玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1017.82-9.13-28.41205.58-7.2451.2N/A-
2024/919.6142.34-30.97187.76-4.5652.630.0-
2024/813.77-28.42-8.83168.15-0.153.490.0-
2024/719.25-5.97-7.69154.380.7561.080.0-
2024/620.47-4.215.71135.132.0859.170.0-
2024/521.3723.271.79114.671.4662.510.0-
2024/417.33-27.18-18.3193.31.3860.040.0-
2024/323.8125.97-3.2175.967.2975.960.0-
2024/218.9-43.18-12.4852.1612.8871.380.0-
2024/133.2672.9635.1533.2635.1572.990.0-
2023/1219.23-6.22-1.3261.3610.7164.620.0-
2023/1120.51-17.6-13.52242.1311.7973.80.0-
2023/1024.89-12.3810.38221.6314.968.410.0-
2023/928.4188.053.0196.7415.564.360.0去年受疫情、上海封控以及港口塞港等不利因素衝擊,造成料件與成車供應短缺,影響車輛產銷情況,以致去年9月營收基期較低。
2023/815.11-27.5281.35168.3310.9155.320.0去年受疫情、上海封控以及港口塞港等不利因素衝擊,造成料件與成車供應短缺,影響車輛產銷情況,以致去年8月營收基期較低。
2023/720.857.67-16.32153.226.8261.20.0-
2023/619.36-7.7631.34132.3711.6961.580.0-
2023/520.99-1.08103.69113.018.966.810.0去年受疫情、上海封控以及港口塞港等不利因素衝擊,造成料件與成車供應短缺,影響車輛產銷情況,以致去年5月營收基期較低。
2023/421.22-13.7134.1192.02-1.5567.410.0-
2023/324.613.9-0.370.8-8.8170.80.0-
2023/221.59-12.2523.0146.2-12.7865.680.0-
2023/124.6126.3-30.5224.61-30.5267.80.0-
2022/1219.48-17.8322.71236.07-4.365.740.0-
2022/1123.715.1635.17216.59-6.1664.820.0-
2022/1022.5521.4413.88192.88-9.5649.440.0-
2022/918.57122.82-14.99170.33-11.9551.810.0-
2022/88.33-66.56-44.62151.76-11.5747.990.0-
2022/724.9269.0255.2143.43-8.3949.960.0因上海解封,料件陸續到貨,車輛生產銷售狀況逐漸恢復,導致本月營收較去年同期大幅增加。
2022/614.7443.0418.47118.52-15.6640.870.0-
2022/510.31-34.87-55.52103.77-18.9750.80.0受到疫情、上海封控以及港口塞港等不利因素衝擊,造成料件與成車供應短缺,影響車輛產銷情況,導致本月營收大幅哀退。
2022/415.82-35.86-38.9193.47-10.9158.050.0-
2022/324.6740.56-3.7977.64-1.7277.640.0-
2022/217.55-50.44-17.8352.97-0.7368.850.0-
2022/135.42123.0910.6835.4210.6868.840.0-
2021/1215.88-9.49-39.11246.68-16.8353.220.0-
2021/1117.54-11.39-43.87230.81-14.6859.180.0-
2021/1019.8-9.34-13.63213.27-10.8656.680.0-
2021/921.8445.142.9193.47-10.5752.940.0-
2021/815.05-6.27-29.29171.63-12.0443.540.0-
2021/716.0529.01-43.08156.58-9.9351.670.0-
2021/612.44-46.29-46.04140.53-3.5161.520.0-
2021/523.17-10.56-2.1128.084.4974.720.0-
2021/425.911.012.38104.916.0772.910.0-
2021/325.6520.054.4479.017.3379.010.0-
2021/221.36-33.24-12.5253.368.7879.440.0-
2021/132.022.7129.9232.029.9289.330.0-
2020/1226.08-16.57-8.32296.61-8.7380.260.0-
2020/1131.2636.3510.46270.53-8.7775.40.0-
2020/1022.928.0-24.32239.27-10.865.430.0-
2020/921.22-0.26-19.73216.35-9.0770.710.0-
2020/821.28-24.54-5.06195.13-7.7472.550.0-
2020/728.2122.3-6.98173.85-8.0674.940.0-
2020/623.06-2.55-16.43145.64-8.2672.030.0-
2020/523.67-6.462.8122.58-6.5473.530.0-
2020/425.33.0427.8998.91-8.5474.280.0-
2020/324.550.54-11.0373.61-16.6973.610.0-
2020/224.42-0.8428.8249.05-19.2777.50.0-
2020/124.63-13.41-41.0824.63-41.0881.370.0-
2019/1228.450.520.88324.993.970.0N/A-
2019/1128.3-6.59-1.17296.544.280.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/133.262023/124.612022/135.422021/132.02020/124.63
2024/218.92023/221.592022/217.552021/221.362020/224.42
2024/323.812023/324.62022/324.672021/325.652020/324.55
2024/417.332023/421.222022/415.822021/425.912020/425.3
2024/521.372023/520.992022/510.312021/523.172020/523.67
2024/620.472023/619.362022/614.742021/612.442020/623.06
2024/719.252023/720.852022/724.922021/716.052020/728.21
2024/813.772023/815.112022/88.332021/815.052020/821.28
2024/919.612023/928.412022/918.572021/921.842020/921.22
2024/1017.822023/1024.892022/1022.552021/1019.82020/1022.92
N/AN/A2023/1120.512022/1123.712021/1117.542020/1131.26
N/AN/A2023/1219.232022/1219.482021/1215.882020/1226.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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