玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.27-96.86-99.440.00-100.0-100.0342.383136.1118015.3425921800.00261645.151936024.29659511.00239313.01561612.0525262700.00262000.361945429.46
24Q2 (19)8.60-51.55-98.210.01-66.670.010.58106.245468.429903.45191.1435.91275.47141.3429.059638.56192.7336.26
24Q1 (18)17.75-43.45-88.440.03-50.0-50.05.1376.9769.493401.63106.07115.54114.1488.63132.613292.62106.68115.25
23Q4 (17)31.39-34.7500.06-14.2902.9053.4401650.6923.29-99.6860.5143.29-99.631593.0822.690
23Q3 (16)48.11-89.96-97.330.07600.0-36.361.89894.743680.01338.85-81.6361.1842.23-80.22102.831298.50-81.6460.33
23Q2 (15)479.20212.18-81.310.01-83.33-90.00.19-67.8375.07286.76361.72689.61213.46335.011059.487073.49362.41682.08
23Q1 (14)153.5007461.580.06000.590-98.681578.17-99.69-99.8149.07-99.7-99.771529.690-99.82
22Q4 (13)0.00-100.0-100.00.00-100.0-100.00.00-100.0-100.0512461.0061593.2344340.116281.2078099.8149386.930.00-100.0-100.0
22Q3 (12)1799.86-29.795657.710.1110.057.140.0525.0-98.28830.66-9.99-36.5220.8213.09-28.82809.89-10.45-36.84
22Q2 (11)2563.42126176.85400434.380.10000.04-99.91-99.97922.83-99.89018.41-99.910904.45-99.890
22Q1 (10)2.03-94.0-80.180.00-100.0-100.044.831566.54404.27849827.0073596.145513.1621024.6063804.565107.33828847.0073710.445521.21
21Q4 (9)33.818.16-65.590.0814.29-20.02.69-7.56189.251153.15-11.8830.8432.9012.4815.81122.94-12.4331.51
21Q3 (8)31.264784.384.270.07075.02.91-97.94-4.281308.630-49.5229.250-57.261282.290-49.25
21Q2 (7)0.64-93.75-97.630.00-100.0-100.0141.381490.334095.250.00-100.0-100.00.00-100.0-100.00.00-100.0-100.0
21Q1 (6)10.24-89.5819.070.01-90.0-75.08.89855.91-15.9715139.901617.79549.57403.751321.15371.0714745.001626.82553.7
20Q4 (5)98.27227.7969.290.10150.0-61.540.93-69.41-40.76881.36-66.0147.728.41-58.49134.79853.88-66.21147.3
20Q3 (4)29.9811.00.00.0433.330.03.04-9.790.02592.27-11.750.068.44-10.310.02526.87-11.780.0
20Q2 (3)27.01214.070.00.03-25.00.03.37-68.150.02937.3426.020.076.31-10.970.02864.4126.990.0
20Q1 (2)8.60-85.190.00.04-84.620.010.58573.890.02330.76555.040.085.71608.350.02255.63553.280.0
19Q4 (1)58.050.00.00.260.00.01.570.00.0355.820.00.012.100.00.0345.280.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)156.97-68.540.19-9.522.33219.181955.2711.6175.0027.491882.6011.15
2022 (9)498.9297.370.2131.250.73-49.311751.90-20.8858.83-22.111693.80-20.86
2021 (8)252.79371.10.16-27.271.44-78.822214.3532.5675.539.732140.2733.06
2020 (7)53.66-48.170.22-50.06.8092.631670.47103.5868.8397.841608.45103.79
2019 (6)103.53-83.180.4469.233.53498.31820.55-41.1134.79-35.88789.28-41.09
2018 (5)615.70158.40.26-16.130.59-61.441393.4217.7154.26-0.41339.7518.47
2017 (4)238.2756.220.3114.811.53-35.981183.82-11.7954.48-20.371130.87-11.38
2016 (3)152.52-20.970.27-6.92.3926.461342.076.6568.4210.021276.046.51
2015 (2)192.99694.850.29-29.271.89-87.431258.3440.2762.1922.231198.0439.11
2014 (1)24.2816.960.41-4.6515.03-14.51897.094.8850.88-1.2861.244.85

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