玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1010.14-0.27-9.83102.3914.0829.33N/A-
2024/910.1712.54-8.0992.2617.529.350.0-
2024/89.03-11.01-7.182.0921.735.320.0-
2024/710.15-37.113.5173.0626.5540.550.0-
2024/616.1413.1369.9262.9131.2639.520.0部分工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2024/514.2756.563.7546.7721.7132.870.0部分工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2024/49.11-3.944.1732.59.3824.470.0-
2024/39.4961.818.2423.3911.5523.390.0-
2024/25.86-27.01-19.3513.913.9426.220.0-
2024/18.04-34.7763.088.0463.0831.550.0部分工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2023/1212.3210.0450.71113.2734.0734.760.0部分工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2023/1111.19-0.4328.64100.9532.2833.50.0-
2023/1011.241.6561.6789.7632.7532.030.0部份工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2023/911.0613.7551.9778.5129.4430.590.0部分工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2023/89.72-0.8335.5967.4526.3729.030.0-
2023/79.813.2354.6957.7324.9428.010.0部分工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2023/69.59.0232.947.9220.2126.960.0-
2023/58.71-0.4344.6938.4317.4326.230.0-
2023/48.75-0.1913.4529.7111.2924.790.0-
2023/38.7720.5513.2920.9710.4120.970.0-
2023/27.2747.5869.212.28.4320.370.0111年2月因適逢春節期間工作天數較少,致營收較少
2023/14.93-39.71-29.134.93-29.1321.80.0-
2022/128.17-6.07-4.5984.485.5723.830.0-
2022/118.725.134.3876.316.7922.930.0-
2022/106.95-4.4410.7967.617.121.40.0-
2022/97.281.496.6560.656.720.790.0-
2022/87.1713.12-4.9153.386.720.660.0-
2022/76.34-11.3-14.6846.218.7719.510.0-
2022/67.1518.695.2139.8713.7420.880.0-
2022/56.02-21.92-6.5532.7215.7921.470.0-
2022/47.71-0.3316.1326.722.3919.750.0-
2022/37.7480.0429.1818.9925.1318.990.0-
2022/24.3-38.185.411.2522.4919.820.0-
2022/16.95-18.8436.136.9536.1323.860.0-
2021/128.572.7753.480.0224.9123.180.0部份工程進入施工高峰期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2021/118.3432.8219.6771.4622.1921.440.0-
2021/106.28-8.01-0.5163.1222.5320.640.0-
2021/96.82-9.5114.3356.8425.7521.790.0-
2021/87.541.523.1750.0227.4921.760.0-
2021/77.439.3845.1642.4828.2920.660.0-
2021/66.795.4129.0835.0525.219.880.0-
2021/56.44-2.9621.428.2624.319.070.0-
2021/46.6410.8632.0121.8125.1916.710.0-
2021/35.9946.935.2115.1722.4115.170.0-
2021/24.08-20.17-7.039.1815.314.770.0-
2021/15.11-8.5542.675.1142.6717.660.0-
2020/125.58-19.82-9.6764.0612.4518.860.0-
2020/116.9710.411.7658.4815.1419.240.0-
2020/106.315.7117.6451.5115.6218.40.0-
2020/95.97-2.5116.2545.215.3417.210.0-
2020/86.1219.6249.4739.2315.216.50.0-
2020/75.12-2.7210.4333.1110.5215.690.01-
2020/65.26-0.869.8827.9910.5315.60.0-
2020/55.315.5111.4322.7310.6814.770.0-
2020/45.0313.546.2717.4210.4613.850.0-
2020/34.431.04.3312.3912.2512.390.0-
2020/24.3922.562.577.9717.214.150.0去年2月適逢春節期間,致本期營收較去年同期增加
2020/13.58-42.1-12.653.58-12.6516.00.0-
2019/126.18-0.7947.7956.9728.080.0N/A-
2019/116.2316.2258.7850.7826.030.0N/A新承攬工程進入施工期,致本期營收較去年同期增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.042023/14.932022/16.952021/15.112020/13.58
2024/25.862023/27.272022/24.32021/24.082020/24.39
2024/39.492023/38.772022/37.742021/35.992020/34.43
2024/49.112023/48.752022/47.712021/46.642020/45.03
2024/514.272023/58.712022/56.022021/56.442020/55.31
2024/616.142023/69.52022/67.152021/66.792020/65.26
2024/710.152023/79.812022/76.342021/77.432020/75.12
2024/89.032023/89.722022/87.172021/87.542020/86.12
2024/910.172023/911.062022/97.282021/96.822020/95.97
2024/1010.142023/1011.242022/106.952021/106.282020/106.31
N/AN/A2023/1111.192022/118.72021/118.342020/116.97
N/AN/A2023/1212.322022/128.172021/128.572020/125.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 85.26%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)35.813.89-32.97
24Q2 (19)34.47-36.95-30.52
24Q1 (18)54.670.2917.27
23Q4 (17)54.512.0434.76
23Q3 (16)53.427.6850.35
23Q2 (15)49.616.411510.71
23Q1 (14)46.6215.251334.46
22Q4 (13)40.4513.85908.73
22Q3 (12)35.531053.571315.54
22Q2 (11)3.08-5.2366.49
22Q1 (10)3.25-18.9581.56
21Q4 (9)4.0159.7659.76
21Q3 (8)2.5135.68-34.12
21Q2 (7)1.853.35-68.27
21Q1 (6)1.79-28.69-76.35
20Q4 (5)2.51-34.12-70.54
20Q3 (4)3.81-34.650.0
20Q2 (3)5.83-22.990.0
20Q1 (2)7.57-11.150.0
19Q4 (1)8.520.00.0

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