- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 5.27 | -15.41 | -16.58 | 63.78 | -7.54 | 17.64 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 6.23 | 1.65 | 2.64 | 58.51 | -6.63 | 19.6 | 3.38 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 6.13 | -15.2 | -5.34 | 52.27 | -7.63 | 19.35 | 3.43 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 7.23 | 20.97 | 3.31 | 46.14 | -7.93 | 21.56 | 3.08 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 5.98 | -28.37 | -16.77 | 38.9 | -9.75 | 21.84 | 3.07 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 8.35 | 11.07 | 32.3 | 32.92 | -8.35 | 22.59 | 2.97 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 7.52 | 11.72 | -5.8 | 24.58 | -17.01 | 19.12 | 3.5 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 6.73 | 38.02 | 24.38 | 17.06 | -21.15 | 17.06 | 3.93 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 4.87 | -10.71 | -50.28 | 10.33 | -36.32 | 20.49 | 3.27 | 本月營收減少50.29%，主係子公司工程承攬營收本月減少所致。 | ||
| 2024/1 | 5.46 | -46.23 | -15.02 | 5.46 | -15.02 | 21.47 | 3.12 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 10.15 | 73.42 | -1.29 | 84.99 | -33.4 | 22.33 | 2.94 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 5.85 | -7.39 | -7.62 | 74.84 | -36.21 | 18.25 | 3.6 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 6.32 | 4.08 | -8.5 | 68.99 | -37.84 | 18.88 | 3.48 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 6.07 | -6.26 | 11.51 | 62.67 | -39.79 | 19.56 | 3.41 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 6.48 | -7.44 | 27.68 | 56.59 | -42.63 | 20.67 | 3.23 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 7.0 | -2.54 | -30.41 | 50.11 | -46.44 | 20.5 | 3.25 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 7.18 | 13.85 | -39.25 | 43.11 | -48.37 | 21.47 | 3.16 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 6.31 | -20.92 | -47.73 | 35.93 | -49.88 | 19.7 | 3.44 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 7.98 | 47.54 | -35.59 | 29.62 | -50.31 | 23.19 | 2.93 | 本年度累計營收減少 50.32.%，主係本期北中南高交屋結帳戶數較少所致。 | ||
| 2023/3 | 5.41 | -44.83 | -64.03 | 21.64 | -54.17 | 21.64 | 3.15 | 本月及本年度累計營收各減少 64.03%及54.18.%，主係本月及本期北中南高交屋結帳戶數較少所致。 | ||
| 2023/2 | 9.8 | 52.61 | -23.76 | 16.23 | -49.57 | 26.51 | 2.57 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 6.42 | -37.55 | -66.75 | 6.42 | -66.75 | 23.05 | 2.95 | 本月及本年度營收減少66.75%，主係本月北中南高無交屋結帳戶數所致。 | ||
| 2022/12 | 10.29 | 62.31 | -45.4 | 127.62 | 1.98 | 23.53 | 2.91 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 6.34 | -8.28 | -59.7 | 117.34 | 10.38 | 18.69 | 3.66 | 本月營收減少 59.7%，主係本月北中南高交屋結帳戶數減少所致。 | ||
| 2022/10 | 6.91 | 26.85 | -3.0 | 111.0 | 22.55 | 17.43 | 3.92 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 5.45 | 7.32 | -30.94 | 104.09 | 24.73 | 20.58 | 3.36 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 5.08 | -49.56 | -39.55 | 98.64 | 30.54 | 26.96 | 2.57 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 10.06 | -14.92 | 24.18 | 93.57 | 39.31 | 33.96 | 2.04 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 11.83 | -2.03 | 55.05 | 83.51 | 41.39 | 36.29 | 2.02 | 本月營收增加55.05%，主係本月餘屋交屋結帳戶數較多所致。 | ||
| 2022/5 | 12.07 | -2.55 | 25.81 | 71.68 | 39.36 | 39.5 | 1.86 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 12.39 | -17.6 | 29.74 | 59.61 | 42.47 | 40.29 | 1.82 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 15.04 | 16.92 | 35.03 | 47.22 | 46.23 | 47.22 | 1.87 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 12.86 | -33.43 | 51.83 | 32.18 | 52.13 | 51.02 | 1.73 | 本月及本年度營收各增加51.84%及52.14%，主係本月北中南高交屋結帳戶數較多所致。 | ||
| 2022/1 | 19.32 | 2.55 | 52.33 | 19.32 | 52.33 | 53.89 | 1.64 | 本月及本年營收增加52.34%，主係本月北中南高交屋結帳戶數較多所致。 | ||
| 2021/12 | 18.84 | 19.8 | 14.03 | 125.14 | 5.36 | 41.69 | 2.72 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 15.73 | 120.74 | 24.07 | 106.3 | 3.96 | 30.74 | 3.68 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 7.12 | -9.68 | -44.03 | 90.57 | 1.11 | 23.41 | 4.84 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 7.89 | -6.06 | -12.65 | 83.45 | 8.59 | 24.39 | 5.43 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 8.4 | 3.63 | -19.98 | 75.56 | 11.42 | 24.13 | 5.49 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 8.1 | 6.22 | -16.71 | 67.16 | 17.17 | 25.33 | 5.23 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 7.63 | -20.5 | 16.05 | 59.06 | 24.1 | 26.77 | 5.3 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 9.6 | 0.48 | 31.3 | 51.43 | 25.4 | 30.28 | 4.69 