玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.72-5.57-0.751.196.1115.47N/A-
2024/95.0-13.1712.246.476.8616.030.12-
2024/85.769.010.6841.476.2416.510.12-
2024/75.28-3.59-2.3635.725.5615.840.12-
2024/65.487.7820.4230.447.0715.070.13-
2024/55.0812.618.8124.964.5314.10.14-
2024/44.510.16-2.1319.883.4915.40.13-
2024/34.5-29.4720.9315.375.2715.370.14-
2024/26.3942.6146.7910.87-0.0915.790.14-
2024/14.48-9.03-31.364.48-31.3613.470.16-
2023/124.9220.9211.4957.2326.113.750.19-
2023/114.07-14.327.552.3127.6713.280.2-
2023/104.756.716.0948.2429.7214.410.18-
2023/94.45-14.3522.2343.4931.4115.060.14-
2023/85.2-3.8314.7339.0332.5415.160.14-
2023/75.4118.925.5633.8335.7814.620.14-
2023/64.55-2.645.7828.4337.9213.830.15-
2023/54.671.2878.7423.8836.5213.00.16本期營業收入較去年同期大幅增加,主因去年因受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響所致
2023/44.6123.7763.3819.2129.1112.690.16本期營業收入較去年同期大幅增加,主因去年因受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響所致
2023/33.72-14.383.114.621.0914.60.12-
2023/24.35-33.31-4.1510.8828.7815.290.11-
2023/16.5247.7667.076.5267.0714.730.12去年因受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響,致使收入大幅減少。
2022/124.4216.595.7645.397.3212.30.13-
2022/113.79-7.485.040.977.4911.520.14-
2022/104.0912.35-1.037.197.7512.270.13-
2022/93.64-19.6118.8933.098.9412.480.1-
2022/84.535.2341.7729.457.8211.960.11-
2022/74.3138.0596.8624.923.3210.040.13去年同月因全國疫情為第三級警戒,近期國內疫情趨緩故本月營收較去年同月成長幅度較高。
2022/63.1219.4141.6120.61-6.08.550.14-
2022/52.61-7.41-13.7417.49-11.329.050.13-
2022/42.82-21.89-30.114.88-10.8810.970.11-
2022/33.61-20.41-3.2912.06-4.7512.060.09-
2022/24.5416.24-12.998.44-5.3612.620.09-
2022/13.91-6.455.373.915.3711.690.1-
2021/124.1715.750.542.29-8.2711.920.13-
2021/113.61-12.77-2.9338.12-9.1410.810.15-
2021/104.1334.941.3134.51-9.7510.40.15-
2021/93.06-4.15-14.8930.38-11.078.450.14-
2021/83.246.13-34.7927.31-10.627.590.16-
2021/72.19-0.68-50.0824.11-6.07.420.16因受新型冠狀病毒疫情影響
2021/62.2-27.27-43.8521.933.089.270.13-
2021/53.03-24.97-24.519.7213.6910.80.11-
2021/44.048.0670.6316.725.1812.990.09去年受新冠肺炎影響
2021/33.74-28.3953.1812.6615.3812.660.1去年受新冠肺炎影響
2021/25.2240.7870.098.924.5813.080.1因兩年度春節在不同月份,基期不同所致
2021/13.71-10.78-32.183.71-32.1811.570.11-
2020/124.1511.81.3646.11-5.8911.950.09-
2020/113.72-8.962.4441.95-6.5511.40.1-
2020/104.0813.359.7938.24-7.3412.580.09-
2020/93.6-26.57-5.1234.16-9.0412.890.08-
2020/84.911.872.6830.56-9.4813.210.08-
2020/74.3811.71.8825.65-11.4812.320.08-
2020/63.92-2.2-8.7421.27-13.8110.30.1-
2020/54.0169.58-6.517.35-14.888.820.12-
2020/42.37-2.99-33.9713.34-17.127.870.13-
2020/32.44-20.49-36.910.97-12.2910.970.12-
2020/23.07-43.87-38.268.53-1.2912.630.1-
2020/15.4633.3548.685.4648.6813.190.1-
2019/124.112.985.7449.013.920.0N/A-
2019/113.63-2.4213.9944.914.730.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.482023/16.522022/13.912021/13.712020/15.46
2024/26.392023/24.352022/24.542021/25.222020/23.07
2024/34.52023/33.722022/33.612021/33.742020/32.44
2024/44.512023/44.612022/42.822021/44.042020/42.37
2024/55.082023/54.672022/52.612021/53.032020/54.01
2024/65.482023/64.552022/63.122021/62.22020/63.92
2024/75.282023/75.412022/74.312021/72.192020/74.38
2024/85.762023/85.22022/84.532021/83.22020/84.9
2024/95.02023/94.452022/93.642021/93.062020/93.6
2024/104.722023/104.752022/104.092021/104.132020/104.08
N/AN/A2023/114.072022/113.792021/113.612020/113.72
N/AN/A2023/124.922022/124.422021/124.172020/124.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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