玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10213.7112.8111.351932.883.49609.59N/A-
2024/9189.43-8.24-0.571719.162.59604.850.63-
2024/8206.45-1.28.931529.742.99590.910.64-
2024/7208.9719.089.611323.282.12579.550.66-
2024/6175.48-10.05-7.911114.310.83567.990.64-
2024/5195.09-1.173.89938.832.66574.180.63-
2024/4197.418.666.93743.732.34553.60.66-
2024/3181.674.12.7546.320.77546.320.63-
2024/2174.51-8.213.07364.65-0.15534.440.65-
2024/1190.1411.98-2.93190.14-2.93547.810.63-
2023/12169.79-9.62-18.932225.33-20.15549.580.65-
2023/11187.88-2.1-16.662055.54-20.25570.320.63-
2023/10191.910.72-21.161867.66-20.59571.960.62-
2023/9190.530.53-24.441675.75-20.53570.690.64-
2023/8189.52-0.58-25.221485.22-19.99570.720.64-
2023/7190.640.03-23.211295.7-19.17568.990.64-
2023/6190.561.48-23.231105.06-18.43562.960.61-
2023/5187.781.71-23.14914.49-17.35549.290.63-
2023/4184.614.36-19.01726.71-15.71530.810.65-
2023/3176.894.47-20.1542.09-14.52542.090.6-
2023/2169.31-13.57-18.63365.21-11.53574.670.57-
2023/1195.9-6.47-4.31195.9-4.31630.810.52-
2022/12209.46-7.093.282787.0530.84678.360.46-
2022/11225.45-7.3814.662577.5933.74721.090.43-
2022/10243.44-3.4627.062352.1435.9749.090.41-
2022/9252.19-0.534.492108.737.0753.920.4-
2022/8253.462.0934.891856.5137.35749.980.4-
2022/7248.270.035.171603.0537.75740.850.41-
2022/6248.261.643.191354.7838.23720.550.38-
2022/5244.337.1742.141106.5237.16693.70.39-
2022/4227.962.9639.15862.1935.82657.470.42-
2022/3221.46.3933.21634.2334.66634.230.4-
2022/2208.11.6439.21412.8235.45615.620.41-
2022/1204.730.9531.83204.7331.83604.140.42-
2021/12202.83.1432.652130.1120.46591.00.39-
2021/11196.612.6233.511927.3119.31575.710.4-
2021/10191.592.1725.361730.717.88566.990.41-
2021/9187.51-0.229.011539.1117.02559.070.41-
2021/8187.92.326.61351.6115.53544.930.42-
2021/7183.665.9318.531163.7113.92528.920.44-
2021/6173.370.8518.89980.0513.09509.080.44-
2021/5171.894.9216.57806.6811.92501.910.45-
2021/4163.82-1.428.78634.7910.73479.50.47-
2021/3166.211.1814.06470.9711.42470.970.47-
2021/2149.48-3.749.85304.7710.03457.650.49-
2021/1155.31.5810.2155.310.2455.430.49-
2020/12152.883.8114.341768.2119.31452.960.5-
2020/11147.26-3.646.01615.3319.8445.420.51-
2020/10152.835.154.761468.0721.38446.580.5-
2020/9145.34-2.0734.241315.2523.66448.70.51-
2020/8148.42-4.2112.571169.9122.46449.180.51-
2020/7154.956.2612.861021.4924.05448.220.51-
2020/6145.81-1.1124.55866.5426.29443.860.53-
2020/5147.46-2.0820.44720.7326.64443.750.53-
2020/4150.593.3524.63573.2728.34432.360.54-
2020/3145.77.0841.1422.6829.72422.680.52-
2020/2136.06-3.4330.05276.9724.44410.670.54-
2020/1140.915.3919.46140.9119.46413.530.54-
2019/12133.7-3.7517.431482.02-2.010.0N/A-
2019/11138.92-4.7620.221348.32-3.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1190.142023/1195.92022/1204.732021/1155.32020/1140.91
2024/2174.512023/2169.312022/2208.12021/2149.482020/2136.06
2024/3181.672023/3176.892022/3221.42021/3166.22020/3145.7
2024/4197.412023/4184.612022/4227.962021/4163.822020/4150.59
2024/5195.092023/5187.782022/5244.332021/5171.892020/5147.46
2024/6175.482023/6190.562022/6248.262021/6173.372020/6145.81
2024/7208.972023/7190.642022/7248.272021/7183.662020/7154.95
2024/8206.452023/8189.522022/8253.462021/8187.92020/8148.42
2024/9189.432023/9190.532022/9252.192021/9187.512020/9145.34
2024/10213.712023/10191.912022/10243.442021/10191.592020/10152.83
N/AN/A2023/11187.882022/11225.452021/11196.612020/11147.26
N/AN/A2023/12169.792022/12209.462021/12202.82020/12152.88
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)30.07-9.86-3.87
24Q2 (19)33.36-4.6311.09
24Q1 (18)34.987.67.01
23Q4 (17)32.513.93-8.35
23Q3 (16)31.284.16-27.54
23Q2 (15)30.03-8.14-34.6
23Q1 (14)32.69-7.84-25.64
22Q4 (13)35.47-17.843.05
22Q3 (12)43.17-5.9928.41
22Q2 (11)45.924.4659.22
22Q1 (10)43.9627.7255.5
21Q4 (9)34.422.3868.64
21Q3 (8)33.6216.5774.11
21Q2 (7)28.842.0275.43
21Q1 (6)28.2738.5196.73
20Q4 (5)20.415.7106.58
20Q3 (4)19.3117.460.0
20Q2 (3)16.4414.410.0
20Q1 (2)14.3745.450.0
19Q4 (1)9.880.00.0

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