玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10646.8514.9860.15131.6520.151729.67N/A新增訂單與季節性需求致營收增加
2024/9562.548.1218.354484.815.981638.150.47-
2024/8520.28-6.3111.933922.2615.651584.920.48-
2024/7555.339.0332.753401.9816.241586.440.48-
2024/6509.3-2.396.722846.6513.481541.590.43-
2024/5521.82.2113.282337.3415.071529.550.43-
2024/4510.482.6538.451815.5415.61374.250.48-
2024/3497.2635.675.571305.068.581305.060.49-
2024/2366.51-16.942.26807.810.531243.080.51-
2024/1441.291.3718.48441.2918.481317.980.48-
2023/12435.28-1.387.945147.45-4.981280.70.47-
2023/11441.49.250.04712.17-6.021320.710.45-
2023/10404.02-14.99-19.664270.77-6.61344.090.45-
2023/9475.292.25-6.743866.75-4.991358.410.4-
2023/8464.7911.14.743391.46-4.741360.320.4-
2023/7418.33-12.33-11.22926.67-6.091356.150.4-
2023/6477.23.6-8.362508.34-5.181306.510.38-
2023/5460.6124.9316.572031.14-4.41300.320.38-
2023/4368.7-21.72-16.51570.53-9.191198.080.41-
2023/3471.0131.42-12.071201.83-6.681201.830.42-
2023/2358.38-3.770.7730.82-2.851134.070.45-
2023/1372.45-7.63-6.04372.45-6.041217.060.42-
2022/12403.25-8.63-22.695417.484.231347.540.38-
2022/11441.36-12.24-8.025014.237.241453.960.35-
2022/10502.93-1.325.14572.878.981456.360.35-
2022/9509.6714.850.174069.949.481424.520.53-
2022/8443.75-5.8-8.853560.2710.961435.630.52-
2022/7471.1-9.533.513116.5114.51386.980.54-
2022/6520.7831.826.182645.4216.711357.470.56-
2022/5395.11-10.5211.812124.6414.61372.370.55-
2022/4441.58-17.5615.611729.5315.261333.120.57-
2022/3535.6850.5330.651287.9515.151287.950.59-
2022/2355.86-10.2213.09752.276.181273.890.6-
2022/1396.41-24.00.65396.410.651397.920.55-
2021/12521.628.6920.675197.322.251480.010.42-
2021/11479.890.2819.534675.70.531467.190.43-
2021/10478.5-5.9513.644195.81-1.251474.180.42-
2021/9508.84.5-2.053717.31-2.891450.790.48-
2021/8486.886.978.833208.51-3.021354.710.51-
2021/7455.1110.27-6.542721.63-4.881221.20.56-
2021/6412.7216.79-22.722266.52-4.541148.040.46-
2021/5353.37-7.48-23.281853.80.731145.330.46-
2021/4381.95-6.84-22.51500.438.751106.610.48-
2021/3410.0130.3-2.141118.4826.121118.480.41-
2021/2314.65-20.180.82708.4751.441140.710.4109年為配合新冠狀病毒防疫影響復工時間
2021/1393.82-8.8834.04393.8234.041227.530.37-
2020/12432.247.66-0.365082.951.461254.780.33-
2020/11401.48-4.655.554650.711.631342.040.31-
2020/10421.06-18.94-12.594249.241.281387.90.3-
2020/9519.516.1214.93828.173.081453.80.32-
2020/8447.34-8.138.043308.681.441468.390.32-
2020/7486.96-8.8215.692861.330.481481.680.32-
2020/6534.0915.9411.952374.37-2.151487.580.36-
2020/5460.63-6.5312.651840.28-5.61372.490.39-
2020/4492.8617.6225.691379.65-10.451085.860.49-
2020/3419.0140.79-3.4886.79-22.79886.790.62-
2020/2174.01-40.77-33.11467.8-34.56901.630.61-
2020/1293.79-32.28-35.39293.79-35.391107.980.49-
2019/12433.8414.06-7.735009.7-1.160.0N/A-
2019/11380.36-21.04-6.914575.86-0.490.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1441.292023/1372.452022/1396.412021/1393.822020/1293.79
2024/2366.512023/2358.382022/2355.862021/2314.652020/2174.01
2024/3497.262023/3471.012022/3535.682021/3410.012020/3419.0
2024/4510.482023/4368.72022/4441.582021/4381.952020/4492.86
2024/5521.82023/5460.612022/5395.112021/5353.372020/5460.63
2024/6509.32023/6477.22022/6520.782021/6412.722020/6534.09
2024/7555.332023/7418.332022/7471.12021/7455.112020/7486.96
2024/8520.282023/8464.792022/8443.752021/8486.882020/8447.34
2024/9562.542023/9475.292022/9509.672021/9508.82020/9519.5
2024/10646.852023/10404.022022/10502.932021/10478.52020/10421.06
N/AN/A2023/11441.42022/11441.362021/11479.892020/11401.48
N/AN/A2023/12435.282022/12403.252021/12521.622020/12432.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 44.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)159.426.7112.21
24Q2 (19)149.397.668.27
24Q1 (18)138.761.622.27
23Q4 (17)136.55-3.898.4
23Q3 (16)142.072.9677.74
23Q2 (15)137.981.789.04
23Q1 (14)135.687.7176.53
22Q4 (13)125.9757.666.56
22Q3 (12)79.939.516.69
22Q2 (11)72.99-5.041.39
22Q1 (10)76.861.636.74
21Q4 (9)75.630.95-3.39
21Q3 (8)74.924.070.86
21Q2 (7)71.99-0.033.76
21Q1 (6)72.01-8.019.06
20Q4 (5)78.285.3921.38
20Q3 (4)74.287.060.0
20Q2 (3)69.385.070.0
20Q1 (2)66.032.390.0
19Q4 (1)64.490.00.0

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