玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10188.2-28.46-2.752174.0610.06679.52N/A-
2024/9263.115.28-6.251985.8611.46725.840.74-
2024/8228.22-2.685.231722.7614.77744.680.72-
2024/7234.52-16.8132.321494.5316.38727.760.74-
2024/6281.9333.427.121260.0213.83671.740.82-
2024/5211.318.3716.84978.0815.92664.630.82-
2024/4178.5-35.0429.06766.7815.67614.480.89-
2024/3274.8270.5313.81588.2812.14588.280.82-
2024/2161.155.819.79313.4510.71550.380.87-
2024/1152.3-35.7111.71152.311.71590.330.81-
2023/12236.9317.813.522413.21-12.38631.550.69-
2023/11201.13.916.362176.28-13.82675.270.64-
2023/10193.52-31.047.211975.18-15.45691.040.63-
2023/9280.6529.43.321781.66-17.35674.750.67-
2023/8216.8722.367.141501.02-20.33657.290.68-
2023/7177.23-32.661.511284.14-23.64621.250.72-
2023/6263.1945.53-14.951106.91-26.55582.330.74-
2023/5180.8430.75-18.45843.73-29.55560.620.77-
2023/4138.3-42.72-28.06662.89-32.07526.560.82-
2023/3241.4764.51-20.33524.59-33.06524.590.75-
2023/2146.787.66-35.91283.11-41.09512.030.77-
2023/1136.33-40.44-45.81136.33-45.81554.310.71-
2022/12228.9221.08-22.852754.3-13.65598.490.71-
2022/11189.064.74-34.472525.38-12.71641.180.66-
2022/10180.5-33.54-35.552336.32-10.3654.530.64-
2022/9271.6234.19-2.742155.82-7.26648.610.9-
2022/8202.4115.93-25.321884.2-7.88686.450.85-
2022/7174.59-43.58-33.111681.79-5.21705.810.82-
2022/6309.4539.533.081507.21-0.4723.480.88-
2022/5221.7715.35-10.591197.76-1.26717.120.88-
2022/4192.25-36.57-22.94975.981.13724.40.88-
2022/3303.132.329.24783.739.52783.730.81-
2022/2229.06-8.9512.73480.639.7775.790.82-
2022/1251.58-14.767.07251.587.07835.290.76-
2021/12295.162.293.963188.4815.06863.80.68-
2021/11288.553.010.472893.3216.32847.920.69-
2021/10280.090.299.762604.7718.39830.410.71-
2021/9279.283.04-5.372324.6819.52811.340.72-
2021/8271.043.83-0.622045.3923.98832.250.7-
2021/7261.02-13.0412.311774.3528.85809.280.72-
2021/6300.1921.0116.921513.3432.21797.760.74-
2021/5248.07-0.5722.921213.1436.64775.010.76-
2021/4249.5-10.0726.34965.0740.67730.120.8-
2021/3277.4436.5415.26715.5846.47715.580.7-
2021/2203.18-13.5280.91438.1376.78721.770.7由於去年基期較低,再加上今年市場需求增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長
2021/1234.95-17.1673.35234.9573.35805.780.63由於去年基期較低,再加上今年市場需求增加,故本月營收較去年同期成長
2020/12283.64-1.2321.532770.8518.26826.00.52-
2020/11287.1912.5440.582487.2117.9837.510.51-
2020/10255.17-13.5443.192200.0315.47823.050.52-
2020/9295.158.2121.241944.8512.61800.290.47-
2020/8272.7317.3534.941649.7111.19761.870.49-
2020/7232.41-9.4726.881376.977.45690.950.55-
2020/6256.7327.214.871144.574.21656.020.55-
2020/5201.812.1921.05887.834.02639.990.56-
2020/4197.48-17.9541.06686.02-0.11550.490.66-
2020/3240.71114.322.19488.55-10.65488.550.7-
2020/2112.31-17.13-22.38247.84-20.37480.540.71-
2020/1135.53-41.75-18.63135.53-18.63572.50.6-
2019/12232.713.918.052342.18-3.320.0N/A-
2019/11204.2714.63-7.842109.48-4.430.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1152.32023/1136.332022/1251.582021/1234.952020/1135.53
2024/2161.152023/2146.782022/2229.062021/2203.182020/2112.31
2024/3274.822023/3241.472022/3303.12021/3277.442020/3240.71
2024/4178.52023/4138.32022/4192.252021/4249.52020/4197.48
2024/5211.32023/5180.842022/5221.772021/5248.072020/5201.81
2024/6281.932023/6263.192022/6309.452021/6300.192020/6256.73
2024/7234.522023/7177.232022/7174.592021/7261.022020/7232.41
2024/8228.222023/8216.872022/8202.412021/8271.042020/8272.73
2024/9263.12023/9280.652022/9271.622021/9279.282020/9295.15
2024/10188.22023/10193.522022/10180.52021/10280.092020/10255.17
N/AN/A2023/11201.12022/11189.062021/11288.552020/11287.19
N/AN/A2023/12236.932022/12228.922021/12295.162020/12283.64
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.39%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)34.732.8411.71
24Q2 (19)33.7712.16-0.3
24Q1 (18)30.11-7.412.62
23Q4 (17)32.524.68.94
23Q3 (16)31.09-8.210.45
23Q2 (15)33.8715.4419.39
23Q1 (14)29.34-1.7110.3
22Q4 (13)29.85-3.5521.54
22Q3 (12)30.959.0933.81
22Q2 (11)28.376.6518.31
22Q1 (10)26.68.3119.66
21Q4 (9)24.566.188.24
21Q3 (8)23.13-3.54-3.5
21Q2 (7)23.987.8720.56
21Q1 (6)22.23-2.0329.55
20Q4 (5)22.69-5.3423.85
20Q3 (4)23.9720.510.0
20Q2 (3)19.8915.910.0
20Q1 (2)17.16-6.330.0
19Q4 (1)18.320.00.0

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