玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.3510.375.8112.68-5.073.92N/A-
2024/101.23-8.54-16.8611.32-6.223.96N/A-
2024/91.34-3.83-17.6910.1-4.744.071.21-
2024/81.394.31-6.788.75-2.393.841.28-
2024/71.3420.7612.157.36-1.513.381.46-
2024/61.1118.45-1.66.02-4.113.081.72-
2024/50.93-9.87-9.844.91-4.663.041.74-
2024/41.04-2.6514.323.98-3.352.961.79-
2024/31.0724.8-8.032.94-8.352.941.59-
2024/20.85-16.64-20.181.88-8.533.311.42-
2024/11.02-28.694.131.024.133.741.25-
2023/121.4412.2446.4414.79-15.234.191.15-
2023/111.28-13.2724.0613.35-18.94.381.1-
2023/101.48-9.47-8.2912.07-21.774.61.05-
2023/91.638.912.1210.6-23.344.321.22-
2023/81.525.5-20.548.97-26.673.811.38-
2023/71.195.94-31.47.47-27.783.351.57-
2023/61.138.53-28.136.28-27.053.071.73-
2023/51.0414.28-24.135.16-26.813.11.71-
2023/40.91-21.69-36.064.12-27.453.141.7-
2023/31.168.32-14.383.21-24.593.211.6-
2023/21.078.75-1.052.05-29.343.031.7-
2023/10.980.27-46.10.98-46.13.01.72-
2022/120.98-4.9-20.017.453.13.621.35-
2022/111.03-35.89-40.216.474.914.241.16-
2022/101.610.82-27.8415.4410.475.090.96-
2022/91.6-15.265.9113.8317.755.220.95-
2022/81.888.341.2212.2319.55.190.95-
2022/71.7411.01-4.8410.3523.554.671.06-
2022/61.5714.562.548.6131.484.351.18-
2022/51.37-3.6713.787.0440.274.141.24-
2022/41.424.8514.335.6848.63.851.33-
2022/31.3525.1936.434.2665.094.261.16本公司及子公司相關工程案訂單出貨所致
2022/21.08-40.7592.912.9183.04.131.2本公司及子公司相關工程案訂單出貨所致
2022/11.8248.8277.591.8277.594.771.04本公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/121.23-28.91287.7716.9263.845.180.94本公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/111.72-22.6598.4215.756.775.460.9本公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/102.2347.99140.413.9752.815.60.87本公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/91.51-19.0163.8511.7442.925.190.91本公司及子公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/81.861.8582.0510.2340.285.210.91本公司與子公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/71.8319.6399.718.3733.484.551.04本公司及子公司相關工程持續出貨所致
2021/61.5327.1276.26.5522.183.971.15本公司及子公司相關工程持續出貨所致
2021/51.2-3.2159.485.0211.763.431.33本公司及子公司相關工程案訂單持續出貨所致
2021/41.2425.1120.763.822.152.791.64-
2021/30.9977.03-1.022.58-4.892.581.78-
2021/20.56-45.46-16.881.59-7.161.92.41-
2021/11.03224.94-0.831.03-0.832.212.07-
2020/120.32-63.62-76.6610.33-15.172.111.86主因為重要子公司大川研與亞東之民事起訴案,屬109年認列之營收全數回轉及大陸子公司109年訂單因受疫情影響延後出貨所致
2020/110.87-6.29-9.4810.01-7.482.721.45-
2020/100.930.870.679.14-7.282.871.37-
2020/90.92-10.0217.058.22-8.12.861.41-
2020/81.0211.72-12.447.3-10.532.81.44-
2020/70.915.55-18.456.27-10.212.531.59-
2020/60.8715.06-7.135.36-8.632.651.54-
2020/50.75-26.71-24.634.49-8.912.781.47-
2020/41.032.5418.693.74-4.922.71.51-
2020/31.048.677.482.71-11.592.711.54-
2020/20.67-34.93-23.071.71-19.923.061.36-
2020/11.04-23.52-17.731.04-17.730.0N/A-
2019/121.3541.0750.9412.188.250.0N/A因子公司所接獲訂單持續出貨所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.022023/10.982022/11.822021/11.032020/11.04
2024/20.852023/21.072022/21.082021/20.562020/20.67
2024/31.072023/31.162022/31.352021/30.992020/31.0
2024/41.042023/40.912022/41.422021/41.242020/41.03
2024/50.932023/51.042022/51.372021/51.22020/50.75
2024/61.112023/61.132022/61.572021/61.532020/60.87
2024/71.342023/71.192022/71.742021/71.832020/70.91
2024/81.392023/81.52022/81.882021/81.862020/81.02
2024/91.342023/91.632022/91.62021/91.512020/90.92
2024/101.232023/101.482022/101.612021/102.232020/100.93
2024/111.352023/111.282022/111.032021/111.722020/110.87
N/AN/A2023/121.442022/120.982021/121.232020/120.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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