玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)200.00.0-0.2221.43-137.93-0.2528.57-150.0-0.59-59.46-164.130.02-33.33-96.042.3652.325.03-329.83-59.2-1571.8-264.17-53.74-1219.36-0.0614.29-154.55-0.0433.33-133.33-247.00-36.93-1019.24-264.17-53.74-1219.36-61.98-94.84-5.71
24Q2 (19)200.00.0-0.28-211.11-200.0-0.35-40.0-275.0-0.37-311.11-208.820.03-90.62-92.6827.81-48.39-17.77-207.18-1388.36-1817.91-171.83-3024.18-1361.6-0.07-75.0-240.0-0.06-200.0-200.0-180.38-3529.38-1134.88-171.83-3024.18-1361.6-63.94-173.56-111.67
24Q1 (18)200.00.0-0.09-136.0-250.0-0.25-183.33-600.0-0.09-107.69-250.00.32-37.256.6753.8857.3159.6-13.92-187.16-307.14-5.50-155.84-229.72-0.04-150.0-300.0-0.02-140.0-300.0-4.97-136.41-194.31-5.50-155.84-229.72-17.62-96.45-111.67
23Q4 (17)200.00.00.25-56.9733.330.30-40.0200.01.1727.17434.290.512.041.6734.25-15.0840.1415.97-28.74288.569.85-58.26556.670.08-27.27700.00.05-58.33400.013.65-49.2607.259.85-58.26556.6711.9725.1255.00
23Q3 (16)200.00.00.58107.145900.00.50150.000.92170.59348.650.521.9542.8640.3319.2548.9322.4185.82570.9623.6073.275016.670.11120.01000.00.12100.0026.8754.16801.6823.6073.275016.6729.31236.91225.00
23Q2 (15)200.00.00.28366.67184.850.20300.0144.440.34466.67191.890.4136.67173.3333.820.18249.0212.0679.46125.4513.62221.23131.380.05150.0171.430.06500.0185.7117.43230.74151.0113.62221.23131.3810.00233.34125.00
23Q1 (14)200.00.00.06100.0250.00.05-50.0150.00.06117.14250.00.3-16.67150.033.7638.13-24.796.7263.5139.514.24182.67170.430.02100.0200.00.010.0200.05.27173.06187.254.24182.67170.43-6.91250.00-25.00
22Q4 (13)200.00.00.03400.0-99.430.100111.76-0.355.41-107.430.362.8671.4324.44-9.75388.214.1123.05107.091.50412.5-99.70.010.0108.330.010-99.051.93-35.23-99.631.50412.5-99.768.10248.4950.00
22Q3 (12)200.0-31.03-0.0196.9792.860.00100.0100.0-0.370.00.00.35133.33118.7527.08179.46140.53.34107.05110.75-0.4898.8998.130.01114.29120.00100.0100.02.98108.72111.8-0.4898.8998.1379.17-314.01-125.00
22Q2 (11)200.0-31.03-0.33-725.0-450.0-0.45-350.0-200.0-0.37-825.0-60.870.1525.0-6.259.69-78.41-66.75-47.39-178.6-184.62-43.41-621.1-279.13-0.07-250.0-133.33-0.07-600.0-250.0-34.17-465.73-186.42-43.41-621.1-279.13-8.93-412.88-130.88
22Q1 (10)200.0-31.03-0.04-100.7675.0-0.1088.2466.67-0.04-100.8575.00.12-42.86140.044.89629.36320.05-17.0170.6684.31-6.02-101.293.18-0.0283.3366.67-0.01-100.9580.0-6.04-101.1592.96-6.02-101.293.18-5.801871.05-75.88
21Q4 (9)20-31.03-31.035.243842.861906.9-0.85-240.0-112.54.711372.97688.750.2131.2590.91-8.48-175.31-150.15-57.98-86.5517.38502.002054.83772.29-0.12-140.0-50.01.052725.01266.67526.202183.14805.74502.002054.83772.2915.621854.77-153.34
21Q3 (8)290.00.0-0.14-133.33-100.0-0.25-66.67-66.67-0.37-60.8727.450.160.0-20.011.26-61.36-56.61-31.08-86.67-70.49-25.68-124.28-145.51-0.05-66.67-25.0-0.04-100.0-100.0-25.26-111.74-137.18-25.68-124.28-145.51110.00-35.42-8.34
21Q2 (7)290.03.57-0.0662.562.5-0.1550.057.14-0.23-43.7547.730.16220.023.0829.14242.84291.14-16.6584.6465.75-11.4587.0366.18-0.0350.050.0-0.0260.060.0-11.9386.165.51-11.4587.0366.1882.7253.6637.50
