玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.66-0.23-51.0194.05-30.7720.46N/A山隆近期因進行油站相關設備更換作業,於更換期間發油量減少影響相關營收
2024/96.68-6.13-51.4787.38-28.5121.620.11山隆近期因進行油站相關設備更換作業,於更換期間發油量減少影響相關營收
2024/87.12-9.0-49.3180.7-25.623.380.1-
2024/77.82-7.39-43.6673.58-22.0726.880.09-
2024/68.45-20.4-34.6465.76-18.3529.860.07-
2024/510.61-1.8-21.0657.32-15.2433.960.06-
2024/410.81-13.83-16.846.71-13.833.350.06-
2024/312.5425.3-18.1235.9-12.8535.90.06-
2024/210.01-25.06-25.0523.36-9.7336.660.06-
2024/113.360.426.5913.366.5939.530.06-
2023/1213.33.3-11.54162.02-12.439.780.07-
2023/1112.87-5.38-10.36148.72-12.4740.250.07-
2023/1013.61-1.15-6.8135.85-12.6741.410.07-
2023/913.77-1.95-5.09122.24-13.2841.690.06-
2023/814.041.14-7.61108.47-14.2140.850.06-
2023/713.887.42-11.9494.43-15.1240.250.06-
2023/612.92-3.86-16.0380.55-15.6439.350.09-
2023/513.443.49-16.0467.63-15.5741.750.08-
2023/412.99-15.2-20.3554.19-15.4541.660.08-
2023/315.3214.7-15.8941.2-13.7741.20.06-
2023/213.356.580.3325.88-12.4740.920.06-
2023/112.53-16.66-22.9612.53-22.9641.920.06係因本月工作天數較少所致
2022/1215.034.68-12.75184.96-1.6944.00.06-
2022/1114.36-1.63-15.19169.92-0.5843.470.06-
2022/1014.60.65-13.07155.561.0244.30.06-
2022/914.51-4.55-5.6140.962.7545.470.06-
2022/815.2-3.59-4.28126.463.846.350.06-
2022/715.772.43-4.4111.265.0147.170.06-
2022/615.39-3.885.3195.496.7547.710.06-
2022/516.01-1.810.3280.17.0350.530.06-
2022/416.31-10.446.0364.098.8547.830.06-
2022/318.2136.8416.4547.789.8547.780.05-
2022/213.31-18.164.629.576.1446.80.05-
2022/116.26-5.637.4316.267.4350.430.05-
2021/1217.231.7619.01188.1517.950.960.04-
2021/1116.930.8226.4170.9217.7949.10.05-
2021/1016.89.329.81153.9816.9248.040.05-
2021/915.37-3.2110.46137.1915.5147.740.04-
2021/815.88-3.7212.96121.8216.1846.980.04-
2021/716.4912.8417.97105.9416.6847.070.04-
2021/614.61-8.4316.7689.4516.4545.950.06-
2021/515.963.7739.3974.8416.3946.980.05-
2021/415.38-1.6441.3558.8811.443.740.06-
2021/315.6422.9118.1543.53.6443.50.04-
2021/212.72-15.95-8.2727.86-3.0442.340.04-
2021/115.144.541.8415.141.8443.010.04-
2020/1214.488.07-7.57159.57-11.4340.820.05-
2020/1113.43.54-12.03145.09-11.840.250.05-
2020/1012.94-6.98-14.2131.7-11.7740.90.05-
2020/913.91-1.02-6.45118.76-11.541.940.03-
2020/814.050.54-4.56104.85-12.1340.550.03-
2020/713.9811.69-11.290.79-13.237.940.03-
2020/612.529.3-16.2576.81-13.5534.850.04-
2020/511.455.23-28.3764.3-13.0135.570.04-
2020/410.88-17.79-31.5452.85-8.7737.980.04-
2020/313.23-4.57-10.7341.97-0.1541.970.02-
2020/213.87-6.6818.2128.735.644.40.02-
2020/114.86-5.12-3.9514.86-3.9545.760.02-
2019/1215.672.853.38180.17-5.130.0N/A-
2019/1115.230.98-1.45164.51-5.870.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/113.362023/112.532022/116.262021/115.142020/114.86
2024/210.012023/213.352022/213.312021/212.722020/213.87
2024/312.542023/315.322022/318.212021/315.642020/313.23
2024/410.812023/412.992022/416.312021/415.382020/410.88
2024/510.612023/513.442022/516.012021/515.962020/511.45
2024/68.452023/612.922022/615.392021/614.612020/612.52
2024/77.822023/713.882022/715.772021/716.492020/713.98
2024/87.122023/814.042022/815.22021/815.882020/814.05
2024/96.682023/913.772022/914.512021/915.372020/913.91
2024/106.662023/1013.612022/1014.62021/1016.82020/1012.94
N/AN/A2023/1112.872022/1114.362021/1116.932020/1113.4
N/AN/A2023/1213.32022/1215.032021/1217.232020/1214.48
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.6145.24177.27
24Q2 (19)0.4244.83133.33
24Q1 (18)0.29-17.14-64.2
23Q4 (17)0.3559.0945.83
23Q3 (16)0.2222.22-37.14
23Q2 (15)0.18-77.78-10.0
23Q1 (14)0.81237.5224.0
22Q4 (13)0.24-31.439.09
22Q3 (12)0.3575.084.21
22Q2 (11)0.2-20.053.85
22Q1 (10)0.2513.6478.57
21Q4 (9)0.2215.7957.14
21Q3 (8)0.1946.1546.15
21Q2 (7)0.13-7.140.0
21Q1 (6)0.140.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.147.697.69
20Q3 (4)0.130.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.13-7.140.0
20Q1 (2)0.147.690.0
19Q4 (1)0.130.00.0

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