玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.85-4.26-14.0683.66-4.0425.13N/A-
2024/98.2-9.81-21.375.81-2.8725.172.42-
2024/89.0915.233.5367.62-0.0323.822.56-
2024/77.8915.25-2.3958.53-0.5622.712.69-
2024/66.84-14.3-25.5550.64-0.2723.322.4-
2024/57.99-5.96-5.6343.85.325.322.21-
2024/48.49-4.020.5835.818.125.362.21-
2024/38.8510.2-14.8727.324.7327.322.09-
2024/28.03-23.18-0.1618.4817.7127.472.08-
2024/110.4516.1436.510.4536.528.232.02-
2023/129.02.4812.83104.96-13.4126.911.86-
2023/118.78-3.83-2.395.96-15.2628.321.77-
2023/109.13-12.331.087.18-16.3728.321.77-
2023/910.4118.650.3178.05-18.0227.271.3-
2023/88.788.62-12.5567.64-20.2726.051.36-
2023/78.08-12.09-21.1258.86-21.3125.731.37-
2023/69.198.61-13.2350.78-21.3424.71.02-
2023/58.4620.17-17.9741.59-22.9325.90.98-
2023/47.04-32.24-23.0833.13-24.125.470.99-
2023/310.3929.25-15.6126.09-24.3726.090.94-
2023/28.045.02-23.2315.7-29.2323.671.04-
2023/17.66-3.99-34.67.66-34.624.621.0-
2022/127.97-11.26-30.24121.22-15.3126.01.21-
2022/118.99-0.57-23.77113.25-14.0128.411.11-
2022/109.04-12.92-23.13104.26-13.0629.461.07-
2022/910.383.42-2.2195.22-11.9630.661.38-
2022/810.04-2.01-12.0784.84-13.0230.871.37-
2022/710.24-3.29-22.4274.81-13.1531.151.36-
2022/610.592.67-13.6964.56-11.4730.061.85-
2022/510.3212.69-19.2353.97-11.0231.791.75-
2022/49.15-25.66-28.9943.65-8.8331.941.75-
2022/312.3217.57-8.6134.5-1.434.51.6-
2022/210.47-10.528.0422.183.1133.611.64-
2022/111.712.39-0.9211.71-0.9234.931.58-
2021/1211.43-3.0310.48143.1525.0534.981.65-
2021/1111.790.2620.95131.7226.534.171.69-
2021/1011.7610.7621.71119.9327.0733.791.71-
2021/910.62-6.996.6108.1727.6835.241.47-
2021/811.42-13.5540.6197.5530.4936.91.41-
2021/713.217.5937.9586.1329.2638.251.36-
2021/612.27-3.9142.1472.9327.837.941.12-
2021/512.77-0.9253.5560.6525.2539.141.09去年同期受疫情影響,基期較低
2021/412.89-4.3263.1547.8819.3836.061.18去年同期受疫情影響,基期較低
2021/313.4839.031.8634.998.6334.990.96-
2021/29.69-17.95-14.1221.51-2.1531.861.05-
2021/111.8214.1810.4711.8210.4731.911.05-
2020/1210.356.157.04114.47-15.1829.761.07-
2020/119.750.89-16.42104.12-16.929.371.09-
2020/109.66-2.98-16.2194.37-16.9427.741.15-
2020/99.9622.67-4.6884.71-17.0327.651.15-
2020/88.12-15.19-25.3574.75-18.4426.331.2-
2020/79.5710.85-22.4266.63-17.5126.531.19-
2020/68.643.79-13.7557.06-16.6224.861.23-
2020/58.325.27-23.7548.43-17.1126.441.16-
2020/47.9-22.66-26.2540.11-15.5929.411.04-
2020/310.22-9.47-16.3732.2-12.4832.20.78-
2020/211.295.553.8721.98-10.5531.650.8-
2020/110.710.64-21.9910.7-21.9932.030.79-
2019/129.67-17.12-7.19134.96-23.380.0N/A-
2019/1111.661.14-17.16125.3-24.40.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/110.452023/17.662022/111.712021/111.822020/110.7
2024/28.032023/28.042022/210.472021/29.692020/211.29
2024/38.852023/310.392022/312.322021/313.482020/310.22
2024/48.492023/47.042022/49.152021/412.892020/47.9
2024/57.992023/58.462022/510.322021/512.772020/58.32
2024/66.842023/69.192022/610.592021/612.272020/68.64
2024/77.892023/78.082022/710.242021/713.212020/79.57
2024/89.092023/88.782022/810.042021/811.422020/88.12
2024/98.22023/910.412022/910.382021/910.622020/99.96
2024/107.852023/109.132022/109.042021/1011.762020/109.66
N/AN/A2023/118.782022/118.992021/1111.792020/119.75
N/AN/A2023/129.02022/127.972021/1211.432020/1210.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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