21Q1 (6)290.00.0-0.1644.8342.86-0.3025.040.0-0.1680.042.860.05-54.55-61.54-20.40-501.77-507.14-108.39-54.45-48.32-88.25-18.19-43.03-0.0625.040.0-0.0544.4437.5-85.85-15.14-41.2-88.25-18.19-43.03-49.77-134.73-70.83
20Q4 (5)290.00.0-0.29-314.29-163.64-0.40-166.67-166.67-0.80-56.86-31.150.11-45.0-65.62-3.39-113.06-109.32-70.18-284.97-1680.63-74.67-613.86-655.77-0.08-100.0-900.0-0.09-350.0-200.0-74.56-600.09-2131.61-74.67-613.86-655.77--0.00
20Q3 (4)293.570.0-0.0756.250.0-0.1557.140.0-0.51-15.910.00.253.850.025.95248.320.0-18.2362.50.0-10.4669.110.0-0.0433.330.0-0.0260.00.0-10.6569.210.0-10.4669.110.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)28-3.450.0-0.1642.860.0-0.3530.00.0-0.44-57.140.00.130.00.07.45321.730.0-48.6133.480.0-33.8645.120.0-0.0640.00.0-0.0537.50.0-34.5943.110.0-33.8645.120.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)290.00.0-0.28-154.550.0-0.50-233.330.0-0.2854.10.00.13-59.380.0-3.36-109.240.0-73.08-1745.950.0-61.70-524.490.0-0.1-1100.00.0-0.08-166.670.0-60.80-1756.680.0-61.70-524.490.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)290.00.0-0.110.00.0-0.150.00.0-0.610.00.00.320.00.036.380.00.04.440.00.0-9.880.00.00.010.00.0-0.030.00.03.670.00.0-9.880.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.0187.55-93.150.38-71.330.02N/A去年國外客戶下單暢旺,故基期較高使本月及本年累計營業收入減少幅度較大。
2024/90.0-43.18-96.160.37-69.130.020.0去年國外客戶下單暢旺,故基期較高使本月及本年累計營業收入減少幅度較大。
2024/80.0170.61-95.030.37-66.270.020.0去年國外客戶下單暢旺,故基期較高使本月及本年累計營業收入減少幅度較大。
2024/70.0-54.17-97.950.36-61.440.030.0去年國外客戶下單暢旺,故基期較高使本月及本年累計營業收入減少幅度較大。
2024/60.01-42.68-93.080.35-49.920.030.31去年國外客戶下單暢旺,故基期較高使本月及本年累計營業收入減少幅度較大。
2024/50.02220.29-81.170.34-38.910.050.19因去年疫情解封,國外客戶下單暢旺,去年營收基期較高,使本月營收減少幅度較大。
2024/40.01-81.58-96.850.33-30.650.160.06因去年疫情解封,國外客戶下單暢旺,去年營收基期較高,使本月營收減少幅度較大。
2024/30.03-77.35-73.560.327.370.320.03部份訂單已於2月提前出貨
2024/20.13-20.0287.650.2955.160.430.02農曆年前訂單於年後完成出貨
2024/10.1621.454.850.164.850.550.02-
2023/120.13-46.75-15.371.7177.130.510.24訂單成長
2023/110.25107.44112.621.5895.260.490.25訂單成長
2023/100.125.0648.191.3292.270.390.31疫情解封訂單成長
2023/90.12-26.37-19.311.298.210.50.3疫情解封訂單增加
2023/80.16-29.9119.521.09134.380.480.31疫情解封訂單成長
2023/70.22114.29261.280.89167.640.420.36疫情解封訂單恢復
2023/60.113.05332.610.67146.30.370.81疫情解封訂單成長
2023/50.09-46.4420.260.56128.150.380.8疫情解封訂單成長
2023/40.1754.71229.460.47176.630.320.95疫情解封,訂單需求成長
2023/30.11231.972008.140.3153.30.30.8疫情解封市場需求增加。
2023/20.03-78.3658.450.1966.690.350.69去年受COVID-19影響,故去年累計營收較低
2023/10.15-1.9868.580.1568.580.430.56去年受COVID-19影響,故去年累計營收較低
2022/120.1633.7852.360.9765.960.360.53去年受COVID-19疫情影響,故去年累計營收較低。
2022/110.1244.58150.890.8168.910.340.55去年受COVID-19疫情影響,故去年累計營收較低。
2022/100.08-42.7947.440.6959.950.360.53去年受COVID-19疫情影響,故去年累計營收較低。
2022/90.149.06189.870.6161.790.340.57去年受COVID-19疫情影響,故去年同期及累計營收較低。
2022/80.13111.83140.190.4642.430.220.88本期較去年同期高,主要是受今年4月大陸封控影響,部份訂單交期順延至本月出貨。
2022/70.06156.594.540.3322.780.161.17-
2022/60.02-68.57-64.070.2727.860.151.63本期受大陸解封後塞港情形嚴重影響,致使訂單交期順延。
