玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.10.83-41.9513.95-55.033.36N/A因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/91.09-7.05-35.6512.85-55.883.534.18因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/81.17-7.51-48.7911.76-57.134.063.63因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/71.27-21.97-53.6810.59-57.894.593.21因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/61.62-4.39-52.599.32-58.45.012.95因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/51.70.29-52.667.7-59.454.873.04因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/41.6914.38-49.786.0-61.034.633.19因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/31.481.55-53.974.31-64.184.313.82因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/21.466.17-66.392.83-67.913.944.18因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2024/11.3724.2-69.371.37-69.373.894.24因客戶調整排程遞延出貨,故營收減少
2023/121.11-21.48-72.9633.54-25.174.44.01因客戶調整訂單出貨排程,故營收減少
2023/111.41-25.57-65.7332.43-20.384.993.54因客戶調整訂單出貨排程,故營收減少
2023/101.8911.78-52.8231.02-15.295.873.01地面微波通訊系統及器材因客戶調整訂單需求量,故營收減少
2023/91.69-26.03-62.2429.13-10.686.712.75地面微波通訊系統及器材營收減少
2023/82.29-16.34-46.9927.44-2.478.452.19-
2023/72.73-20.15-35.125.155.599.751.9-
2023/63.42-4.532.2322.4214.3410.381.87-
2023/53.596.391.4419.016.8510.171.91-
2023/43.374.85-0.2315.4121.1310.921.78-
2023/33.22-25.85-17.2712.0428.8812.041.78-
2023/24.34-3.2454.888.8261.8112.911.66衛星通訊及地面微波通訊系統及器材營收增加
2023/14.489.6569.134.4869.1312.681.69地面微波通訊系統及器材營收增加
2022/124.09-0.4862.044.8214.0512.211.92地面微波通訊系統及器材營收增加
2022/114.112.4516.8440.7410.7712.61.86-
2022/104.01-10.5125.2836.6310.1212.811.83-
2022/94.483.8221.7932.628.5113.011.83-
2022/84.322.4235.2428.146.6511.882.0-
2022/74.2125.7933.3323.822.7211.12.14-
2022/63.35-5.27-10.5719.61-2.110.272.52-
2022/53.544.6211.8316.26-0.1610.82.4-
2022/43.38-13.058.7312.72-3.0610.072.57-
2022/33.8938.8220.199.34-6.729.342.64-
2022/22.85.651.665.45-19.597.973.09-
2022/12.655.03-34.142.65-34.148.692.84-
2021/122.52-28.22-31.339.3-0.519.242.33-
2021/113.529.851.2936.772.6810.42.07-
2021/103.2-13.0110.8633.262.8210.072.14-
2021/93.6815.2822.2630.062.0210.031.94-
2021/83.190.976.1226.38-0.2610.11.93-
2021/73.16-15.62-6.1423.19-1.1210.071.93-
2021/63.7518.46-3.0820.03-0.2710.021.4-
2021/53.161.72-20.0416.280.419.51.48-
2021/43.11-3.89-3.3613.127.099.11.54-
2021/33.2317.420.6410.0110.8210.011.09-
2021/22.75-31.5633.046.7816.4910.451.05-
2021/14.029.577.424.027.4211.170.98-
2020/123.675.82-17.539.5-31.8810.031.0-
2020/113.4720.23-37.3235.81-33.059.371.08-
2020/102.89-4.06-31.8932.35-32.528.91.13-
2020/93.010.06-24.5729.46-32.589.381.11-
2020/83.01-10.69-25.4726.45-33.3910.241.02-
2020/73.37-12.88-14.2723.45-34.2711.190.94-
2020/63.87-2.27-18.0220.08-36.7411.040.86-
2020/53.9522.95-23.3416.22-40.0210.390.91-
2020/43.220.08-35.8212.25-43.998.51.11-
2020/33.2155.22-35.899.03-46.429.031.04-
2020/22.07-44.74-59.755.82-50.8910.270.91本公司之大陸子公司於2月10日如期開工,但其上游供應鏈之部分廠商無法如期復工,導致原物料短缺,營收減少。
2020/13.75-15.85-44.13.75-44.113.740.68-
2019/124.45-19.59-22.5257.99-27.230.0N/A-
2019/115.5430.64-29.253.49-27.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.372023/14.482022/12.652021/14.022020/13.75
2024/21.462023/24.342022/22.82021/22.752020/22.07
2024/31.482023/33.222022/33.892021/33.232020/33.21
2024/41.692023/43.372022/43.382021/43.112020/43.22
2024/51.72023/53.592022/53.542021/53.162020/53.95
2024/61.622023/63.422022/63.352021/63.752020/63.87
2024/71.272023/72.732022/74.212021/73.162020/73.37
2024/81.172023/82.292022/84.322021/83.192020/83.01
2024/91.092023/91.692022/94.482021/93.682020/93.01
2024/101.12023/101.892022/104.012021/103.22020/102.89
N/AN/A2023/111.412022/114.112021/113.522020/113.47
N/AN/A2023/121.112022/124.092021/122.522020/123.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.52%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.13-13.33-38.1
24Q2 (19)0.15-89.66-6.25
24Q1 (18)1.451108.33291.89
23Q4 (17)0.12-42.86-73.91
23Q3 (16)0.2131.25-27.59
23Q2 (15)0.16-56.76-36.0
23Q1 (14)0.37-19.57184.62
22Q4 (13)0.4658.62475.0
22Q3 (12)0.2916.061.11
22Q2 (11)0.2592.31316.67
22Q1 (10)0.1362.5-63.89
21Q4 (9)0.08-55.56-90.12
21Q3 (8)0.18200.0-68.97
21Q2 (7)0.06-83.33-76.92
21Q1 (6)0.36-55.5633.33
20Q4 (5)0.8139.6644.64
20Q3 (4)0.58123.080.0
20Q2 (3)0.26-3.70.0
20Q1 (2)0.27-51.790.0
19Q4 (1)0.560.00.0

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