玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11796.66-6.77-5.878462.16-3.522488.84N/A
2024/10854.522.01-2.337665.5-3.272533.3N/A
2024/9837.66-0.41-1.66810.98-3.392443.170.37
2024/8841.1110.032.95973.32-3.642432.080.37
2024/7764.4-7.52-9.95132.2-4.632363.840.39
2024/6826.576.941.274367.8-3.652372.090.36
2024/5772.870.02-7.153541.23-4.732325.420.37
2024/4772.65-0.92-2.22768.36-4.032127.770.4
2024/3779.935.58-2.21995.71-4.721995.710.51
2024/2575.22-10.2-14.121215.81-6.261911.190.54
2024/1640.59-7.872.13640.592.132182.360.47
2023/12695.38-17.84-4.119467.15-11.782416.710.39
2023/11846.4-3.264.068771.77-12.342572.640.37
2023/10874.942.77-7.757925.38-13.792543.620.37
2023/9851.314.15-18.587050.44-14.492517.140.45
2023/8817.37-3.66-7.996199.13-13.892482.030.46
2023/7848.473.95-13.095381.76-14.722497.090.45
2023/6816.2-1.94-33.354533.29-15.022438.710.42
2023/5832.435.35-6.743717.1-9.572420.030.42
2023/4790.08-0.9346.522884.67-10.352257.440.45
2023/3797.5219.06-22.392094.59-21.82094.590.56
2023/2669.836.79-18.751297.07-21.432022.30.58
2023/1627.23-13.51-24.11627.23-24.112165.830.54
2022/12725.23-10.83-43.2110732.47-13.142487.070.45
2022/11813.37-14.24-34.0210007.24-9.672807.430.4
2022/10948.47-9.28-18.819193.87-6.632882.490.39
2022/91045.5917.69-17.338245.4-4.992910.320.46
2022/8888.42-9.0-13.227199.8-2.883089.340.43
2022/7976.31-20.27-9.596311.38-1.223093.590.43
2022/61224.6137.1833.925335.080.472656.50.56
2022/5892.6865.5511.34110.47-6.482459.530.6
2022/4539.21-47.52-39.653217.79-10.452391.280.62
2022/31027.6424.64-4.972678.58-0.792678.580.51
2022/2824.44-0.2516.661650.942.02928.030.47
2022/1826.5-35.28-9.35826.5-9.353336.510.41
2021/121277.093.5811.6512356.8217.83678.350.31
2021/111232.925.5215.3611079.7318.553666.150.31
2021/101168.35-7.633.639846.8118.963457.10.33
2021/91264.8923.5432.428678.4721.383368.630.39
2021/81023.86-5.1821.957413.5819.683018.150.43
2021/71079.8818.0920.296389.7219.322796.30.47-
2021/6914.414.0111.925309.8419.132609.920.45
2021/5802.02-10.23-8.494395.4320.752777.00.43
2021/4893.5-17.38-5.253593.4230.032681.640.44
2021/31081.4853.0433.892699.9248.32699.920.34-
2021/2706.66-22.4978.851618.4359.82762.250.33去年同期受COVID 19疫情影響,材料與人力短缺,致使產能利用率偏低,導致營收基期較低。
2021/1911.78-20.2847.61911.7847.613124.30.29-
2020/121143.817.0239.2510489.296.983339.870.29-
2020/111068.71-5.223.69345.484.033151.230.31-
2020/101127.3518.0213.968276.771.952922.050.33-
2020/9955.1713.77-1.337149.420.282692.410.39-
2020/8839.53-6.4812.526194.250.532554.220.41-
2020/7897.719.8814.345354.72-1.112591.20.4
2020/6816.98-6.79-4.974457.01-3.732636.530.33
2020/5876.5-7.053.63640.03-3.452627.260.33-
2020/4943.0516.7515.252763.52-5.492145.860.4-
2020/3807.71104.43-6.211820.47-13.551820.470.48-
2020/2395.1-36.03-27.31012.76-18.631834.120.48-
2020/1617.66-24.79-11.91617.66-11.910.0N/A-
2019/12821.35-5.0-4.169804.41.310.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1640.592023/1627.232022/1826.52021/1911.782020/1617.66
2024/2575.222023/2669.832022/2824.442021/2706.662020/2395.1
2024/3779.92023/3797.522022/31027.642021/31081.482020/3807.71
2024/4772.652023/4790.082022/4539.212021/4893.52020/4943.05
2024/5772.872023/5832.432022/5892.682021/5802.022020/5876.5
2024/6826.572023/6816.22022/61224.612021/6914.42020/6816.98
2024/7764.42023/7848.472022/7976.312021/71079.882020/7897.71
2024/8841.112023/8817.372022/8888.422021/81023.862020/8839.53
2024/9837.662023/9851.312022/91045.592021/91264.892020/9955.17
2024/10854.522023/10874.942022/10948.472021/101168.352020/101127.35
2024/11796.662023/11846.42022/11813.372021/111232.922020/111068.71
N/AN/A2023/12695.382022/12725.232021/121277.092020/121143.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.22%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)45.0418.46499.73
24Q2 (19)38.02413.09495.92
24Q1 (18)7.41-3.39-13.23
23Q4 (17)7.672.13-2.17
23Q3 (16)7.5117.71-22.5
23Q2 (15)6.38-25.29-37.51
23Q1 (14)8.548.93-14.43
22Q4 (13)7.84-19.09-26.45
22Q3 (12)9.69-5.094.19
22Q2 (11)10.212.320.26
22Q1 (10)9.98-6.3814.32
21Q4 (9)10.6614.6230.0
21Q3 (8)9.39.543.79
21Q2 (7)8.49-2.757.74
21Q1 (6)8.736.4623.83
20Q4 (5)8.2-8.48-14.23
20Q3 (4)8.9613.710.0
20Q2 (3)7.8811.770.0
20Q1 (2)7.05-26.260.0
19Q4 (1)9.560.00.0

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