玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.569.86-20.495.21-19.941.47N/A-
2024/90.5126.98-15.124.65-19.871.311.05-
2024/80.40.74-44.544.14-20.421.311.05-
2024/70.4-22.17-39.63.74-16.531.50.91-
2024/60.51-14.06-30.663.34-12.561.710.64-
2024/50.59-1.03-8.482.83-8.241.810.6-
2024/40.6-1.91-3.812.24-8.171.670.65-
2024/30.6135.57-4.871.64-9.671.640.72-
2024/20.45-20.97-23.631.02-12.321.880.63-
2024/10.57-33.27-0.690.57-0.692.10.56-
2023/120.8627.475.458.04-20.462.230.52-
2023/110.67-4.4-17.957.18-22.721.980.59-
2023/100.717.286.636.51-23.192.030.58-
2023/90.6-17.03-25.055.81-25.71.980.74-
2023/80.729.72-19.835.21-25.782.120.69-
2023/70.66-10.65-13.534.48-26.662.050.72-
2023/60.7413.41-18.283.83-28.522.010.8-
2023/50.654.01-25.123.09-30.61.920.84-
2023/40.63-2.99-26.462.44-31.931.860.86-
2023/30.648.83-30.371.81-33.631.811.06-
2023/20.592.76-25.021.17-35.311.980.97-
2023/10.58-29.13-43.30.58-43.32.210.87-
2022/120.81-0.82-15.2810.11-5.552.290.84-
2022/110.8224.25-6.759.3-4.592.280.84-
2022/100.66-17.56-19.28.48-4.382.360.81-
2022/90.8-11.25-4.727.82-2.872.460.79-
2022/80.918.35-4.167.02-2.662.570.76-
2022/70.76-15.56-28.356.11-2.432.530.77-
2022/60.93.92-5.785.352.862.620.77-
2022/50.872.15-9.564.454.812.640.77-
2022/40.85-8.144.483.589.012.570.79-
2022/30.9317.180.482.7310.52.730.72-
2022/20.79-22.288.481.8116.452.770.71-
2022/11.025.8823.51.0223.52.850.69-
2021/120.969.1618.7310.7-0.482.660.78-
2021/110.887.656.539.74-2.042.540.81-
2021/100.82-2.790.978.86-2.822.60.79-
2021/90.84-10.73-9.548.05-3.192.840.57-
2021/80.94-11.52-9.657.21-2.392.960.54-
2021/71.0611.0326.146.27-1.22.980.54-
2021/60.96-0.23-9.195.2-5.392.730.55-
2021/50.9618.011.144.25-4.492.690.56-
2021/40.81-11.65-17.373.29-6.022.460.61-
2021/30.9226.52.342.47-1.472.470.53-
2021/20.73-11.52-3.041.55-3.62.360.56-
2021/10.821.79-4.10.82-4.12.460.53-
2020/120.81-2.04-33.5710.76-31.282.440.53-
2020/110.832.03-29.259.95-31.092.560.5-
2020/100.81-12.91-40.439.12-31.252.780.46-
2020/90.93-10.84-8.328.31-30.212.810.5-
2020/81.0423.5411.987.38-32.242.940.48-
2020/70.84-20.07-13.876.34-36.372.850.5-
2020/61.0511.12-27.015.5-38.822.990.48-
2020/50.95-3.59-36.384.45-41.082.830.5-
2020/40.989.43-38.033.5-42.242.640.54-
2020/30.919.85-44.462.51-43.792.510.7-
2020/20.75-12.49-38.421.61-43.412.830.62-
2020/10.86-29.49-47.150.86-47.153.240.54-
2019/121.224.32-38.1115.65-35.540.0N/A-
2019/111.17-14.1-33.4214.44-35.320.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.572023/10.582022/11.022021/10.822020/10.86
2024/20.452023/20.592022/20.792021/20.732020/20.75
2024/30.612023/30.642022/30.932021/30.922020/30.9
2024/40.62023/40.632022/40.852021/40.812020/40.98
2024/50.592023/50.652022/50.872021/50.962020/50.95
2024/60.512023/60.742022/60.92021/60.962020/61.05
2024/70.42023/70.662022/70.762021/71.062020/70.84
2024/80.42023/80.722022/80.92021/80.942020/81.04
2024/90.512023/90.62022/90.82021/90.842020/90.93
2024/100.562023/100.72022/100.662021/100.822020/100.81
N/AN/A2023/110.672022/110.822021/110.882020/110.83
N/AN/A2023/120.862022/120.812021/120.962020/120.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.98%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0620.0100.0
24Q2 (19)0.0566.6725.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-40.050.0
23Q4 (17)0.0566.6725.0
23Q3 (16)0.03-25.0-25.0
23Q2 (15)0.04100.033.33
23Q1 (14)0.02-50.0-33.33
22Q4 (13)0.040.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.0433.330.0
22Q2 (11)0.030.0-57.14
22Q1 (10)0.03-25.0-66.67
21Q4 (9)0.040.0-20.0
21Q3 (8)0.04-42.86-20.0
21Q2 (7)0.07-22.2240.0
21Q1 (6)0.0980.080.0
20Q4 (5)0.050.0-28.57
20Q3 (4)0.050.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.050.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.05-28.570.0
19Q4 (1)0.070.00.0

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