玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.9317.2921.1428.7421.738.09N/A-
2024/102.5-6.384.0225.8121.87.76N/A-
2024/92.672.626.5823.3224.077.930.84-
2024/82.6-2.347.9620.6526.768.080.82-
2024/72.66-5.7436.6418.0530.028.280.8-
2024/62.820.7945.5115.3928.948.130.78-
2024/52.811.5239.8912.5725.728.20.77-
2024/42.51-13.1921.69.7722.177.190.88-
2024/32.8962.2731.967.2622.377.260.77-
2024/21.78-30.9-21.834.3616.756.680.84-
2024/12.5811.3877.192.5877.197.310.76去年同期1月適逢農曆春節假期,工作天數少,致本年1月營收增加。
2023/122.32-4.150.2325.92-14.737.130.74-
2023/112.420.7216.3323.61-15.967.320.72-
2023/102.4-4.08-0.5621.19-18.547.310.72-
2023/92.53.952.3118.79-20.386.860.76-
2023/82.4123.59-3.4216.29-23.06.290.82-
2023/71.950.37-29.6913.88-25.625.890.88-
2023/61.94-3.09-27.3611.94-24.916.010.84-
2023/52.0-3.05-18.8310.0-24.416.260.81-
2023/42.06-5.8-26.67.99-25.696.540.77-
2023/32.19-3.88-23.245.93-25.375.930.91-
2023/22.2856.6316.793.74-26.576.050.89-
2023/11.46-36.99-53.571.46-53.575.840.921月適逢農曆春節假期,工作天數少,致營收較去年減少。
2022/122.3111.23-16.8130.4-10.516.80.78-
2022/112.08-13.91-30.8328.09-9.946.940.76-
2022/102.41-1.3-8.1626.02-7.727.350.72-
2022/92.45-1.88-7.823.6-7.687.710.78-
2022/82.49-10.02-9.0621.16-7.667.930.76-
2022/72.773.7-4.3118.67-7.477.910.76-
2022/62.678.28-5.9215.9-8.07.950.95-
2022/52.47-12.33-11.6613.23-8.418.140.93-
2022/42.81-1.49-5.110.76-7.637.620.99-
2022/32.8646.24-18.37.95-8.57.951.0-
2022/21.95-37.73-3.985.09-1.897.871.01-
2022/13.1412.88-0.543.14-0.548.920.89-
2021/122.78-7.5-7.3233.9830.568.410.91-
2021/113.014.39.3931.235.498.280.92-
2021/102.63-0.910.8828.1939.028.020.96-
2021/92.65-3.22-0.3825.5744.658.291.03-
2021/82.74-5.3212.8522.9152.638.471.01市場需求復甦及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,本年營收較去年同期成長。
2021/72.891.9626.2820.1760.318.531.0市場需求復甦及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,本年營收較去年同期成長。
2021/62.841.6759.7317.2867.898.61.02市場需求復甦及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,故本年(月)營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/52.79-5.82124.0214.4469.69.250.94市場需求復甦及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,故本年(月)營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/42.96-15.251.3711.6560.268.491.03市場需求強勁復甦,以及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,故本年(月)營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/33.571.8850.358.6863.548.680.9市場需求強勁復甦,以及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,故本年(月)營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/22.03-35.567.675.1973.828.190.96市場需求強勁復甦,以及去年因肺炎疫情影響營收基期較低,故本年(月)營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/13.155.1978.043.1578.048.90.88受惠於自行車市場火熱,以及機車、汽車、卡車等市場皆處在強勁復甦階段,與上期元月逢中國農曆年,本期營業收入增加78.05%。
2020/123.09.1830.0926.02-4.218.350.81-
2020/112.755.4125.9623.02-7.398.010.84-
2020/102.6-2.1611.2420.28-10.67.70.88-
2020/92.669.6317.4317.67-13.127.380.76-
2020/82.435.946.4115.01-16.956.50.86-
2020/72.2928.97-5.8312.58-20.325.321.05-
2020/61.7842.6-18.9410.29-22.964.981.1-
2020/51.25-36.36-41.398.51-23.765.530.99-
2020/41.96-15.77-15.127.27-19.615.51.0-
2020/32.3391.67-10.585.31-21.155.311.17-
2020/21.21-31.51-22.872.98-27.795.291.17-
2020/11.77-23.13-30.811.77-30.810.0N/A-
2019/122.35.728.3727.173.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.582023/11.462022/13.142021/13.152020/11.77
2024/21.782023/22.282022/21.952021/22.032020/21.21
2024/32.892023/32.192022/32.862021/33.52020/32.33
2024/42.512023/42.062022/42.812021/42.962020/41.96
2024/52.82023/52.02022/52.472021/52.792020/51.25
2024/62.822023/61.942022/62.672021/62.842020/61.78
2024/72.662023/71.952022/72.772021/72.892020/72.29
2024/82.62023/82.412022/82.492021/82.742020/82.43
2024/92.672023/92.52022/92.452021/92.652020/92.66
2024/102.52023/102.42022/102.412021/102.632020/102.6
2024/112.932023/112.422022/112.082021/113.02020/112.75
N/AN/A2023/122.322022/122.312021/122.782020/123.0
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.020.0-33.33
24Q2 (19)0.02-33.33-33.33
24Q1 (18)0.030.050.0
23Q4 (17)0.030.0-98.0
23Q3 (16)0.030.0-98.04
23Q2 (15)0.0350.0-98.04
23Q1 (14)0.02-98.67-75.0
22Q4 (13)1.5-1.963650.0
22Q3 (12)1.530.01430.0
22Q2 (11)1.531812.55000.0
22Q1 (10)0.08100.0700.0
21Q4 (9)0.04-60.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.1233.33233.33
21Q2 (7)0.03200.0200.0
21Q1 (6)0.01-75.0-99.83
20Q4 (5)0.0433.33-99.36
20Q3 (4)0.03200.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.01-99.830.0
20Q1 (2)5.86-5.790.0
19Q4 (1)6.220.00.0

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