玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.9543.94-5.02.7056.07-38.6495.73-30.334.7133.75-35.9563.1285.14-45.37-4.6544.3429.594.22
24Q2 (19)0.66-12.0-37.141.73-34.22-52.99137.4012.7158.3152.6952.24112.89155.8423.5679.0934.2412.6339.64
24Q1 (18)0.75-19.35-8.542.63-31.872.33121.9124.6910.3834.6146.84-2.26126.1241.3940.0430.40-5.41-45.52
23Q4 (17)0.93-7.043.083.86-12.2779.5397.776.95-30.1823.5713.92-44.3189.20-0.1-18.0832.1440.78-56.25
23Q3 (16)1.00-4.7620.484.4019.5775.391.425.33-16.4820.69-16.4-42.8589.292.615.2522.83-6.89-62.47
23Q2 (15)1.0528.0545.833.6843.19128.5786.79-21.42-31.5624.75-30.1-56.387.02-3.38-12.6624.52-56.06-70.75
23Q1 (14)0.8226.1538.982.5719.5356.71110.45-21.13-28.9335.41-16.33-36.1590.06-17.29-25.5355.80-24.05-37.94
22Q4 (13)0.65-21.69-33.672.15-14.34-46.25140.0427.9451.5442.3216.9186.19108.8928.3572.4673.4720.7841.26
22Q3 (12)0.8315.2812.162.5155.9-17.43109.46-13.68-10.6236.20-36.0921.0384.84-14.849.4460.83-27.44-18.74
22Q2 (11)0.7222.03700.01.61-1.83360.0126.81-18.4-87.1956.642.13-78.1899.63-17.62-82.7883.83-6.77-87.51
22Q1 (10)0.59-39.8-4.841.64-59.0-37.4155.4168.176.0255.46143.9959.6120.9491.5467.6289.9272.89-17.65
21Q4 (9)0.9832.4315.294.0031.589.5992.41-24.54-13.7722.73-24.01-8.7563.14-18.5532.1552.01-30.52-38.3
21Q3 (8)0.74722.22-7.53.04768.5724.59122.46-87.637.8129.91-88.48-19.7377.52-86.674.5274.86-88.85-29.66
21Q2 (7)0.09-85.48-88.160.35-86.64-74.07990.28575.54722.22259.54646.88285.13578.53701.84827.13671.29514.79435.19
21Q1 (6)0.62-27.061.642.62-28.22116.53146.5936.78-2.0134.7539.5-53.9372.1551.0-7.12109.1929.53-25.9
20Q4 (5)0.856.25-42.573.6549.5919.67107.17-5.6574.2324.91-33.15-16.5547.787.5647.6184.30-20.7942.91
20Q3 (4)0.805.260.02.4480.740.0113.59-5.690.037.26-44.710.044.42-28.810.0106.42-15.160.0
20Q2 (3)0.7624.590.01.3511.570.0120.44-19.490.067.39-10.660.062.40-19.670.0125.43-14.880.0
20Q1 (2)0.61-58.780.01.21-60.330.0149.59143.20.075.43152.70.077.68139.980.0147.35149.790.0
19Q4 (1)1.480.00.03.050.00.061.510.00.029.850.00.032.370.00.058.990.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.1914.759.00-11.15114.59-12.8240.5412.55106.658.7748.47-30.18
2022 (9)2.7845.5510.1317.11131.44-31.3336.02-14.6898.05-6.6869.42-46.0
2021 (8)1.91-18.728.658.81191.4123.0742.22-8.02105.0740.41128.551.53
2020 (7)2.35-24.687.95-6.14155.5332.9245.906.574.83-11.41126.6167.38
2019 (6)3.12-50.248.47-69.46117.01100.9843.10227.5184.47-18.1775.640
2018 (5)6.2713.3827.7324.8558.22-11.8513.16-19.9103.22-27.89-31.840
2017 (4)5.53-9.0522.210.9566.059.9916.43-0.96143.1431.77-60.650
2016 (3)6.0815.1522.00-9.7660.05-13.1616.5910.82108.63-6.39-31.990
2015 (2)5.28-24.4624.38-11.2869.1532.414.9712.73116.0444.72-31.910
2014 (1)6.9925.9527.48123.2352.23-20.5113.28-55.2180.186.37-14.670

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