2022/50.0846.6967.490.2570.350.131.86去年同期及累計受COVID-19疫情影響,故較今年同期及累計營收少許多。
2022/40.05889.9615.460.1771.660.083.18去年同期及累計受COVID-19疫情影響,故較今年同期及累計營收少許多。
2022/30.01-75.04-88.040.12118.680.121.52本期受大陸封城影響出貨交期順延,故較去年同期營收少,去年累計受COVID-19疫情影響,故較今年累計營收少。
2022/20.02-76.971230.810.111035.240.220.83去年同期及累計受COVID-19疫情影響,故較今年同期及累計營收少許多。
2022/10.09-11.42998.080.09998.080.240.74去年同期受COVID-19疫情影響,故較今年本期營收少許多。
2021/120.1120.29223.130.580.930.210.39去年同期受COVID-19疫情影響,故營收較低。
2021/110.05-15.0228.970.48-12.180.150.53-
2021/100.0612.4520.420.43-15.140.160.5-
2021/90.05-9.62-57.140.38-18.690.160.74去年上半年受COVID-19疫情影響,客戶將交期順延多集中於9月出貨,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2021/80.05-7.7913.010.33-5.920.180.66-
2021/70.06-11.8279.780.27-8.990.170.7去年同期受COVID-19疫情影響,營收較少。
2021/60.0746.5241.450.21-20.00.160.89-
2021/50.051.1215.810.15-33.370.141.04-
2021/40.052.51-1.390.1-44.270.091.54-
2021/30.042677.3545.550.05-59.140.052.4受COVID-19疫情影響致今年累計營收較去年減少.
2021/20.0-81.0-96.730.01-90.240.043.09受COVID-19疫情影響及工廠生產線2月份春節假期休長假,致營收較去年減少.
2021/10.01-73.93-84.330.01-84.330.081.69受COVID-19疫情影響,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/120.03-12.07-79.630.58-48.40.111.05受COVID-19疫情影響,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/110.04-20.66-62.420.54-43.270.20.61受COVID-19疫情影響,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/100.05-59.97-33.850.51-41.110.210.57-
2020/90.12138.3139.590.46-41.750.20.71-
2020/80.0546.68-42.920.35-51.190.131.09受COVID-19疫情影響,故營收下降。
2020/70.03-30.61-71.960.3-52.310.121.17受COVID-19疫情影響,故營收下降。
2020/60.0519.95-55.150.27-47.770.131.35受COVID-19疫情影響,客戶要求將交期順延,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/50.04-13.89-71.020.22-45.830.121.55受COVID-19疫情影響,客戶要求將交期順延,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/40.0551.31-56.650.18-32.90.121.44受COVID-19疫情影響,客戶要求將交期順延,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/30.03-37.68-59.710.13-17.180.131.51受COVID-19疫情影響,客戶要求將交期順延,故本期較去年同期營收下降。
2020/20.05-8.8751.580.120.660.260.77因去年同期工廠春節假期較長,致去年營收較低。
2020/10.05-66.111.750.051.750.310.65-
2019/120.1662.2121.591.12-47.50.0N/A-
2019/110.139.67-36.570.96-51.980.0N/A去年同期因客戶集中大貨出貨,故今年較去年同期銷貨減少許多。
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)200.01.1701.0001.7174.4935.8239.9215.27013.7400.2600.2900.230
2022 (9)200.0-0.350-0.4500.9868.9725.60318.99-6.750-7.110-0.070-0.040-0.070
2021 (8)20-31.034.710-1.5500.580.06.11-32.93-43.960161.090-0.2600.9900.940
2020 (7)290.0-0.800-1.3500.58-48.219.11-59.8-48.180-40.400-0.280-0.230-0.230
2019 (6)290.0-0.610-1.5001.12-47.4222.667.8-23.760-15.780-0.270-0.140-0.180
2018 (5)290.0-0.940-1.4502.13-20.8221.02-16.62-13.790-12.810-0.290-0.270-0.270
2017 (4)290.0-0.750-1.0002.693.4625.211.49-7.460-8.120-0.20-0.220-0.220
2016 (3)290.0-0.540-1.4502.6-11.8624.8419.31-11.120-5.970-0.290-0.150-0.160
2015 (2)290.0-1.340-2.4002.95-13.2420.82-22.34-16.380-13.170-0.480-0.390-0.390
2014 (1)290.00.170-0.4003.4-10.7626.810-2.1401.480-0.0700.0600.050

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