玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101358.93-12.3848.6911293.3627.014361.8N/A-
2024/91551.16.8457.859934.4324.534245.490.53接單暢旺且適逢季節性需求上揚,使營收增加
2024/81451.7716.8343.238383.3319.853807.580.59-
2024/71242.6311.6243.06931.5615.893368.790.66-
2024/61113.189.8923.445688.9411.283099.540.6-
2024/51012.994.0631.534575.758.673003.450.61-
2024/4973.37-4.2925.043562.773.562833.40.65-
2024/31017.0920.669.642589.39-2.722589.390.57-
2024/2842.9315.571.131572.3-9.332501.330.59-
2024/1729.37-21.49-19.02729.37-19.022694.40.55-
2023/12929.03-10.32-12.6210856.11-15.282878.960.43-
2023/111036.0113.35-7.579927.08-15.522932.520.42-
2023/10913.93-6.98-15.998891.08-16.362910.060.43-
2023/9982.58-3.05-18.627977.15-16.412865.050.5-
2023/81013.5516.64-23.136994.57-16.082784.240.52-
2023/7868.91-3.64-32.885981.01-14.762540.80.57-
2023/6901.7717.09-27.145112.1-10.662450.290.6-
2023/5770.11-1.06-3.684210.33-6.112476.110.6-
2023/4778.41-16.0816.653440.22-6.642539.510.58-
2023/3927.5911.28-15.892661.81-11.792661.810.64-
2023/2833.51-7.46-8.091734.22-9.432797.510.61-
2023/1900.71-15.29-10.64900.71-10.643084.970.55-
2022/121063.29-5.14-14.7612815.6513.463272.170.69-
2022/111120.973.03-1.0111752.1116.973416.340.66-
2022/101087.91-9.98.0910631.1419.253614.060.62-
2022/91207.47-8.4347.049543.2420.673820.750.66-
2022/81318.691.8655.658335.7717.613851.130.66與去年同期相較,本期由於產品組合差異,高單價產品出貨比重顯著提升,使月營收年增幅度逾5成,並續創史上新高。
2022/71294.64.5836.627017.0812.453331.990.76-
2022/61237.8454.8136.945722.498.122704.670.94-
2022/5799.5519.82-5.994484.652.192569.720.99-
2022/4667.28-39.49-21.343685.094.162677.090.95-
2022/31102.8821.616.763017.8112.23017.810.83-
2022/2906.92-10.0213.151914.939.733162.390.79-
2022/11008.0-19.196.831008.06.833387.920.74-
2021/121247.4610.1513.5911294.553.533386.350.58-
2021/111132.4512.5210.0710047.092.412960.030.66-
2021/101006.4422.5611.48914.631.512674.760.74-
2021/9821.14-3.07-26.927908.20.372615.890.73-
2021/8847.18-10.59-20.117087.054.922698.630.71-
2021/7947.574.83-13.06239.889.582701.970.71-
2021/6903.896.27-3.295292.3114.932602.780.63-
2021/5850.520.25-8.884388.4319.572643.410.62-
2021/4848.37-10.181.723537.929.282594.360.63-
2021/3944.5217.8420.912689.5441.352689.540.6-
2021/2801.47-15.0562.911745.0155.592843.220.57去年同期因疫情影響,工廠延後開工,導致營收基期較低
2021/1943.54-14.0849.86943.5449.863070.510.53-
2020/121098.26.7418.2310908.645.953030.360.49-
2020/111028.7613.87-5.49810.444.733055.90.49-
2020/10903.39-19.6-5.658781.676.063087.60.48-
2020/91123.755.9624.477878.287.593273.480.49-
2020/81060.46-2.6415.436754.545.223084.450.52-
2020/71089.2816.5331.245694.083.512957.470.54-
2020/6934.710.1318.414604.8-1.412702.160.58-
2020/5933.4811.935.263670.09-5.442548.570.61-
2020/4833.976.766.742736.61-8.612107.030.74-
2020/3781.1258.786.211902.64-14.031902.640.79-
2020/2491.94-21.86-21.741121.52-24.112050.340.74-
2020/1629.58-32.21-25.86629.58-25.862645.90.57-
2019/12928.82-14.59-9.5210295.980.150.0N/A-
2019/111087.513.57-1.869367.161.230.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1729.372023/1900.712022/11008.02021/1943.542020/1629.58
2024/2842.932023/2833.512022/2906.922021/2801.472020/2491.94
2024/31017.092023/3927.592022/31102.882021/3944.522020/3781.12
2024/4973.372023/4778.412022/4667.282021/4848.372020/4833.97
2024/51012.992023/5770.112022/5799.552021/5850.522020/5933.48
2024/61113.182023/6901.772022/61237.842021/6903.892020/6934.71
2024/71242.632023/7868.912022/71294.62021/7947.572020/71089.28
2024/81451.772023/81013.552022/81318.692021/8847.182020/81060.46
2024/91551.12023/9982.582022/91207.472021/9821.142020/91123.75
2024/101358.932023/10913.932022/101087.912021/101006.442020/10903.39
N/AN/A2023/111036.012022/111120.972021/111132.452020/111028.76
N/AN/A2023/12929.032022/121063.292021/121247.462020/121098.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 237.15%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)916.04-0.366.4
24Q2 (19)919.382.3514.28
24Q1 (18)898.2411.259.08
23Q4 (17)807.43-6.22-5.94
23Q3 (16)860.957.02-11.72
23Q2 (15)804.48-2.38.33
23Q1 (14)823.46-4.0827.56
22Q4 (13)858.45-11.9754.29
22Q3 (12)975.2331.3283.77
22Q2 (11)742.6315.0335.51
22Q1 (10)645.5716.0315.37
21Q4 (9)556.384.843.18
21Q3 (8)530.69-3.16-1.66
21Q2 (7)548.03-2.066.06
21Q1 (6)559.553.777.18
20Q4 (5)539.24-0.0814.28
20Q3 (4)539.654.440.0
20Q2 (3)516.71-1.020.0
20Q1 (2)522.0510.640.0
19Q4 (1)471.860.00.0

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