玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11134.24-2.5755.771474.7760.53421.7N/A運價較去年同期上漲
2024/10137.79-7.9368.641340.5261.03481.51N/A運價較去年同期上漲
2024/9149.66-22.8781.571202.660.18544.80.0運價較去年同期上漲
2024/8194.06-3.49126.441052.9457.54561.20.0運價上漲
2024/7201.0821.08144.16858.8847.41481.680.0運價上漲
2024/6166.0644.98103.33657.8531.49381.680.0運價上漲
2024/5114.5413.3140.14491.7917.48310.630.0-
2024/4101.086.3924.31377.2611.98284.730.0-
2024/395.017.188.57276.188.05276.180.0-
2024/288.64-4.1921.23181.177.79264.730.0-
2024/192.5210.72-2.5692.52-2.56262.260.0-
2023/1283.56-3.04-27.61002.2-61.29251.450.0運價下跌
2023/1186.185.47-33.64918.64-62.86250.310.0運價下跌
2023/1081.71-0.87-45.48832.46-64.48249.830.0運價下跌
2023/982.42-3.81-55.65750.76-65.78250.480.0運價下跌
2023/885.74.06-59.79668.33-66.72249.720.0運價下跌
2023/782.350.84-65.54582.63-67.54245.750.0運價下跌
2023/681.67-0.07-67.72500.28-67.85244.70.0運價下跌
2023/581.730.51-67.41418.61-67.87250.580.0運價下跌
2023/481.31-7.12-67.14336.89-67.99241.970.0運價下跌
2023/387.5519.73-63.99255.62-68.24255.620.0運價下跌
2023/273.12-22.99-69.12168.07-70.08282.650.0運價下跌
2023/194.96-17.12-70.7994.96-70.79339.420.0運價下跌
2022/12114.58-11.78-50.72588.6913.53394.340.0運價下跌
2022/11129.89-13.33-43.272474.120.82465.930.0-
2022/10149.87-19.49-38.832344.2228.89549.190.0-
2022/9186.17-12.65-27.742194.6339.46638.350.0-
2022/8213.15-10.82-13.572008.4652.62705.180.0運價上漲
2022/7239.03-5.5217.741795.3167.89742.810.0運價上漲
2022/6253.010.8841.451556.2779.63751.250.0運價上漲
2022/5250.781.3465.081303.2789.57741.370.0運價上漲
2022/4247.461.7865.641052.4996.52727.380.0運價上漲
2022/3243.132.6789.82805.03108.46805.030.0運價上漲
2022/2236.79-27.1693.07561.9117.71794.430.0運價上漲
2022/1325.1139.81140.02325.11140.02786.60.0運價上漲
2021/12232.531.55107.162280.15178.47706.540.0運價上漲
2021/11228.97-6.56161.632047.62189.8731.660.0運價上漲
2021/10245.05-4.88207.421818.65193.78749.320.0運價上漲
2021/9257.644.46264.761573.61191.76707.270.0運價上漲
2021/8246.6321.49278.061315.97180.76628.690.0運價上漲
2021/7203.013.37234.071069.33165.03533.970.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2021/6179.0517.86217.26866.52152.84480.360.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2021/5151.911.68188.62687.47140.14429.890.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2021/4149.3916.18178.9535.55129.22400.610.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2021/3128.594.84100.68386.67114.72386.670.0貨量增加及運價上漲
2021/2122.64-9.45144.65258.09122.49374.170.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2021/1135.4516.67105.62135.45105.62339.050.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2020/12116.0932.6475.7822.6512.76283.310.0運價上漲及貨量增加
2020/1187.519.7840.99706.566.49237.850.0-
2020/1079.7112.8531.45619.052.93215.570.0-
2020/970.638.2719.58539.33-0.25196.630.0-
2020/865.237.355.86468.71-2.69182.430.0-
2020/760.777.68-3.99403.47-3.94169.830.0-
2020/656.437.21-10.09342.7-3.94162.630.08-
2020/552.63-1.73-13.57286.27-2.62170.270.08-
2020/453.56-16.39-10.94233.640.23167.760.08-
2020/364.0727.814.61180.074.11180.070.0-
2020/250.13-23.89-1.44116.03.84182.070.0-
2020/165.87-0.38.2665.878.260.0N/A-
2019/1266.076.448.13729.529.240.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/192.522023/194.962022/1325.112021/1135.452020/165.87
2024/288.642023/273.122022/2236.792021/2122.642020/250.13
2024/395.012023/387.552022/3243.132021/3128.592020/364.07
2024/4101.082023/481.312022/4247.462021/4149.392020/453.56
2024/5114.542023/581.732022/5250.782021/5151.912020/552.63
2024/6166.062023/681.672022/6253.012021/6179.052020/656.43
2024/7201.082023/782.352022/7239.032021/7203.02020/760.77
2024/8194.062023/885.72022/8213.152021/8246.632020/865.23
2024/9149.662023/982.422022/9186.172021/9257.642020/970.63
2024/10137.792023/1081.712022/10149.872021/10245.052020/1079.71
2024/11134.242023/1186.182022/11129.892021/11228.972020/1187.51
N/AN/A2023/1283.562022/12114.582021/12232.532020/12116.09
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.03%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.51-14.9944.73
24Q2 (19)10.019.8835.82
24Q1 (18)9.11137.24112.35
23Q4 (17)3.84-34.69-38.66
23Q3 (16)5.88-20.22-23.74
23Q2 (15)7.3771.79-75.56
23Q1 (14)4.29-31.47-86.14
22Q4 (13)6.26-18.81104.58
22Q3 (12)7.71-74.44-80.56
22Q2 (11)30.16-2.5820.83
22Q1 (10)30.96911.76232.9
21Q4 (9)3.06-92.2926.45
21Q3 (8)39.6758.932635.86
21Q2 (7)24.96168.390
21Q1 (6)9.3284.3470.55
20Q4 (5)2.4266.90
20Q3 (4)1.4500.0

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