Q2 (19)0.6715.5213.56
24Q1 (18)0.58-20.55-14.71
23Q4 (17)0.7343.14-1.35
23Q3 (16)0.51-13.56-20.31
23Q2 (15)0.59-13.24-19.18
23Q1 (14)0.68-8.11-20.93
22Q4 (13)0.7415.62-6.33
22Q3 (12)0.64-12.33-39.05
22Q2 (11)0.73-15.12-21.51
22Q1 (10)0.868.86-5.49
21Q4 (9)0.79-24.76-12.22
21Q3 (8)1.0512.928.05
21Q2 (7)0.932.282.35
21Q1 (6)0.911.11145.95
20Q4 (5)0.99.7691.49
20Q3 (4)0.8260.780.0
20Q2 (3)0.5137.840.0
20Q1 (2)0.37-21.280.0
19Q4 (1)0.470.00.0

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