玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.09-3.89-39.0843.53-29.8512.62N/A-
2024/94.25-0.51-40.3939.44-28.7313.310.37-
2024/84.28-10.47-47.4135.19-27.0113.70.36-
2024/74.782.84-34.2730.91-22.8613.540.37-
2024/64.6412.69-25.226.13-20.3412.720.4-
2024/54.124.32-30.2321.49-19.211.880.43-
2024/43.953.87-23.5217.37-16.0512.420.41-
2024/33.8-18.51-25.9613.41-13.5713.410.41-
2024/24.67-5.57-9.59.61-7.4415.250.36-
2024/14.94-12.4-5.414.94-5.4117.090.32-
2023/125.64-13.17-15.9374.2-5.5118.860.29-
2023/116.5-3.17-1.3568.56-4.5420.350.27-
2023/106.71-5.96-6.162.06-4.8621.980.25-
2023/97.14-12.22-10.5755.35-4.7122.540.23-
2023/88.1311.89-0.1948.21-3.7721.610.24-
2023/77.2717.03-5.1540.07-4.4719.390.27-
2023/66.215.12-9.1632.81-4.3117.280.36-
2023/55.9114.36-6.4826.6-3.1116.210.38-
2023/45.170.560.6620.69-2.115.460.4-
2023/35.14-0.41-8.8815.52-2.9915.520.48-
2023/25.16-1.318.1610.380.2117.10.44-
2023/15.23-22.15-12.845.23-12.8418.530.4-
2022/126.711.8919.2978.5312.420.450.34-
2022/116.59-7.833.3171.8211.7921.720.32-
2022/107.15-10.4413.4365.2312.7323.280.3-
2022/97.98-2.0332.2358.0812.6423.790.27-
2022/88.156.3333.1150.110.0422.650.29-
2022/77.6612.0722.2841.956.4620.820.31-
2022/66.848.2313.5134.293.4618.290.43-
2022/56.3223.14.9327.451.2317.090.46-
2022/45.13-8.97-13.4721.130.1815.140.52-
2022/35.6429.143.8316.05.5216.00.46-
2022/24.37-27.2-0.4910.366.4615.990.46-
2022/16.06.5612.196.012.1918.00.41-
2021/125.63-11.75-1.8169.879.7718.310.32-
2021/116.381.189.6164.2410.9218.720.31-
2021/106.34.45.5157.8611.0718.460.32-
2021/96.04-1.37-3.1751.5611.7918.420.3-
2021/86.12-2.31-3.6745.5214.1218.410.3-
2021/76.274.034.0939.417.518.310.3-
2021/66.020.0631.6233.1420.4317.970.28-
2021/56.021.4943.5227.1118.217.380.29-
2021/45.939.2317.4821.0912.5315.750.32-
2021/35.4323.755.2215.1610.7115.160.3-
2021/24.39-17.9110.329.7314.0215.460.3-
2021/15.35-6.7417.265.3517.2616.90.27-
2020/125.73-1.48-3.5763.65-15.9117.520.24-
2020/115.82-2.59-16.2657.91-16.9618.030.23-
2020/105.97-4.19-5.5452.1-17.0418.560.23-
2020/96.23-1.890.3846.12-18.3318.610.21-
2020/86.355.56-12.4239.89-20.6416.950.24-
2020/76.0231.55-13.2533.53-22.0214.790.27-
2020/64.589.1-22.1827.51-23.7113.820.32-
2020/54.19-16.91-33.0322.94-24.0114.40.3-
2020/45.05-2.16-24.2118.74-21.6514.190.31-
2020/35.1629.74-18.5313.7-20.6613.70.34-
2020/23.98-12.75-5.918.54-21.914.480.32-
2020/14.56-23.31-31.984.56-31.9817.450.27-
2019/125.94-14.44-6.4275.69-13.910.0N/A-
2019/116.959.878.2869.75-14.490.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.942023/15.232022/16.02021/15.352020/14.56
2024/24.672023/25.162022/24.372021/24.392020/23.98
2024/33.82023/35.142022/35.642021/35.432020/35.16
2024/43.952023/45.172022/45.132021/45.932020/45.05
2024/54.122023/55.912022/56.322021/56.022020/54.19
2024/64.642023/66.212022/66.842021/66.022020/64.58
2024/74.782023/77.272022/77.662021/76.272020/76.02
2024/84.282023/88.132022/88.152021/86.122020/86.35
2024/94.252023/97.142022/97.982021/96.042020/96.23
2024/104.092023/106.712022/107.152021/106.32020/105.97
N/AN/A2023/116.52022/116.592021/116.382020/115.82
N/AN/A2023/125.642022/126.712021/125.632020/125.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1820.0-62.5
24Q2 (19)0.15-6.2536.36
24Q1 (18)0.16-58.97128.57
23Q4 (17)0.39-18.75116.67
23Q3 (16)0.48336.36140.0
23Q2 (15)0.1157.14-31.25
23Q1 (14)0.07-61.11-70.83
22Q4 (13)0.18-10.0-73.53
22Q3 (12)0.225.081.82
22Q2 (11)0.16-33.330.0
22Q1 (10)0.24-64.7141.18
21Q4 (9)0.68518.18518.18
21Q3 (8)0.11-31.25-21.43
21Q2 (7)0.16-5.88-5.88
21Q1 (6)0.1754.550.0
20Q4 (5)0.11-21.4337.5
20Q3 (4)0.14-17.650.0
20Q2 (3)0.170.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.17112.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.080.00.0

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