玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.11-6.710.3954.3217.5616.79N/A-
2024/95.48-11.6413.5349.2118.3617.870.66-
2024/86.20.217.9443.7319.018.320.64-
2024/76.194.2415.1337.5319.1718.080.65-
2024/65.94-0.3135.0531.3420.017.880.68-
2024/55.95-0.5321.4725.4116.9617.580.69-
2024/45.996.1522.5219.4515.6514.870.82-
2024/35.6473.6919.1313.4712.8313.470.93-
2024/23.25-29.13-18.097.838.6912.111.04-
2024/14.587.0741.54.5841.513.730.92-
2023/124.28-12.1619.2955.35-17.4513.780.99-
2023/114.875.2332.7151.08-19.5214.330.95-
2023/104.63-4.064.3646.2-22.7314.710.93-
2023/94.83-8.25.5941.57-24.915.461.04-
2023/85.26-2.178.7236.75-27.6515.031.07-
2023/75.3722.278.1631.49-31.4714.671.1-
2023/64.4-10.34-23.2826.12-36.2814.181.25-
2023/54.90.33-24.3621.72-38.3914.521.22-
2023/44.893.21-36.016.82-41.5513.581.31-
2023/34.7319.41-37.8411.94-43.5511.941.68-
2023/23.9622.43-41.287.2-46.7710.791.86-
2023/13.24-9.73-52.233.24-52.2310.51.91全球半導體自2022年Q4以來需求急凍,整體產業庫存過高所致。
2022/123.59-2.28-43.667.06-15.7611.691.92-
2022/113.67-17.23-45.0563.47-13.3412.681.77-
2022/104.44-2.93-38.7559.8-10.1613.841.62-
2022/94.57-5.49-33.8655.36-6.6714.371.57-
2022/84.83-2.68-32.9450.79-3.0915.531.46-
2022/74.97-13.27-31.0245.961.6617.181.32-
2022/65.73-11.6-19.9440.997.8619.850.99-
2022/56.48-15.11-9.5835.2614.3121.730.91-
2022/47.630.2514.0428.7821.5522.00.9-
2022/37.6212.818.3621.1524.5121.150.81-
2022/26.75-0.447.5813.5328.2519.890.87-
2022/16.786.5713.456.7813.4519.820.87-
2021/126.36-4.781.5879.6124.1120.280.72-
2021/116.68-7.766.9273.2526.5520.830.7-
2021/107.244.8115.5766.5728.9221.360.69-
2021/96.91-4.16-0.8659.3230.7721.320.61-
2021/87.210.113.1252.4236.5121.570.6-
2021/77.20.649.4745.2141.1621.530.6-
2021/67.16-0.1532.6738.049.3621.020.51-
2021/57.177.0650.0630.8553.8520.30.53受惠於新冠疫情影響,視訊相關產品、筆記型電腦及相關周邊市場需求增加所致。
2021/46.694.0535.7823.6855.0417.70.61受惠於新冠疫情影響,耳溫槍、視訊相關產品、筆記型電腦及相關周邊市場需求增加所致。
2021/36.4340.6450.1216.9864.2116.980.59受惠於新冠疫情影響,耳溫槍、視訊相關產品、筆記型電腦及相關周邊市場需求增加所致。
2021/24.57-23.4248.4910.5574.1916.610.6受惠於新冠疫情影響,耳溫槍、視訊相關產品、筆記型電腦及相關周邊市場需求增加所致。
2021/15.97-1.49100.795.97100.7918.310.55受惠於新冠疫情影響,耳溫槍、視訊相關產品、筆記型電腦及相關周邊市場需求增加所致。
2020/126.07-3.2327.3264.416.8218.540.46-
2020/116.271.0154.7258.3315.8319.510.44受惠新冠疫情衍生的遠距上班(課) ,筆記型電腦及相關週邊市場需求增加。
2020/106.21-11.7940.3252.0712.4319.680.44-
2020/97.049.2146.445.869.4820.140.46-
2020/86.44-3.3135.7438.824.718.620.5-
2020/76.6620.827.5832.380.1417.020.55-
2020/65.5214.013.8525.72-5.1315.30.67-
2020/54.84-2.12-11.3420.2-9.2714.150.72-
2020/44.9413.14-1.4715.37-8.5912.390.82-
2020/34.3741.79-6.4210.42-11.6210.420.88-
2020/23.083.53-4.076.06-15.0310.820.85-
2020/12.98-37.54-24.022.98-24.0211.790.78-
2019/124.7617.5913.1955.12-9.30.0N/A-
2019/114.05-8.38-6.4350.36-10.970.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.582023/13.242022/16.782021/15.972020/12.98
2024/23.252023/23.962022/26.752021/24.572020/23.08
2024/35.642023/34.732022/37.622021/36.432020/34.37
2024/45.992023/44.892022/47.632021/46.692020/44.94
2024/55.952023/54.92022/56.482021/57.172020/54.84
2024/65.942023/64.42022/65.732021/67.162020/65.52
2024/76.192023/75.372022/74.972021/77.22020/76.66
2024/86.22023/85.262022/84.832021/87.212020/86.44
2024/95.482023/94.832022/94.572021/96.912020/97.04
2024/105.112023/104.632022/104.442021/107.242020/106.21
N/AN/A2023/114.872022/113.672021/116.682020/116.27
N/AN/A2023/124.282022/123.592021/126.362020/126.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.68%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.425.0-29.82
24Q2 (19)0.32-13.51-46.67
24Q1 (18)0.3719.350.0
23Q4 (17)0.31-45.61-43.64
23Q3 (16)0.57-5.026.67
23Q2 (15)0.662.1613.21
23Q1 (14)0.37-32.7312.12
22Q4 (13)0.5522.2271.88
22Q3 (12)0.45-15.0987.5
22Q2 (11)0.5360.6170.97
22Q1 (10)0.333.12-28.26
21Q4 (9)0.3233.33-55.56
21Q3 (8)0.24-22.58-22.58
21Q2 (7)0.31-32.6140.91
21Q1 (6)0.46-36.1191.67
20Q4 (5)0.72132.26140.0
20Q3 (4)0.3140.910.0
20Q2 (3)0.22-8.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.24-20.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.30.00.0

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