玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1172.058.9623.46736.3519.74206.33N/A-
2024/1066.12-3.08.46664.319.34207.36N/A-
2024/968.17-6.712.56598.1820.68214.130.23-
2024/873.080.2612.11530.0123.49219.90.23-
2024/772.88-1.4224.48456.9425.53218.930.23-
2024/673.942.5428.2384.0525.73211.540.23-
2024/572.1110.0935.35310.1125.15194.510.25-
2024/465.515.0929.12238.0122.36170.980.28-
2024/356.9117.1315.1172.5119.97172.510.28-
2024/248.58-27.512.91115.622.53168.470.28-
2024/167.0226.7642.1867.0242.18178.240.27-
2023/1252.87-9.396.34667.82-9.22172.180.27-
2023/1158.35-4.271.77614.96-10.35185.770.25-
2023/1060.96-8.283.84556.6-11.46192.60.24-
2023/966.461.966.44495.65-13.03190.190.26-
2023/865.1811.321.34429.18-15.43181.40.27-
2023/758.551.52-9.56364.0-17.86169.490.29-
2023/657.678.25-11.63305.45-19.29161.670.33-
2023/553.275.02-10.01247.78-20.88153.440.34-
2023/450.732.6-13.87194.51-23.42147.370.36-
2023/349.444.72-29.77143.78-26.3143.780.42-
2023/247.210.15-9.2794.34-24.33144.060.42-
2023/147.14-5.18-35.1247.14-35.12154.190.39-
2022/1249.72-13.28-18.37735.74.33165.750.39-
2022/1157.33-2.32-12.01685.996.47178.470.36-
2022/1058.7-5.98-2.2628.658.56185.450.35-
2022/962.44-2.91-4.86569.959.8191.490.32-
2022/864.32-0.656.14507.5211.92194.320.32-
2022/764.74-0.85.53443.212.82189.20.33-
2022/665.2610.2411.74378.4614.16183.360.3-
2022/559.20.518.88313.214.68188.50.29-
2022/458.9-16.345.4254.016.13181.340.31-
2022/370.4135.319.05195.119.81195.10.26-
2022/252.04-28.3814.99124.6920.24185.60.27-
2022/172.6619.2824.3172.6624.31198.730.26-
2021/1260.91-6.5215.67705.1519.35186.10.28-
2021/1165.168.5519.87644.2419.71190.820.27-
2021/1060.02-8.5419.33579.0819.69186.250.28-
2021/965.638.3212.47519.0619.73187.560.25-
2021/860.59-1.2218.58453.4220.86180.340.26-
2021/761.345.0217.6392.8321.22174.120.27-
2021/658.417.4115.62331.4921.91168.660.27-
2021/554.37-2.6920.45273.0923.35169.390.27-
2021/455.88-5.56.01218.7224.09160.270.28-
2021/359.1430.6821.97162.8431.81162.840.26-
2021/245.25-22.5739.99103.738.17156.350.27-
2021/158.4511.036.858.4536.8165.460.25-
2020/1252.65-3.1312.08590.818.04157.310.27-
2020/1154.368.0616.04538.157.66163.010.26-
2020/1050.3-13.88.54483.86.79159.750.27-
2020/958.3514.217.51433.56.6161.60.23-
2020/851.09-2.034.64375.155.08153.770.24-
2020/752.163.2510.72324.055.15147.810.25-
2020/650.5111.917.16271.894.14148.360.26-
2020/545.14-14.36-7.18221.383.47146.330.26-
2020/452.718.7218.07176.246.61133.520.28-
2020/348.4849.999.14123.532.37123.530.32-
2020/232.32-24.341.7475.05-1.56122.030.32-
2020/142.72-9.05-3.9242.72-3.920.0N/A-
2019/1246.980.2810.18546.823.290.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/167.022023/147.142022/172.662021/158.452020/142.72
2024/248.582023/247.212022/252.042021/245.252020/232.32
2024/356.912023/349.442022/370.412021/359.142020/348.48
2024/465.52023/450.732022/458.92021/455.882020/452.71
2024/572.112023/553.272022/559.22021/554.372020/545.14
2024/673.942023/657.672022/665.262021/658.412020/650.51
2024/772.882023/758.552022/764.742021/761.342020/752.16
2024/873.082023/865.182022/864.322021/860.592020/851.09
2024/968.172023/966.462022/962.442021/965.632020/958.35
2024/1066.122023/1060.962022/1058.72021/1060.022020/1050.3
2024/1172.052023/1158.352022/1157.332021/1165.162020/1154.36
N/AN/A2023/1252.872022/1249.722021/1260.912020/1252.65
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 18.66%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.84-14.64-9.02
24Q2 (19)5.672.7218.12
24Q1 (18)5.520.1863.31
23Q4 (17)5.513.5757.43
23Q3 (16)5.3210.83-12.79
23Q2 (15)4.842.01-42.45
23Q1 (14)3.38-3.43-34.62
22Q4 (13)3.5-42.62-37.83
22Q3 (12)6.1-26.8623.23
22Q2 (11)8.3461.3225.41
22Q1 (10)5.17-8.1724.58
21Q4 (9)5.6313.7463.19
21Q3 (8)4.95-25.5658.65
21Q2 (7)6.6560.24180.59
21Q1 (6)4.1520.2954.28
20Q4 (5)3.4510.5819.38
20Q3 (4)3.1231.650.0
20Q2 (3)2.37-11.90.0
20Q1 (2)2.69-6.920.0
19Q4 (1)2.890.00.0

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