玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.07-1.5115.8429.8515.789.59N/A-
2024/93.12-8.3825.1226.7815.779.610.05-
2024/83.410.0122.9423.6714.649.560.05-
2024/73.091.046.8520.2613.358.970.06-
2024/63.068.7521.0317.1714.618.570.05-
2024/52.814.3715.3714.1113.318.270.05-
2024/42.7-2.376.8111.2912.88.560.05-
2024/32.76-10.8627.78.614.828.60.04-
2024/23.113.3629.745.839.598.660.04-
2024/12.73-3.3-6.812.73-6.817.940.05-
2023/122.8318.8712.4730.9928.287.860.05-
2023/112.38-10.2612.7328.1630.127.520.05-
2023/102.656.3812.9925.7831.997.910.05-
2023/92.49-9.9819.4723.1334.598.150.05-
2023/82.77-4.3715.7920.6436.678.190.05-
2023/72.8914.4421.4817.8740.67.860.05-
2023/62.533.6742.7814.9845.017.490.06-
2023/52.44-3.3676.3112.4545.477.130.06今年疫情緩解人潮回流,故本月營收較去年同月增加。
2023/42.5216.7166.5510.0139.527.080.06今年疫情緩解,營收大幅成長
2023/32.16-9.4415.157.4932.287.490.06-
2023/22.39-18.5718.635.3240.87.840.06-
2023/12.9316.766.082.9366.087.560.06今年疫情緩解且過年年節提前到一月並且長達10天,營收大幅成長
2022/122.5119.1421.6624.1634.486.970.07-
2022/112.11-10.0610.8521.6436.156.540.07-
2022/102.3512.4713.3719.5339.596.820.07-
2022/92.09-12.7538.7817.1944.146.860.05-
2022/82.390.3265.7415.144.926.540.05去年因疫情嚴峻,營收影響甚鉅
2022/72.3834.5216.6512.7141.575.540.06去年因疫情影響僅部分門店可以內用,營收影響甚鉅
2022/61.7728.02199.8110.3325.564.670.07去年因疫情影響停止內用,營收大幅下滑
2022/51.38-8.7174.198.5612.074.780.07去年因疫情影響停止內用,營收大幅下滑
2022/41.52-19.3-12.327.174.865.410.06-
2022/31.88-6.716.335.6610.675.660.06-
2022/22.0113.9913.793.788.065.850.05-
2022/11.77-14.52.21.772.25.740.06-
2021/122.078.5618.217.96-0.546.040.05-
2021/111.9-8.0214.9715.9-2.555.470.05-
2021/102.0737.6920.5613.99-4.535.010.06-
2021/91.54.19-0.3711.92-7.863.70.06-
2021/81.4491.65-23.2510.42-8.852.790.08-
2021/70.7527.35-58.748.98-6.012.140.11因疫情影響,餐廳僅能外帶外送(7月底僅部分門店開放內用),影響營收甚大
2021/60.59-25.61-61.278.236.413.110.07因疫情影響,餐廳一律不得內用僅能外帶外送,影響營收甚大
2021/50.79-54.05-50.577.6423.064.140.05因疫情嚴峻,餐廳一律僅能外帶外送影響營收甚大
2021/41.737.06120.776.8448.85.110.04因去年3-4月受疫情影響營收下滑,且疫情趨緩後持續展店所致
2021/31.61-8.7456.365.1134.035.110.05因去年3-4月受疫情影響營收下滑,且疫情趨緩後持續展店所致
2021/21.772.3846.063.525.745.250.05-
2021/11.73-1.1210.061.7310.065.130.05-
2020/121.755.5924.9118.0629.355.120.04-
2020/111.66-3.5440.7416.3129.854.880.05-
2020/101.7213.7748.9414.6628.725.10.04-
2020/91.51-19.7334.8112.9426.455.210.04-
2020/81.883.0443.4811.4325.425.230.04-
2020/71.8219.5344.589.5522.394.960.04-
2020/61.53-5.0524.937.7318.093.920.04-
2020/51.61105.245.146.216.523.420.04-
2020/40.78-24.16-23.084.69.013.030.05-
2020/31.03-14.75-3.143.8119.233.810.04-
2020/21.21-22.857.982.7830.424.180.03-
2020/11.5712.2155.311.5755.314.150.03本期較去年同期新展門店增加,及今年農曆春節在一月,故營收大幅成長
2019/121.418.9726.6113.9626.230.0N/A-
2019/111.182.0730.7312.5626.190.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.732023/12.932022/11.772021/11.732020/11.57
2024/23.12023/22.392022/22.012021/21.772020/21.21
2024/32.762023/32.162022/31.882021/31.612020/31.03
2024/42.72023/42.522022/41.522021/41.732020/40.78
2024/52.812023/52.442022/51.382021/50.792020/51.61
2024/63.062023/62.532022/61.772021/60.592020/61.53
2024/73.092023/72.892022/72.382021/70.752020/71.82
2024/83.42023/82.772022/82.392021/81.442020/81.88
2024/93.122023/92.492022/92.092021/91.52020/91.51
2024/103.072023/102.652022/102.352021/102.072020/101.72
N/AN/A2023/112.382022/112.112021/111.92020/111.66
N/AN/A2023/122.832022/122.512021/122.072020/121.75
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.0%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0814.2933.33
24Q2 (19)0.0716.6716.67
24Q1 (18)0.060.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.060.0-14.29
23Q3 (16)0.060.00.0
23Q2 (15)0.060.00.0
23Q1 (14)0.06-14.290.0
22Q4 (13)0.0716.6716.67
22Q3 (12)0.060.00.0
22Q2 (11)0.060.00.0
22Q1 (10)0.060.00.0
21Q4 (9)0.060.0100.0
21Q3 (8)0.060.0100.0
21Q2 (7)0.060.00
21Q1 (6)0.06100.0200.0
20Q4 (5)0.030.0200.0
20Q3 (4)0.0300.0

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