玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.2746.17-6.2626.85-29.018.88N/A-
2024/102.23-33.863.4523.59-31.317.65N/A-
2024/93.3865.94-43.8321.35-33.657.741.47-
2024/82.04-12.45-20.517.98-31.318.391.35-
2024/72.33-42.27-3.7915.94-32.488.261.37-
2024/64.03111.29-16.7613.61-35.757.671.52-
2024/51.9110.15-46.949.59-41.375.812.01-
2024/41.73-20.2-42.437.68-39.85.432.15-
2024/32.1741.38-57.45.95-39.05.952.1本月營收較去年同期減少,主要是因出貨量減少所致。
2024/21.53-31.69-38.943.78-18.8810.131.23-
2024/12.25-64.634.582.254.5812.081.03-
2023/126.3582.2922.0344.180.211.990.97-
2023/113.4861.34-10.5237.83-2.7111.661.0-
2023/102.16-64.09-29.3534.34-1.8410.731.09-
2023/96.01134.8829.7832.180.7810.991.21-
2023/82.565.94-18.1226.17-4.139.821.35-
2023/72.42-50.05-20.6223.61-2.3210.851.22-
2023/64.8434.68-2.2921.190.3111.441.23-
2023/53.5919.5218.2816.351.1111.691.21-
2023/43.01-40.9643.6112.76-2.8510.611.33-
2023/35.09102.6619.719.75-11.669.751.41-
2023/22.5117.01-21.374.66-31.339.861.39-
2023/12.15-58.73-40.22.15-40.211.251.22-
2022/125.233.66-9.5744.09-16.0712.151.17-
2022/113.8927.38-15.8838.88-16.8711.581.23-
2022/103.06-34.04-12.5634.99-16.9810.821.31-
2022/94.6348.17-22.8731.93-17.3810.811.59-
2022/83.132.7-14.6127.3-16.3711.131.54-
2022/73.05-38.52-18.5324.17-16.5911.041.56-
2022/64.9563.05-25.421.13-16.310.081.72-
2022/53.0445.12-0.4216.17-13.059.391.85-
2022/42.09-50.79-44.9113.13-15.539.541.82-
2022/34.2533.1-6.4411.04-6.0311.041.65-
2022/23.2-11.0140.366.79-5.7712.541.45-
2022/13.59-37.59-27.13.59-27.113.981.3-
2021/125.7624.32-6.3552.53-9.5113.881.19-
2021/114.6332.41-16.6346.78-9.8814.131.17-
2021/103.5-41.81-18.6142.15-9.0813.171.25-
2021/96.0164.03-26.4338.65-8.113.411.3-
2021/83.66-2.0-15.2932.64-3.6914.041.24-
2021/73.74-43.731.6228.98-1.9913.431.3-
2021/66.64117.652.2825.24-5.5613.491.25-
2021/53.05-19.71-23.1418.6-8.0811.41.48-
2021/43.8-16.4227.8815.55-4.4110.621.59-
2021/34.5599.75.1911.75-11.6311.751.33-
2021/22.28-53.78-45.677.2-19.7313.351.17-
2021/14.93-19.832.994.932.9916.630.94-
2020/126.1510.681.0158.06-42.0215.990.95-
2020/115.5529.260.9651.91-44.8118.020.85-
2020/104.3-47.4-34.4846.36-47.6516.790.91-
2020/98.1788.87-35.9442.06-48.715.331.03-
2020/84.3252.27-41.1333.9-51.0613.661.16本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/72.84-56.25-35.5429.57-52.2313.31.19本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/66.4963.55-55.5726.73-53.5113.431.2本月及本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/53.9733.58-47.2820.24-52.8111.261.44本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/42.97-31.25-49.8516.27-53.9911.491.41本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/34.323.12-67.0713.3-54.8213.31.39本月及本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/24.19-12.37-32.958.98-44.9615.061.23-
2020/14.78-21.37-52.434.78-52.430.0N/A本月及本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少及適逢農曆年假期實際營業日減少所致。
2019/126.0810.62-55.01100.15-57.810.0N/A本月及本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.252023/12.152022/13.592021/14.932020/14.78
2024/21.532023/22.512022/23.22021/22.282020/24.19
2024/32.172023/35.092022/34.252021/34.552020/34.32
2024/41.732023/43.012022/42.092021/43.82020/42.97
2024/51.912023/53.592022/53.042021/53.052020/53.97
2024/64.032023/64.842022/64.952021/66.642020/66.49
2024/72.332023/72.422022/73.052021/73.742020/72.84
2024/82.042023/82.562022/83.132021/83.662020/84.32
2024/93.382023/96.012022/94.632021/96.012020/98.17
2024/102.232023/102.162022/103.062021/103.52020/104.3
2024/113.272023/113.482022/113.892021/114.632020/115.55
N/AN/A2023/126.352022/125.22021/125.762020/126.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.91-3.54-3.05
24Q2 (19)1.9821.474.76
24Q1 (18)1.63-28.5113.19
23Q4 (17)2.2815.7461.7
23Q3 (16)1.974.23-24.52
23Q2 (15)1.8931.25-17.47
23Q1 (14)1.442.13-28.36
22Q4 (13)1.41-45.98-28.79
22Q3 (12)2.6113.97-30.21
22Q2 (11)2.2913.93-40.36
22Q1 (10)2.011.52-46.54
21Q4 (9)1.98-47.06-40.18
21Q3 (8)3.74-2.66.86
21Q2 (7)3.842.130
21Q1 (6)3.7613.6-37.85
20Q4 (5)3.31-5.43-37.66
20Q3 (4)3.500.0

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