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 9.55 | -14.24 | 27.81 | 41.84 | 24.12 | 29.15 | 4.87 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 11.14 | 31.47 | 16.48 | 32.29 | 23.06 | 32.29 | 4.71 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 8.47 | -33.22 | 3.95 | 21.15 | 26.84 | 37.67 | 4.03 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 12.68 | -23.23 | 48.71 | 12.68 | 48.71 | 41.88 | 3.63 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 16.52 | 30.35 | 23.37 | 118.76 | -2.67 | 41.92 | 3.98 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 12.67 | -0.42 | 16.97 | 102.24 | -5.88 | 34.43 | 4.84 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 12.73 | 40.94 | 26.52 | 89.57 | -8.41 | 32.25 | 5.17 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 9.03 | -13.94 | 19.84 | 76.84 | -12.42 | 29.25 | 6.08 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 10.49 | 7.86 | 17.71 | 67.81 | -15.45 | 26.8 | 6.64 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 9.73 | 48.01 | -9.14 | 57.32 | -19.6 | 23.61 | 7.54 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 6.57 | -10.05 | -32.83 | 47.59 | -21.44 | 21.35 | 8.88 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 7.31 | -2.18 | -36.58 | 41.01 | -19.25 | 24.34 | 7.79 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 7.47 | -21.84 | -26.57 | 33.71 | -14.17 | 25.18 | 7.53 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 9.56 | 17.34 | -7.32 | 26.24 | -9.83 | 26.24 | 7.31 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 8.15 | -4.47 | -4.31 | 16.68 | -11.2 | 30.07 | 6.38 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 8.53 | -36.31 | -16.93 | 8.53 | -16.93 | 32.75 | 5.86 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 13.39 | 23.58 | -59.49 | 122.03 | 2.97 | 0.0 | N/A | 本月營收減少59.50%，主係去年同期太子雲C區大樓等4個案場完工交屋結轉營收所致。 | ||
| 2019/11 | 10.84 | 7.7 | -6.11 | 108.64 | 27.15 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 5.46 | 2023/1 | 6.42 | 2022/1 | 19.32 | 2021/1 | 12.68 | 2020/1 | 8.53 |
| 2024/2 | 4.87 | 2023/2 | 9.8 | 2022/2 | 12.86 | 2021/2 | 8.47 | 2020/2 | 8.15 |
| 2024/3 | 6.73 | 2023/3 | 5.41 | 2022/3 | 15.04 | 2021/3 | 11.14 | 2020/3 | 9.56 |
| 2024/4 | 7.52 | 2023/4 | 7.98 | 2022/4 | 12.39 | 2021/4 | 9.55 | 2020/4 | 7.47 |
| 2024/5 | 8.35 | 2023/5 | 6.31 | 2022/5 | 12.07 | 2021/5 | 9.6 | 2020/5 | 7.31 |
| 2024/6 | 5.98 | 2023/6 | 7.18 | 2022/6 | 11.83 | 2021/6 | 7.63 | 2020/6 | 6.57 |
| 2024/7 | 7.23 | 2023/7 | 7.0 | 2022/7 | 10.06 | 2021/7 | 8.1 | 2020/7 | 9.73 |
| 2024/8 | 6.13 | 2023/8 | 6.48 | 2022/8 | 5.08 | 2021/8 | 8.4 | 2020/8 | 10.49 |
| 2024/9 | 6.23 | 2023/9 | 6.07 | 2022/9 | 5.45 | 2021/9 | 7.89 | 2020/9 | 9.03 |
| 2024/10 | 5.27 | 2023/10 | 6.32 | 2022/10 | 6.91 | 2021/10 | 7.12 | 2020/10 | 12.73 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 5.85 | 2022/11 | 6.34 | 2021/11 | 15.73 | 2020/11 | 12.67 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 10.15 | 2022/12 | 10.29 | 2021/12 | 18.84 | 2020/12 | 16.52 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 6.32 | -2.47 | 8.4 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 6.48 | -18.8 | -9.12 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 7.98 | 42.5 | 2.44 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 5.6 | -3.95 | -14.5 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 5.83 | -18.23 | -1.52 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 7.13 | -8.47 | -4.04 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 7.79 | 18.93 | -25.02 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 6.55 | 10.64 | -52.22 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 5.92 | -20.32 | -39.28 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 7.43 | -28.49 | -14.7 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 10.39 | -24.22 | 5.06 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 13.71 | 40.62 | 42.66 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 9.75 | 11.94 | -12.95 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 8.71 | -11.93 | -1.58 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 9.89 | 2.91 | -0.4 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 9.61 | -14.2 | -2.83 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 11.2 | 26.55 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 8.85 | -10.88 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 9.93 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 9.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
