玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.66-13.099.678.1829.292.41N/A-
2024/90.76-24.36-1.217.5231.342.650.5-
2024/81.011.8554.56.7636.362.780.48來自本公司自有品牌的美洲區出貨及影像產品銷售成長所貢獻。
2024/70.890.289.545.7633.642.660.5-
2024/60.891.0668.934.8739.262.640.54來自本公司自有品牌的美洲區出貨及電腦週邊銷售成長所貢獻。
2024/50.881.9855.653.9834.02.620.55來自本公司自有品牌的歐美區客戶訂單成長。
2024/40.86-1.4332.173.128.92.290.63-
2024/30.8860.4223.122.2427.692.240.65-
2024/20.55-32.854.311.3630.822.040.71-
2024/10.8120.2157.720.8157.722.190.66來自本公司自有品牌的美洲區銷售及子公司行車紀錄器銷售成長所貢獻。
2023/120.68-2.694.417.7-24.61.970.81-
2023/110.716.2168.257.02-26.572.060.77來自本公司自有品牌的歐洲區銷售及子公司行車紀錄器銷售成長所貢獻。
2023/100.6-21.72-2.536.32-30.852.010.79-
2023/90.7618.2912.685.72-32.892.230.81-
2023/80.65-20.69-40.434.96-36.831.990.91-
2023/70.8254.66-37.734.31-36.261.910.95-
2023/60.53-6.88-36.423.5-35.91.751.03-
2023/50.57-13.396.472.97-35.811.930.93-
2023/40.65-8.18-48.52.41-41.31.890.95-
2023/30.7135.92-21.811.75-38.061.751.14-
2023/20.521.515.291.04-45.781.691.18-
2023/10.52-20.42-63.670.52-63.671.581.271俄烏戰爭及高利率影響歐洲需求2貨幣眨值及進口管制政策抑制拉丁美洲訂單3行車紀錄器產品出貨大幅萎縮4農曆春節假期工作天數減半
2022/120.6556.79-46.7810.21-25.271.681.37-
2022/110.41-32.68-62.569.56-23.161.711.34通膨、升息及美元走強普遍影響客戶所在國家購買力及消費者需求,加上日本客戶行車記錄器專案訂單萎縮,致營收大幅衰退。
2022/100.61-9.49-52.189.15-19.332.380.96通膨、升息及美元走強普遍影響客戶所在國家購買力及消費者需求,加上日本客戶行車記錄器專案訂單萎縮,致營收大幅衰退。
2022/90.68-37.46-43.448.53-15.133.070.8-
2022/81.09-17.1-7.027.85-11.293.220.77-
2022/71.3157.9330.466.77-11.942.670.93-
2022/60.8355.92-7.855.46-18.312.631.03-
2022/50.53-58.11-9.954.63-19.932.711.0-
2022/41.2739.445.294.1-21.072.681.01-
2022/30.9183.06-44.872.83-34.52.831.06-
2022/20.5-64.98-45.831.92-28.073.140.96-
2022/11.4216.58-18.741.42-18.743.740.8-
2021/121.2210.3-16.7213.66-17.383.610.94-
2021/111.1-14.02-20.9712.44-17.443.590.95-
2021/101.287.06-30.7811.34-17.083.650.93-
2021/91.22.79-47.6710.05-14.933.371.23-
2021/81.1716.32-31.478.85-7.053.071.36-
2021/71.011.56-20.427.68-1.732.491.67-
2021/60.952.32-10.466.681.852.361.43-
2021/50.59-32.41-43.175.784.083.121.08-
2021/40.87-47.24-25.025.1914.963.450.98-
2021/31.6680.3515.384.3228.994.320.65-
2021/20.92-47.47137.872.6739.194.130.68去年2月受疫情影響出貨減少,比較基期過低,所以成長幅度比較大。
2021/11.7519.4814.281.7514.284.610.61-
2020/121.464.6820.5716.532.974.720.56-
2020/111.4-24.69-9.0515.071.535.550.48-
2020/101.86-19.0618.4913.672.765.850.45-
2020/92.2934.6139.5411.820.665.260.4-
2020/81.735.060.139.52-5.663.970.53-
2020/71.2625.287.267.82-6.843.310.64-
2020/61.01-3.12-14.476.56-9.113.210.52-
2020/51.04-10.83-12.725.55-8.063.640.46-
2020/41.17-18.8-12.844.52-6.922.990.56-
2020/31.44271.810.173.35-4.673.350.5-
2020/20.39-74.76-49.331.92-13.413.150.53-
2020/11.5323.795.451.535.454.30.39-
2019/121.24-19.6-40.7516.08-20.40.0N/A-
2019/111.54-1.88-17.9914.84-18.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.812023/10.522022/11.422021/11.752020/11.53
2024/20.552023/20.522022/20.52021/20.922020/20.39
2024/30.882023/30.712022/30.912021/31.662020/31.44
2024/40.862023/40.652022/41.272021/40.872020/41.17
2024/50.882023/50.572022/50.532021/50.592020/51.04
2024/60.892023/60.532022/60.832021/60.92020/61.01
2024/70.892023/70.822022/71.312021/71.02020/71.26
2024/81.02023/80.652022/81.092021/81.172020/81.7
2024/90.762023/90.762022/90.682021/91.22020/92.29
2024/100.662023/100.62022/100.612021/101.282020/101.86
N/AN/A2023/110.72022/110.412021/111.12020/111.4
N/AN/A2023/120.682022/120.652021/121.222020/121.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.37-7.50
24Q2 (19)0.4-9.0953.85
24Q1 (18)0.44083.33

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