玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.924.9765.2232.06-13.5310.37N/A本月增減百分比達50%以上,係電機事業群本月交貨較去年同期增加。
2024/103.12-6.7-3.3228.16-18.899.41N/A-
2024/93.3413.59-12.5625.04-20.489.621.98-
2024/82.94-11.692.6421.7-21.588.472.25-
2024/73.3351.88-0.2618.75-24.388.152.34-
2024/62.2-16.17-48.7415.42-28.147.512.39-
2024/52.62-2.93-39.0713.22-23.08.492.12-
2024/42.7-14.9-20.1510.6-17.648.632.08-
2024/33.1715.03-28.27.91-16.747.912.19-
2024/22.7639.3510.014.73-6.789.541.82-
2024/11.98-58.8-23.141.98-23.149.141.9-
2023/124.8103.4137.3241.89-19.9510.391.82-
2023/112.36-26.87-56.1237.08-24.059.412.01電機事業群、光電製造業及智動化事業群本月交貨較去年同期減少變動比超過50%。
2023/103.23-15.62-0.7834.72-20.089.921.91-
2023/93.8333.36-18.0531.5-21.6410.041.32-
2023/82.87-14.2-15.4227.67-22.1110.51.26-
2023/73.34-21.937.4624.8-22.8111.931.11-
2023/64.28-0.37-17.1421.46-26.0611.960.94-
2023/54.327.2-14.1717.17-27.9912.10.93-
2023/43.38-23.47-37.8712.88-31.6710.31.09-
2023/34.4276.276.279.5-29.159.51.28-
2023/22.51-2.64-47.555.08-45.088.581.42-
2023/12.57-26.38-42.432.57-42.4311.451.06-
2022/123.5-35.0-9.3452.3234.0912.131.05-
2022/115.3865.3545.0448.8338.8613.30.96-
2022/103.25-30.311.5143.4538.1311.311.13-
2022/94.6737.6449.140.242.2811.171.13-
2022/83.399.014.8835.5341.4311.671.08-
2022/73.11-39.8111.9632.1346.8313.290.95-
2022/65.173.287.1529.0251.915.620.71係智動化事業群及發電機事業群之客戶擴廠致需求增加,使得本月較去年同期增加50%以上。
2022/55.01-7.9244.5523.8545.9414.610.76-
2022/45.4430.964.7118.8446.3214.370.77主係智動化事業群及發電機事業群之客戶擴廠致需求增加,使得本月較去年同期增加50%以上。
2022/34.16-13.010.8313.439.9813.40.88-
2022/24.786.84106.849.2558.7313.110.9增加達50%以上係因機電及智動化事業群出貨增加所致
2022/14.4715.9427.144.4727.1412.040.98-
2021/123.863.982.0239.0210.0310.771.1-
2021/113.7115.739.1235.1610.9910.041.18-
2021/103.22.3437.3231.4511.219.571.23-
2021/93.13-3.17-14.6728.258.869.140.96-
2021/83.2316.379.3625.1212.748.771.0-
2021/72.780.59-6.621.8813.269.010.97-
2021/62.76-20.282.8619.1116.889.531.0-
2021/53.474.915.0816.3419.6310.520.9-
2021/43.3-11.9-12.4912.8820.929.361.01-
2021/33.7562.3443.739.5839.279.580.81-
2021/22.31-34.3218.655.8336.549.610.81-
2021/13.52-6.9551.553.5251.5510.70.72本月增加達51%係因光電及機電產品出貨增加所致
2020/123.7811.211.9335.46-5.039.510.75-
2020/113.445.6355.8731.68-5.89.40.76本月營收較去年本月營收增加,係為機電產品出貨增加所致。
2020/102.33-36.4-18.7128.28-10.078.960.8-
2020/93.6724.1121.2825.95-9.29.60.68-
2020/82.96-0.61-28.3222.28-12.828.620.76-
2020/72.9810.79-15.2519.32-9.838.670.75-
2020/62.69-10.8130.2916.35-8.779.470.75-
2020/53.01-20.236.6313.66-13.849.390.76-
2020/43.7744.6914.8110.65-18.288.330.86-
2020/32.6134.01-30.786.88-29.456.880.91-
2020/21.95-16.11-30.514.27-28.617.980.78-
2020/12.32-37.42-26.942.32-26.940.0N/A-
2019/123.7170.0627.5837.34-5.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.982023/12.572022/14.472021/13.522020/12.32
2024/22.762023/22.512022/24.782021/22.312020/21.95
2024/33.172023/34.422022/34.162021/33.752020/32.61
2024/42.72023/43.382022/45.442021/43.32020/43.77
2024/52.622023/54.32022/55.012021/53.472020/53.01
2024/62.22023/64.282022/65.172021/62.762020/62.69
2024/73.332023/73.342022/73.112021/72.782020/72.98
2024/82.942023/82.872022/83.392021/83.232020/82.96
2024/93.342023/93.832022/94.672021/93.132020/93.67
2024/103.122023/103.232022/103.252021/103.22020/102.33
2024/113.92023/112.362022/115.382021/113.712020/113.4
N/AN/A2023/124.82022/123.52021/123.862020/123.78
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 85.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)14.746.2714.0
24Q2 (19)13.876.280.22
24Q1 (18)13.0514.07-12.0
23Q4 (17)11.44-11.52-1.29
23Q3 (16)12.93-6.5816.7
23Q2 (15)13.84-6.68109.06
23Q1 (14)14.8327.96134.65
22Q4 (13)11.594.659.42
22Q3 (12)11.0867.3791.36
22Q2 (11)6.624.7547.44
22Q1 (10)6.32-13.0714.29
21Q4 (9)7.2725.5694.39
21Q3 (8)5.7928.9511.13
21Q2 (7)4.49-18.8116.02
21Q1 (6)5.5347.8632.61
20Q4 (5)3.74-28.21-7.2
20Q3 (4)5.2134.630.0
20Q2 (3)3.87-7.190.0
20Q1 (2)4.173.470.0
19Q4 (1)4.030.00.0

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