玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1021.39-8.6360.68212.5778.070.96N/A運價與貨量較去年同期增加所致
2024/923.41-10.4984.96191.1880.1776.280.0運價與貨量較去年同期增加所致
2024/826.16-2.0891.43167.7779.5279.840.0運價與貨量較去年同期增加所致
2024/726.71-0.95123.27141.6277.4875.270.0因運價回升及貨量增長所致
2024/626.9724.9150.08114.969.468.330.0因運價回升及貨量增長所致
2024/521.599.2274.687.9354.1558.110.0因運價回升及貨量增長所致
2024/419.7718.0579.566.3448.4950.170.0因運價回升及貨量增長所致
2024/316.7522.6139.9346.5738.3446.570.0-
2024/213.66-15.5239.6929.8337.4743.220.0-
2024/116.1720.735.6516.1735.6542.970.0-
2023/1213.4-0.19.15146.23-48.1740.120.0-
2023/1113.410.73-5.02132.83-50.7839.380.0因內貿物流增長帶動本月營收較上月增長0.74%;112年累計營收較去年同期減少仍受運價下跌影響所致
2023/1013.315.17-15.87119.42-53.339.630.0因貨量增長帶動本月營收較上月增長5.17%;112年累計營收減少仍受運價下跌影響所致
2023/912.66-7.36-21.52106.11-55.7738.280.09月營收下滑係因運量及運價下跌所致
2023/813.6614.2-31.5493.45-58.2436.410.0因貨量增長帶動本月營收較上月增長14.21%;112年累計營收較去年同期減少仍受運價下跌影響所致
2023/711.9610.93-46.5279.79-60.8635.110.0因貨量增長帶動本月營收較上月增長11%;112年累計營收較去年同期減少仍受運價下跌影響所致
2023/610.78-12.79-54.3667.83-62.6234.160.0運價下跌所致
2023/512.3712.28-58.1157.04-63.8635.350.0運價下跌所致
2023/411.01-7.97-58.9444.68-65.1832.760.0運價下跌所致
2023/311.9722.39-63.733.66-66.8333.660.0運價下跌所致
2023/29.78-17.96-65.5821.7-68.3433.970.0運價下跌所致
2023/111.92-2.87-70.2911.92-70.2938.310.0運價下跌所致
2022/1212.27-13.08-64.5282.16-21.7142.210.0運價下跌所致
2022/1114.12-10.77-61.63269.89-17.1746.070.0運價下跌所致
2022/1015.82-1.88-60.25255.77-11.551.910.0運價下跌所致
2022/916.13-19.19-60.65239.95-3.7258.460.0運價下跌所致
2022/819.96-10.79-45.96223.827.4865.970.0-
2022/722.37-5.32-33.54203.8619.075.530.0-
2022/623.63-19.95-24.92181.4931.8679.980.0-
2022/529.5210.0510.95157.8548.7189.320.0-
2022/426.83-18.6330.16128.3361.3488.20.0貨量與運價雙漲
2022/332.9716.0678.54101.572.24101.50.0貨量與運價雙漲
2022/228.41-29.254.2868.5369.37103.110.0貨量與運價雙漲
2022/140.1216.0581.9740.1281.97111.50.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/1234.57-6.0489.84360.41137.85111.180.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/1136.8-7.56130.57325.84144.41117.60.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/1039.81-2.88174.88289.04146.29117.740.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/940.9910.97193.07249.23142.27111.60.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/836.949.7191.89208.24134.27102.090.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/733.676.95176.04171.3124.7191.760.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/631.4818.3171.73137.63114.9378.70.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/526.6129.182.03106.15102.3865.680.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/420.6111.6164.1579.54110.2557.490.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/318.470.2874.8358.93133.1558.930.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/218.41-16.49271.0640.46175.0158.670.0貨量與運價雙漲
2021/122.0521.07126.1322.05126.1356.220.0貨量與運價雙漲
2020/1218.2114.182.14151.5234.1748.650.0貨量與運價雙漲
2020/1115.9610.1960.36133.3129.5144.430.0貨量與運價雙漲
2020/1014.483.5439.78117.3526.2141.130.0-
2020/913.9910.5351.16102.8724.5138.840.0貨量與運價雙漲
2020/812.653.7431.0888.8821.1536.440.0-
2020/712.25.2825.4876.2319.6438.40.0-
2020/611.58-20.7422.1964.0318.5938.760.0-
2020/514.6216.4255.6452.4517.8237.730.0營收成長因國際空運運價大漲及疫情趨緩,歐美城市逐步解封,客戶庫存回補急單,海空鐵運業務量復甦成長。
2020/412.5618.8734.8237.837.7128.080.0-
2020/310.56112.8414.4325.27-2.0625.270.0-
2020/24.96-49.1-16.9214.71-11.2524.710.0-
2020/19.75-2.47-8.069.75-8.0629.70.0-
2019/1210.00.460.39112.93-2.330.0N/A-
2019/119.95-3.94-17.32102.93-2.590.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.172023/111.922022/140.122021/122.052020/19.75
2024/213.662023/29.782022/228.412021/218.412020/24.96
2024/316.752023/311.972022/332.972021/318.472020/310.56
2024/419.772023/411.012022/426.832021/420.612020/412.56
2024/521.592023/512.372022/529.522021/526.612020/514.62
2024/626.972023/610.782022/623.632021/631.482020/611.58
2024/726.712023/711.962022/722.372021/733.672020/712.2
2024/826.162023/813.662022/819.962021/836.942020/812.65
2024/923.412023/912.662022/916.132021/940.992020/913.99
2024/1021.392023/1013.312022/1015.822021/1039.812020/1014.48
N/AN/A2023/1113.412022/1114.122021/1136.82020/1115.96
N/AN/A2023/1213.42022/1212.272021/1234.572020/1218.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.1154.17258.06
24Q2 (19)0.7294.5975.61
24Q1 (18)0.370-7.5

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