玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1048.86-8.95-10.02559.732.06152.76N/A-
2024/953.676.86-1.04510.873.39161.910.67-
2024/850.22-13.43-6.55457.23.94168.030.64-
2024/758.01-2.97-1.49406.975.4182.70.59-
2024/659.79-7.855.11348.966.64180.790.53-
2024/564.8915.677.87289.176.96179.520.53-
2024/456.1-4.14-0.77224.276.71160.080.6-
2024/358.5228.75-1.02168.179.46168.170.56-
2024/245.45-29.19-8.14109.6516.03155.620.61-
2024/164.1939.6542.664.1942.6160.50.59-
2023/1245.97-8.6713.05644.726.97150.610.71-
2023/1150.33-7.3121.23598.7328.18158.870.68-
2023/1054.310.1322.02548.3928.86162.290.66-
2023/954.230.98.14494.0929.65166.880.61-
2023/853.75-8.7315.77439.8532.91169.530.6-
2023/758.93.5421.36386.135.71175.940.58-
2023/656.88-5.4426.78327.2138.66173.580.62-
2023/560.166.452.01270.3241.46175.830.62主係本月汽、機車銷售台數增加所致
2023/456.54-4.3841.9210.1738.7165.150.66-
2023/359.1319.541.1153.6337.56153.630.66-
2023/249.489.9275.3994.535.43135.160.75主係本月汽、機車銷售台數增加所致
2023/145.0210.78.345.028.3127.190.8-
2022/1240.66-2.062.81507.7522.0126.680.78-
2022/1141.52-6.716.33467.0924.02136.170.72-
2022/1044.51-11.2536.78425.5726.06141.080.7-
2022/950.158.0248.14381.0724.92145.110.58-
2022/846.43-4.3344.37330.9222.02139.820.6-
2022/748.538.1629.14284.4919.01132.970.64-
2022/644.8713.3750.16235.9617.13124.280.6主係本月機車銷售台數增加所致。
2022/539.57-0.6712.17191.111.37121.320.61-
2022/439.84-4.927.31151.5211.17109.960.68-
2022/341.948.5313.99111.6812.61111.680.67-
2022/228.21-32.1212.0369.7711.8109.320.68-
2022/141.565.0911.6441.5611.64120.150.62-
2021/1239.551.29-5.64416.171.99111.130.62-
2021/1139.0419.99-4.11376.622.86105.430.65-
2021/1032.54-3.88-14.36337.583.7498.540.7-
2021/933.855.27-11.6305.046.13103.590.7-
2021/832.16-14.43-13.88271.198.8699.610.73-
2021/737.5825.77-3.51239.0312.87102.730.71-
2021/629.88-15.3-11.91201.4516.56102.280.74-
2021/535.28-4.9719.84171.5723.52109.160.69-
2021/437.130.9835.22136.324.5199.070.77-
2021/336.7645.9921.6699.1720.9299.170.69-
2021/225.18-32.362.6962.4120.48104.330.66-
2021/137.23-11.1836.4737.2336.47119.860.57-
2020/1241.922.9454.98408.0321.47120.630.47主係本月機車銷售台數增加所致。
2020/1140.727.1756.79366.1218.54117.010.48主係本月機車銷售台數增加所致。
2020/1037.99-0.7846.08325.415.03113.630.5-
2020/938.292.5532.39287.4111.89114.580.53-
2020/837.34-4.1232.0249.119.28110.210.55-
2020/738.9514.8116.93211.776.06102.30.59-
2020/633.9215.2317.83172.823.8990.810.61-
2020/529.447.210.0138.90.9787.10.63-
2020/427.45-9.13-6.09109.471.2382.190.67-
2020/330.2123.224.1682.013.9582.010.58-
2020/224.52-10.1119.4451.83.8378.840.61-
2020/127.280.86-7.0727.28-7.0780.290.6-
2019/1227.044.1311.46335.897.080.0N/A-
2019/1125.97-0.1419.27308.846.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/164.192023/145.022022/141.562021/137.232020/127.28
2024/245.452023/249.482022/228.212021/225.182020/224.52
2024/358.522023/359.132022/341.92021/336.762020/330.21
2024/456.12023/456.542022/439.842021/437.132020/427.45
2024/564.892023/560.162022/539.572021/535.282020/529.44
2024/659.792023/656.882022/644.872021/629.882020/633.92
2024/758.012023/758.92022/748.532021/737.582020/738.95
2024/850.222023/853.752022/846.432021/832.162020/837.34
2024/953.672023/954.232022/950.152021/933.852020/938.29
2024/1048.862023/1054.312022/1044.512021/1032.542020/1037.99
N/AN/A2023/1150.332022/1141.522021/1139.042020/1140.72
N/AN/A2023/1245.972022/1240.662021/1239.552020/1241.92
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.57%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.240.96-5.42
24Q2 (19)5.1917.16-4.6
24Q1 (18)4.436.24-6.54
23Q4 (17)4.17-24.73-22.78
23Q3 (16)5.541.8417.12
23Q2 (15)5.4414.77-24.97
23Q1 (14)4.74-12.22-18.56
22Q4 (13)5.414.1623.01
22Q3 (12)4.73-34.7623.82
22Q2 (11)7.2524.57151.74
22Q1 (10)5.8232.5783.6
21Q4 (9)4.3914.9250.34
21Q3 (8)3.8232.64-33.45
21Q2 (7)2.88-9.15-4.64
21Q1 (6)3.178.5642.15
20Q4 (5)2.92-49.1355.32
20Q3 (4)5.7490.070.0
20Q2 (3)3.0235.430.0
20Q1 (2)2.2318.620.0
19Q4 (1)1.880.00.0

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