玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1116.27-5.78.6193.7318.3851.07N/A-
2024/1017.26-1.5716.77177.4519.3754.04N/A-
2024/917.54-8.8915.94160.1919.6655.130.2-
2024/819.254.8920.44142.6620.1355.140.2-
2024/718.354.5829.75123.4120.0854.640.2-
2024/617.54-6.3820.64105.0618.5455.790.17-
2024/518.74-3.918.6987.5118.1356.060.17-
2024/419.59.5141.6768.7717.9752.410.18-
2024/317.8117.978.6749.2710.6549.270.23-
2024/215.1-7.737.5331.4611.845.960.25-
2024/116.3612.8516.0616.3616.0645.850.25-
2023/1214.5-3.252.72178.14-10.2844.260.22-
2023/1114.991.39-2.58163.64-11.2844.890.21-
2023/1014.78-2.28-2.49148.65-12.0745.880.21-
2023/915.12-5.35-2.95133.87-13.0145.250.23-
2023/815.9812.992.24118.75-14.1444.670.23-
2023/714.14-2.75-13.7102.77-16.2344.480.23-
2023/614.54-7.89-19.0788.62-16.6244.10.2-
2023/515.7914.69-19.8874.08-16.1345.950.19-
2023/413.77-15.991.2258.29-15.0544.190.2-
2023/316.3916.74-19.344.52-19.0744.520.24-
2023/214.04-0.42-12.5628.14-18.9442.250.25-
2023/114.1-0.12-24.4314.1-24.4343.60.25-
2022/1214.11-8.25-23.38198.56-20.6644.660.24-
2022/1115.381.49-21.58184.44-20.4546.130.24-
2022/1015.16-2.73-22.56169.06-20.3446.370.23-
2022/915.58-0.28-30.12153.9-20.1247.60.29-
2022/815.63-4.62-30.31138.32-18.8149.990.28-
2022/716.39-8.8-23.69122.69-17.0654.070.26-
2022/617.97-8.82-25.64106.3-15.9451.280.31-
2022/519.7144.91-13.3988.33-13.6453.620.29-
2022/413.6-33.03-34.1868.62-13.7149.960.32-
2022/320.3126.49-6.855.02-6.5355.020.33-
2022/216.06-13.94-4.3834.71-6.3753.130.34-
2022/118.661.27-8.0218.66-8.0256.70.32-
2021/1218.42-6.09-6.73250.2815.8557.610.29-
2021/1119.620.218.32231.8618.1361.50.27-
2021/1019.57-12.2310.98212.2419.1264.310.26-
2021/922.3-0.557.15192.6720.0266.210.28-
2021/822.434.4316.93170.3621.9468.070.27-
2021/721.48-11.1413.72147.9422.7368.40.27-
2021/624.176.1935.33126.4624.4167.590.26-
2021/522.7610.1218.19102.2922.0865.210.27-
2021/420.67-5.166.7779.5323.2459.250.3-
2021/321.7929.7822.7158.8730.2958.870.31-
2021/216.79-17.2247.9637.0735.2156.830.32-
2021/120.282.6826.2120.2826.2158.150.32-
2020/1219.759.0711.23216.023.1355.50.31-
2020/1118.112.67-4.66196.272.3856.560.3-
2020/1017.64-15.25-0.2178.163.1657.630.3-
2020/920.818.5120.33160.523.5458.880.3-
2020/819.181.568.15139.711.4355.920.31-
2020/718.895.7414.03120.530.4456.00.31-
2020/617.86-7.258.84101.64-1.7356.470.27-
2020/519.26-0.54.1383.79-3.7256.370.27-
2020/419.358.9811.6864.53-5.8448.460.31-
2020/317.7656.49-1.6245.18-11.7745.180.4-
2020/211.35-29.39-14.3827.42-17.345.180.4-
2020/116.07-9.49-19.2516.07-19.250.0N/A-
2019/1217.76-6.5210.37209.46-13.020.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.362023/114.12022/118.662021/120.282020/116.07
2024/215.12023/214.042022/216.062021/216.792020/211.35
2024/317.812023/316.392022/320.312021/321.792020/317.76
2024/419.52023/413.772022/413.62021/420.672020/419.35
2024/518.742023/515.792022/519.712021/522.762020/519.26
2024/617.542023/614.542022/617.972021/624.172020/617.86
2024/718.352023/714.142022/716.392021/721.482020/718.89
2024/819.252023/815.982022/815.632021/822.432020/819.18
2024/917.542023/915.122022/915.582021/922.32020/920.81
2024/1017.262023/1014.782022/1015.162021/1019.572020/1017.64
2024/1116.272023/1114.992022/1115.382021/1119.622020/1118.11
N/AN/A2023/1214.52022/1214.112021/1218.422020/1219.75
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.92%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.8526.87254.17
24Q2 (19)0.67-40.71272.22
24Q1 (18)1.13105.45413.64
23Q4 (17)0.55129.17223.53
23Q3 (16)0.2433.33-27.27
23Q2 (15)0.18-18.18-74.65
23Q1 (14)0.2229.41-71.05
22Q4 (13)0.17-48.48-75.0
22Q3 (12)0.33-53.5232.0
22Q2 (11)0.71-6.58136.67
22Q1 (10)0.7611.7672.73
21Q4 (9)0.68172.0209.09
21Q3 (8)0.25-16.6738.89
21Q2 (7)0.3-31.82-9.09
21Q1 (6)0.44100.0120.0
20Q4 (5)0.2222.22-8.33
20Q3 (4)0.18-45.450.0
20Q2 (3)0.3365.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2-16.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.240.00.0

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