玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.71-8.1911.1641.318.0211.56N/A0.475.05-
2024/104.046.3321.5737.67.7211.87N/A0.454.58-
2024/93.8-5.4213.5633.566.2611.691.610.324.14-
2024/84.023.9924.129.755.411.881.580.193.82-
2024/73.87-3.2720.8225.732.9711.691.610.613.63-
2024/64.04.453.8821.870.3511.61.520.883.02-
2024/53.831.30.0317.87-0.411.461.540.392.15-
2024/43.78-2.086.914.04-0.5210.691.650.491.76-
2024/33.8626.32-1.4510.27-3.010.271.530.481.27-
2024/23.05-8.88-8.996.41-3.919.861.590.310.79-
2024/13.35-2.921.243.351.2410.141.550.480.48-
2023/123.453.415.6641.7-13.9410.121.410.324.95-
2023/113.340.4-16.8138.24-15.3610.011.430.114.63-
2023/103.33-0.67-11.7734.9-15.229.911.440.374.52-
2023/93.353.35-28.5631.58-15.579.791.480.464.15-
2023/83.241.25-12.428.23-13.7110.291.410.433.69-
2023/73.2-16.83-24.6724.99-13.8710.871.340.393.27-
2023/63.850.57-12.7121.79-12.0211.211.360.692.88-
2023/53.838.26-15.2517.94-11.8711.271.360.42.19-
2023/43.53-9.74-10.8514.12-10.9110.811.410.541.78-
2023/33.9216.64-3.4410.58-10.9310.581.470.571.23-
2023/23.361.36-4.896.67-14.819.941.570.570.67-
2023/13.311.3-22.953.31-22.9510.591.470.10.1-
2022/123.27-18.57-31.548.461.1111.051.60.348.04-
2022/114.016.49-5.0545.194.7112.471.420.017.7-
2022/103.77-19.58-11.7841.175.7712.161.450.637.69-
2022/94.6926.739.7137.47.9412.631.580.97.06-
2022/83.7-12.93-3.5332.727.6912.361.620.666.16-
2022/74.25-3.626.2729.029.3113.171.520.725.5-
2022/64.41-2.3512.1624.779.8512.891.671.144.78-
2022/54.5113.8811.0120.369.3612.531.720.453.64-
2022/43.96-2.240.7615.858.911.551.870.993.19-
2022/34.0514.894.3211.8811.9211.881.930.932.21-
2022/23.53-17.8723.677.8316.3112.61.820.611.28-
2022/14.3-9.9310.94.310.913.31.730.670.67-
2021/124.7712.8628.5147.9241.6613.271.70.677.02-
2021/114.23-1.0532.3443.1543.2812.771.770.596.35-
2021/104.270.0841.1438.9244.5712.381.830.675.76-
2021/94.2711.3550.3534.6545.012.11.680.725.1疫情影響
2021/83.83-4.0832.0930.3844.2811.761.730.474.38-
2021/74.01.7152.7326.5446.2211.991.70.743.91因去年度受疫情影響
2021/63.93-3.3547.6422.5545.1311.931.360.773.17-
2021/54.073.3741.8518.6244.6111.891.360.512.4-
2021/43.931.233.3614.5545.410.671.520.221.9-
2021/33.8936.233.2110.6250.4310.621.320.711.67109年因新冠肺炎影響
2021/22.85-26.3550.576.7362.5710.431.340.470.96109年因新冠肺炎影響
2021/13.884.6872.73.8872.710.771.30.490.49109年1月適逢農曆春節
2020/123.715.8612.8333.82-3.449.921.260.313.06-
2020/113.195.529.930.12-5.129.061.380.342.75-
2020/103.036.63-4.0826.92-6.648.771.430.132.41-
2020/92.84-2.19-9.2723.89-6.968.361.470.212.27-
2020/82.910.93.4821.05-6.648.181.50.352.06-
2020/72.62-1.68-9.5518.15-8.078.151.50.151.71-
2020/62.66-7.14-8.7315.53-7.828.481.520.11.57-
2020/52.87-2.81-1.8312.87-7.638.731.470.471.47-
2020/42.951.1212.9910.01-9.177.761.660.191.0-
2020/32.9253.91-13.897.06-16.067.061.770.320.81-
2020/21.9-15.53-8.184.14-17.537.421.680.180.48-
2020/12.24-31.6-24.062.24-24.060.0N/A0.30.3-
2019/123.2812.862.2335.02-0.910.0N/A0.193.73-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.352023/13.312022/14.32021/13.882020/12.24
2024/23.052023/23.362022/23.532021/22.852020/21.9
2024/33.862023/33.922022/34.052021/33.892020/32.92
2024/43.782023/43.532022/43.962021/43.932020/42.95
2024/53.832023/53.832022/54.512021/54.072020/52.87
2024/64.02023/63.852022/64.412021/63.932020/62.66
2024/73.872023/73.22022/74.252021/74.02020/72.62
2024/84.022023/83.242022/83.72021/83.832020/82.9
2024/93.82023/93.352022/94.692021/94.272020/92.84
2024/104.042023/103.332022/103.772021/104.272020/103.03
2024/113.712023/113.342022/114.012021/114.232020/113.19
N/AN/A2023/123.452022/123.272021/124.772020/123.7
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.150.0-69.39
24Q2 (19)0.15-11.76-34.78
24Q1 (18)0.1730.77-41.38
23Q4 (17)0.13-73.47-55.17
23Q3 (16)0.49113.0440.0
23Q2 (15)0.23-20.699.52
23Q1 (14)0.290.0-12.12
22Q4 (13)0.29-17.143.57
22Q3 (12)0.3566.67-23.91
22Q2 (11)0.21-36.3616.67
22Q1 (10)0.3317.86135.71
21Q4 (9)0.28-39.13-20.0
21Q3 (8)0.46155.56411.11
21Q2 (7)0.1828.57200.0
21Q1 (6)0.14-60.055.56
20Q4 (5)0.35288.89218.18
20Q3 (4)0.0950.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.06-33.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.09-18.180.0
19Q4 (1)0.110.00.0

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