玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.771.15-12.0115.76-11.96.0N/A-
2024/91.57-8.89-9.0213.08-11.794.590.05-
2024/81.7333.97-7.5811.51-12.143.590.06-
2024/71.29125.45-8.589.79-12.853.420.06-
2024/60.57-63.23-13.198.49-13.513.760.0-
2024/51.56-4.55-11.718.02-12.795.560.0-
2024/41.63-31.27-12.776.36-14.444.860.0-
2024/32.37177.29-15.24.73-14.984.730.05-
2024/20.86-43.0-14.042.36-14.45.260.04-
2024/11.5-48.21-14.921.5-14.927.470.03-
2023/122.9-5.68.2123.86-6.289.030.01-
2023/113.070.279.8120.96-7.997.870.01-
2023/103.0676.978.8317.89-10.426.660.01-
2023/91.73-7.458.7314.83-13.535.010.14-
2023/81.8732.527.7613.1-15.833.940.18-
2023/71.41114.086.3811.23-18.83.830.18-
2023/60.66-62.61-24.29.82-21.674.290.0-
2023/51.76-5.69-21.349.19-21.016.430.0-
2023/41.87-33.18-23.227.43-20.925.660.0-
2023/32.8181.06-25.585.56-20.135.560.06-
2023/21.0-43.58-16.262.76-14.75.440.07-
2023/11.77-34.12-13.361.77-13.367.240.05-
2022/122.68-4.19-18.1425.46-14.098.290.01-
2022/112.8-0.62-17.8322.78-13.617.20.01-
2022/102.8176.8-15.2519.97-13.036.140.01-
2022/91.59-8.27-13.1917.15-12.684.650.21-
2022/81.7430.83-4.2115.57-12.623.930.25-
2022/71.3352.52-0.913.83-13.614.440.22-
2022/60.87-61.25.3812.54-14.575.550.03-
2022/52.24-7.94-18.8611.64-16.098.440.02-
2022/42.44-35.24-16.949.39-15.47.390.02-
2022/33.76216.27-3.926.96-14.816.990.06-
2022/21.19-41.63-41.393.23-23.96.50.07-
2022/12.04-37.76-8.12.04-8.18.720.05-
2021/123.27-3.8312.8129.647.010.00.02-
2021/113.42.491.6226.376.288.560.02-
2021/103.3281.12.5322.976.896.970.03-
2021/91.831.214.0819.657.684.980.24-
2021/81.8135.347.8217.828.083.980.3-
2021/71.3462.228.8316.018.164.930.24-
2021/60.83-70.1312.5314.686.666.520.03-
2021/52.76-5.7750.6413.876.439.610.02去年受到疫情影響,採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,今年價格有所調漲所致。
2021/42.93-25.0915.1811.1-0.88.880.02-
2021/33.9292.9416.28.17-5.538.160.02-
2021/22.03-8.486960.224.25-19.587.150.03109年2月之後受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績較去年同期增加。
2021/12.22-23.59-57.772.22-57.778.470.02受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/122.9-13.36-59.0127.7-61.369.490.02受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/113.353.41-59.924.81-61.68.350.03收到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/103.2483.85-58.821.48-61.946.680.03受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/91.764.84-77.3918.24-62.454.480.56受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/81.6861.72-65.7416.48-59.593.450.72受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/71.0441.68-78.7514.8-58.753.610.69受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/60.73-60.02-84.8913.76-55.595.110.41受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/51.83-27.94-71.1113.03-50.157.750.27受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/42.55-24.43-59.9911.2-43.425.940.35受到疫情影響,代理商訂單減量,且採取降價策略鼓勵代理商增加提貨,致本月業績受影響。
2020/33.3711622.8-42.838.65-35.578.650.18-
2020/20.03-99.45-98.825.28-29.8912.360.12因疫情影響,各省代理商及供應商2月復工時間不一,另因物流管制及實施封閉式小區管理導致門市來客數大幅減少,致本月業績受影響
2020/15.25-25.823.085.253.0820.690.07-
2019/127.08-15.265.9471.75.980.0N/A-
2019/118.356.268.0964.625.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.52023/11.772022/12.042021/12.222020/15.25
2024/20.862023/21.02022/21.192021/22.032020/20.03
2024/32.372023/32.82022/33.762021/33.922020/33.37
2024/41.632023/41.872022/42.442021/42.932020/42.55
2024/51.562023/51.762022/52.242021/52.762020/51.83
2024/60.572023/60.662022/60.872021/60.832020/60.73
2024/71.292023/71.412022/71.332021/71.342020/71.04
2024/81.732023/81.872022/81.742021/81.812020/81.68
2024/91.572023/91.732022/91.592021/91.832020/91.76
2024/102.72023/103.062022/102.812021/103.322020/103.24
N/AN/A2023/113.072022/112.82021/113.42020/113.35
N/AN/A2023/122.92022/122.682021/123.272020/122.9
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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