玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.58-7.8318.954.7315.017.72N/A-
2024/96.06-0.3224.4749.1514.5718.620.46-
2024/86.08-6.323.243.0913.3118.010.47-
2024/76.4918.9632.0937.0211.8317.730.48-
2024/65.45-5.938.6230.538.316.480.51-
2024/55.810.6423.025.088.2316.120.52-
2024/45.242.9711.7119.284.4614.020.6-
2024/35.0937.722.0814.042.014.040.59-
2024/23.69-29.85-19.278.961.9513.890.6-
2024/15.276.7625.015.2725.0115.140.55-
2023/124.93-0.18-14.3557.46-15.2514.570.55-
2023/114.945.24-15.2552.53-15.3414.50.55-
2023/104.69-3.52-16.1847.59-15.3514.490.55-
2023/94.87-1.34-20.8942.9-15.2514.710.56-
2023/84.930.45-22.0638.03-14.4814.860.55-
2023/74.91-2.17-24.3833.1-13.2214.640.56-
2023/65.026.52-14.4928.19-10.9314.420.6-
2023/54.710.49-9.7823.17-10.1214.380.6-
2023/44.69-5.9-3.2318.46-10.214.250.61-
2023/34.988.9-6.413.77-12.3513.770.69-
2023/24.588.63-5.118.79-15.414.550.66-
2023/14.21-26.86-24.324.21-24.3215.80.6-
2022/125.76-1.233.5167.815.6117.190.6去年本月及累計營收係會計師查核數
2022/115.834.095.0262.055.8117.580.58-
2022/105.6-8.943.9756.225.8918.080.57-
2022/96.15-2.81.6950.626.1118.970.62-
2022/86.33-2.538.5844.476.7518.690.63-
2022/76.4910.628.8938.146.4617.590.67-
2022/65.8712.388.2731.655.9715.940.78-
2022/55.227.78-0.8825.785.4615.390.8-
2022/44.85-8.98-10.7120.567.214.990.82-
2022/35.3210.393.5515.7114.2715.710.74-
2022/24.82-13.3522.7210.3920.6815.950.73-
2022/15.560.1118.975.5618.9716.670.7-
2021/125.560.1316.5364.234.3216.50.66-
2021/115.553.0519.3958.6436.2916.990.64-
2021/105.39-10.9336.8153.0938.3317.260.63-
2021/96.053.7736.9647.738.5117.840.58-
2021/85.83-2.2550.3841.6538.7417.210.6因客戶需求增加所致。
2021/75.969.9948.1635.8337.0116.650.62-
2021/65.422.8738.8229.8634.9816.120.61-
2021/55.27-2.944.5724.4434.1615.840.62-
2021/45.435.5528.7119.1731.5614.50.68-
2021/35.1430.8329.7813.7532.7113.750.64-
2021/23.93-15.9938.568.6134.5313.380.65-
2021/14.68-1.9431.324.6831.3214.10.62-
2020/124.772.5912.8247.8-4.313.360.56-
2020/114.6518.086.8243.03-5.8913.00.57-
2020/103.94-10.84-8.4438.38-7.2312.230.61-
2020/94.4213.947.6434.44-7.0912.320.58-
2020/83.88-3.69-10.8130.02-8.9211.80.6-
2020/74.023.06-7.3626.15-8.6311.570.61-
2020/63.97.13-0.3422.12-8.8611.760.6-
2020/53.64-13.54-8.8618.22-10.511.820.6-
2020/44.226.422.1714.57-10.911.010.64-
2020/33.9639.69-7.9810.36-15.3110.360.74-
2020/22.84-20.38-9.796.4-19.2910.630.72-
2020/13.56-15.75-25.543.56-25.5412.140.63-
2019/124.23-2.86-2.1849.95-2.570.0N/A0.152.65-
2019/114.351.2-8.1645.72-2.60.0N/A0.292.5-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.272023/14.212022/15.562021/14.682020/13.56
2024/23.692023/24.582022/24.822021/23.932020/22.84
2024/35.092023/34.982022/35.322021/35.142020/33.96
2024/45.242023/44.692022/44.852021/45.432020/44.22
2024/55.82023/54.712022/55.222021/55.272020/53.64
2024/65.452023/65.022022/65.872021/65.422020/63.9
2024/76.492023/74.912022/76.492021/75.962020/74.02
2024/86.082023/84.932022/86.332021/85.832020/83.88
2024/96.062023/94.872022/96.152021/96.052020/94.42
2024/105.582023/104.692022/105.62021/105.392020/103.94
N/AN/A2023/114.942022/115.832021/115.552020/114.65
N/AN/A2023/124.932022/125.762021/125.562020/124.77
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.23-42.5-4.17
24Q2 (19)0.466.6760.0
24Q1 (18)0.2426.32-4.0
23Q4 (17)0.19-20.83-51.28
23Q3 (16)0.24-4.0-22.58
23Q2 (15)0.250.013.64
23Q1 (14)0.25-35.978.57
22Q4 (13)0.3925.81160.0
22Q3 (12)0.3140.91287.5
22Q2 (11)0.2257.1469.23
22Q1 (10)0.14-6.677.69
21Q4 (9)0.1587.525.0
21Q3 (8)0.08-38.46-33.33
21Q2 (7)0.130.08.33
21Q1 (6)0.138.33-13.33
20Q4 (5)0.120.0-20.0
20Q3 (4)0.120.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.12-20.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.150.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.150.00.0

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