玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/109.35-10.4-10.2896.62-14.6930.88N/A-
2024/910.44-5.87-10.6387.27-15.1331.230.63-
2024/811.0914.2-2.2576.84-15.7129.880.66-
2024/79.716.86-15.8665.75-17.6328.840.68-
2024/69.09-9.58-15.0256.04-17.9228.990.69-
2024/510.051.94-14.846.95-18.4629.210.68-
2024/49.865.9-13.8836.9-19.4126.640.75-
2024/39.3124.43-32.5427.05-21.2527.050.79-
2024/27.48-27.11-26.4417.74-13.6726.330.81-
2024/110.2619.52-1.1710.26-1.1728.860.74-
2023/128.59-14.26-4.89131.87-5.0929.020.88-
2023/1110.01-3.91-13.55123.28-5.132.790.78-
2023/1010.42-10.76-9.91113.27-4.2834.880.73-
2023/912.351.97-3.33108.92-5.5436.370.71-
2023/812.111.62-16.796.57-5.8135.390.73-
2023/711.924.9-9.4884.46-4.0135.810.72-
2023/611.36-9.35-4.272.55-3.0535.990.73-
2023/512.533.61-0.2961.19-2.8339.220.67-
2023/412.09-17.14-8.6248.66-3.4737.650.7-
2023/314.633.1714.8236.56-1.6336.560.79-
2023/210.96-0.3911.8921.96-10.1931.460.91-
2023/111.015.85-24.9511.0-24.9533.030.87-
2022/129.5-24.21-23.31149.4-10.2634.090.9-
2022/1112.533.94-13.65139.9-9.2237.360.82-
2022/1012.06-5.62-16.0127.37-8.7539.370.78-
2022/912.78-12.12-13.97115.31-7.9240.480.73-
2022/814.5410.43-1.65102.54-7.1139.560.75-
2022/713.1711.02-6.788.0-7.9637.590.79-
2022/611.86-5.65-10.9374.83-8.1737.660.87-
2022/512.57-5.04-10.2362.97-7.6338.520.86-
2022/413.244.12-9.9450.41-6.9735.740.92-
2022/312.7129.77-15.5737.17-5.8637.170.87-
2022/29.8-33.195.1124.460.1136.840.88-
2022/114.6618.38-2.9514.66-2.9541.560.78-
2021/1212.39-14.661.86166.512.5441.250.87-
2021/1114.511.115.51154.1113.543.720.82-
2021/1014.35-3.349.18139.614.443.990.82-
2021/914.850.45-5.51125.2415.0343.740.77-
2021/814.784.764.53110.3918.542.210.8-
2021/714.115.99-6.6795.6121.041.420.82-
2021/613.31-4.92.3981.527.5542.010.73-
2021/514.0-4.739.9868.1833.9743.760.7-
2021/414.7-2.3924.6954.1841.9739.070.78-
2021/315.0661.5740.239.4949.739.490.72-
2021/29.32-38.32106.7624.4356.2236.590.77去年因受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/115.1124.2735.7515.1135.7541.020.69-
2020/1212.16-11.61-8.35147.933.8139.060.68-
2020/1113.764.639.55135.785.0642.620.62-
2020/1013.15-16.365.08122.024.5843.010.62-
2020/915.7211.1517.24108.874.5244.980.52-
2020/814.14-6.469.7893.162.6442.260.56-
2020/715.1216.2924.2979.011.4640.850.58-
2020/613.02.1318.1363.89-2.7537.520.61-
2020/512.737.999.8150.89-6.9635.260.65-
2020/411.799.750.1738.16-11.4727.030.85-
2020/310.74138.27-6.4926.38-15.8426.380.67-
2020/24.51-59.5-41.9815.64-21.2528.90.61-
2020/111.13-16.1-7.9211.13-7.9236.950.48-
2019/1213.275.6524.13142.49-1.930.0N/A-
2019/1112.560.37-1.12129.22-4.00.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/110.262023/111.02022/114.662021/115.112020/111.13
2024/27.482023/210.962022/29.82021/29.322020/24.51
2024/39.312023/314.62022/312.712021/315.062020/310.74
2024/49.862023/412.092022/413.242021/414.72020/411.79
2024/510.052023/512.532022/512.572021/514.02020/512.73
2024/69.092023/611.362022/611.862021/613.312020/613.0
2024/79.712023/711.922022/713.172021/714.112020/715.12
2024/811.092023/812.112022/814.542021/814.782020/814.14
2024/910.442023/912.352022/912.782021/914.852020/915.72
2024/109.352023/1010.422022/1012.062021/1014.352020/1013.15
N/AN/A2023/1110.012022/1112.532021/1114.512020/1113.76
N/AN/A2023/128.592022/129.52021/1212.392020/1212.16
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.818.024.62
24Q2 (19)0.7531.5841.51
24Q1 (18)0.57-6.565.56
23Q4 (17)0.61-6.15-34.41
23Q3 (16)0.6522.64-41.96
23Q2 (15)0.53-1.85-47.0
23Q1 (14)0.54-41.94-25.0
22Q4 (13)0.93-16.9675.47
22Q3 (12)1.1212.093.1
22Q2 (11)1.038.8969.49
22Q1 (10)0.7235.8544.0
21Q4 (9)0.53-8.6232.5
21Q3 (8)0.58-1.6911.54
21Q2 (7)0.5918.00
21Q1 (6)0.525.00
20Q4 (5)0.4-23.080
20Q3 (4)0.5200.0

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