玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.1393.6417.030.00-100.0-100.042.74-48.21-14.550.000-100.029.25-52.14-77.9513.49-37.05116.33
24Q2 (19)1.10155.81-49.7746024.00641.6913.4982.53-60.8498.390.00-100.0-100.061.11-70.540.2221.43491.991193.37
24Q1 (18)0.43-51.69-80.456206.00-43.54318.76210.77105.25409.230.010.0-83.33207.17285.7270.683.62-92.61104.53
23Q4 (17)0.89-51.1-91.4210992.00190.7651.86102.69105.31070.920.01-50.00.053.71-59.51172.2348.99159.31547.81
23Q3 (16)1.82-16.89114.123780.50-16.75500.0850.0220.24-53.090.020.0-85.71132.65204.38482.82-82.60-4114.29-198.32
23Q2 (15)2.19-0.45128.124541.14206.42288.4641.600.51-56.260.02-66.67-75.043.58-64.192.92-1.9697.55-102.7
23Q1 (14)2.20-78.78139.131482.00-79.53-81.4741.39371.95-58.030.06500.0500.0121.38515.21518.65-79.92-630.53-201.14
22Q4 (13)10.371120.01520.317238.181048.9208.77-91.77-93.790.01-92.86019.73-13.31-31.4-10.94-113.02-109.73
22Q3 (12)0.85-11.4626.87630.00-46.11-71.57106.6212.11-22.040.1475.0250.022.760.7517.8784.0115.73-28.5
22Q2 (11)0.964.3531.511169.00-85.38118.495.10-3.57-23.510.08700.0-52.9422.5915.14-45.7472.59-8.14-12.39
22Q1 (10)0.9243.752.227998.0001589.0298.62-30.16-2.910.010-94.7419.62-31.78210.9479.02-29.73-17.22
21Q4 (9)0.64-4.48-33.330.00-100.0-100.0141.213.2549.270.00-100.0-100.028.7648.94179.77112.45-4.2932.87
21Q3 (8)0.67-8.22-67.942216.00314.01101.3136.7610.0213.670.04-76.47-50.019.31-53.62406.82117.4941.79194.61
21Q2 (7)0.73-18.89-48.59535.2513.03-40.82124.3322.494.390.17-10.5370.041.63559.75935.5782.86-13.238.01
21Q1 (6)0.90-6.25-59.82473.5359.31-46.59101.587.38149.640.19-38.7190.06.31-38.6233.495.4612.8164.73
20Q4 (5)0.96-54.07-75.63297.24-73.0-67.9894.60116.97309.170.31287.5210.010.28169.82129.4684.63112.21351.6
20Q3 (4)2.0947.180.01100.8221.720.043.60-31.830.00.08-20.00.03.81-5.220.039.88-33.580.0
20Q2 (3)1.42-36.610.0904.372.00.063.9657.190.00.100.00.04.02-15.010.060.0466.50.0
20Q1 (2)2.24-43.150.0886.61-4.480.040.6975.990.00.100.00.04.735.580.036.0692.420.0
19Q4 (1)3.940.00.0928.150.00.023.120.00.00.100.00.04.480.00.018.740.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.99-46.3315784.30-22.2960.9886.430.020.098.9159.64-37.900
2022 (9)11.16288.8520312.402387.6532.71-74.260.02-95.5661.96322.65-29.230
2021 (8)2.87-55.23816.53-68.21127.06123.190.45221.4314.66186.33112.85117.23
2020 (7)6.41-57.862568.34-13.5956.93137.210.1416.675.12-1.7351.95174.72
2019 (6)15.21-16.842972.3857.124.0020.240.12-36.845.2124.3418.9118.48
2018 (5)18.29-12.741891.99107.0419.9614.650.19-52.54.192.9515.9616.16
2017 (4)20.9620.67913.82-12.3617.41-17.170.4014.294.0717.6313.74-23.28
2016 (3)17.3775.991042.70-15.9221.02-43.160.3520.693.46-12.6317.91-46.25
2015 (2)9.879.061240.19-30.7936.98-8.280.2945.03.96-4.3533.32-8.44
2014 (1)9.05-0.661792.02-64.9840.320.620.20185.714.146.9836.390.33

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