玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.124.58.2433.449.769.54N/A-
2024/102.98-13.248.5730.329.929.49N/A-
2024/93.4412.0215.8327.3410.069.690.96-
2024/83.07-3.694.6223.99.289.560.98-
2024/73.19-3.6326.5120.8310.019.410.99-
2024/63.3113.2515.4617.657.479.051.06-
2024/52.923.487.1214.345.789.021.06-
2024/42.82-13.9112.0611.425.458.691.1-
2024/33.2826.512.28.63.458.61.08-
2024/22.59-5.1-5.435.32-1.288.441.1-
2024/12.73-12.53.02.733.08.731.07-
2023/123.128.34-0.3733.59-2.698.751.17-
2023/112.884.826.8230.47-2.938.61.19-
2023/102.75-7.45-2.427.59-3.848.651.19-
2023/92.971.188.4124.84-4.08.421.27-
2023/82.9316.459.8821.87-5.478.321.29-
2023/72.52-12.05-4.9218.94-7.478.111.32-
2023/62.865.07-27.7516.42-7.858.111.36-
2023/52.738.26-6.0513.56-2.168.161.35-
2023/42.52-13.87.4810.83-1.138.181.35-
2023/32.926.61-1.98.31-3.478.311.4-
2023/22.743.36-1.315.39-4.38.521.36-
2023/12.65-15.36-7.212.65-7.218.481.37-
2022/123.1316.177.934.5217.38.641.36-
2022/112.7-4.22-3.7431.3918.328.251.42-
2022/102.812.815.3128.6920.938.221.43-
2022/92.742.5619.0725.8821.588.061.42-
2022/82.670.7511.8523.1421.889.281.24-
2022/72.65-33.1610.720.4723.329.521.21-
2022/63.9636.6270.6717.8225.459.211.17本月因高單價機器設備驗收認列營收,致使營收較去年同期增加。
2022/52.923.8740.9513.8516.618.221.31-
2022/42.34-21.338.6110.9511.58.11.33-
2022/32.987.2519.938.6112.328.611.32-
2022/22.78-2.811.865.638.678.541.33-
2022/12.86-1.5716.232.8616.238.561.33-
2021/122.93.63-2.2829.4313.188.141.47-
2021/112.814.7336.0626.5215.177.541.58-
2021/102.446.1625.6723.7213.127.131.68-
2021/92.3-3.65-0.6121.2811.847.081.72-
2021/82.39-0.2715.6118.9813.577.11.71-
2021/72.393.0317.6116.613.286.771.8-
2021/62.3212.8311.1214.212.586.541.77-
2021/52.06-4.55-1.1311.8812.876.71.73-
2021/42.16-13.13-9.449.8216.327.371.57-
2021/32.48-8.920.637.6726.457.671.36-
2021/22.7310.943.445.1829.448.151.28-
2021/12.46-17.2616.82.4616.87.491.39-
2020/122.9744.332.3926.04.716.971.39-
2020/112.065.973.0223.031.966.311.53-
2020/101.94-16.04-4.8920.971.856.321.53-
2020/92.3112.0711.2719.032.66.411.53-
2020/82.061.45-3.2516.721.56.191.59-
2020/72.03-2.642.3414.652.216.211.58-
2020/62.090.38-3.2312.622.196.551.36-
2020/52.08-12.575.0910.533.346.521.37-
2020/42.3815.721.878.442.926.341.41-
2020/32.068.312.296.063.346.061.36-
2020/21.9-9.6915.534.03.886.251.32-
2020/12.1-6.21-4.782.1-4.780.0N/A-
2019/122.2412.317.9724.833.430.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.732023/12.652022/12.862021/12.462020/12.1
2024/22.592023/22.742022/22.782021/22.732020/21.9
2024/33.282023/32.922022/32.982021/32.482020/32.06
2024/42.822023/42.522022/42.342021/42.162020/42.38
2024/52.922023/52.732022/52.92021/52.062020/52.08
2024/63.312023/62.862022/63.962021/62.322020/62.09
2024/73.192023/72.522022/72.652021/72.392020/72.03
2024/83.072023/82.932022/82.672021/82.392020/82.06
2024/93.442023/92.972022/92.742021/92.32020/92.31
2024/102.982023/102.752022/102.812021/102.442020/101.94
2024/113.122023/112.882022/112.72021/112.82020/112.06
N/AN/A2023/123.122022/123.132021/122.92020/122.97
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 31.72%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.63-32.02-54.22
24Q2 (19)5.34-13.73-33.66
24Q1 (18)6.19-23.49-18.87
23Q4 (17)8.092.021.12
23Q3 (16)7.93-1.490.51
23Q2 (15)8.055.527.78
23Q1 (14)7.63-4.6238.22
22Q4 (13)8.01.3961.94
22Q3 (12)7.8925.2440.39
22Q2 (11)6.314.134.13
22Q1 (10)5.5211.7414.29
21Q4 (9)4.94-12.14.88
21Q3 (8)5.62-7.1129.49
21Q2 (7)6.0525.2677.94
21Q1 (6)4.832.5575.0
20Q4 (5)4.718.5361.3
20Q3 (4)4.3427.650.0
20Q2 (3)3.423.190.0
20Q1 (2)2.76-5.480.0
19Q4 (1)2.920.00.0

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