玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q4 (20)2.49-0.488.646.85143.77359.7336.550.38-47.0113.28-58.94-78.220.000-100.049.83-27.52-57.41
24Q3 (19)2.508.23237.842.8147.89238.5536.41-7.73-70.2132.34-32.51-70.430.00-100.0-100.068.75-21.29-69.59
24Q2 (18)2.31-18.09106.251.90-19.15-18.839.4622.28-51.2947.9223.5123.060.03-99.58200.087.3536.51-27.17
24Q1 (17)2.82113.64354.842.3557.7266.6732.27-53.21-77.9738.80-36.37-39.947.08-45.29-26.3363.99-45.31-68.24
23Q4 (16)1.3278.38-22.351.4979.52-52.5568.97-43.5728.760.98-44.25110.3512.94134.8596.66117.01-48.2553.96
23Q3 (15)0.74-33.93-43.940.83-64.53-73.05122.2350.8877.4109.38180.89270.155.5155000.020.31226.1088.53140.84
23Q2 (14)1.1280.65-48.862.3465.96-92.581.01-44.7195.238.94-39.721233.560.01-99.9-99.57119.93-40.48184.87
23Q1 (13)0.62-63.53-85.061.41-55.1-92.03146.51173.39567.7864.60122.841156.819.6146.0538.87201.49165.12899.45
22Q4 (12)1.7028.79-33.593.141.95-30.5353.59-22.2250.728.99-1.944.016.5843.67-67.4176.00-19.05114.08
22Q3 (11)1.32-39.73-37.143.08-90.13-4.6468.9066.0259.0529.55911.994.864.5897.41-95.2993.88122.99463.73
22Q2 (10)2.19-47.23-12.431.1976.312565.8141.5089.1514.072.92-43.19-96.252.32-66.47-99.3942.10108.83115.95
22Q1 (9)4.1562.11166.0317.69291.372463.7721.94-38.3-62.485.14-74.47-96.116.92-65.73-98.6120.16-43.21106.58
21Q4 (8)2.5621.972.974.5239.94267.4835.56-17.91-42.1420.13-28.57-72.8620.19-79.25-93.9635.50237.54117.85
21Q3 (7)2.10-16.062.793.23176.07687.843.3219.08-38.6128.18-63.78-87.1997.31-74.27-91.85-25.8190.2297.14
21Q2 (6)2.5060.2668.921.1769.5744.4436.38-37.78-40.6477.81-41.06-30.63378.20-23.85-30.04-264.0113.7728.09
21Q1 (5)1.565.41-2.50.69-43.9-8.058.47-4.862.8132.0177.989.45496.6548.4814.66-306.17-53.96-19.75
20Q4 (4)1.4814.730.01.23200.00.061.46-12.910.074.17-66.280.0334.49-72.00.0-198.8678.00.0
20Q3 (3)1.29-12.840.00.41-49.380.070.5715.140.0219.9996.120.01194.53120.970.0-903.97-146.230.0
20Q2 (2)1.48-7.50.00.818.00.061.297.750.0112.17-7.00.0540.5824.80.0-367.12-43.590.0
20Q1 (1)1.600.00.00.750.00.056.880.00.0120.610.00.0433.150.00.0-255.670.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)7.15114.7113.2886.5251.04-53.4127.49-46.379.50-42.769.03-52.14
2023 (9)3.33-63.337.12-70.68109.56172.5451.26241.0516.58140.64144.24198.39
2022 (8)9.08-49.0724.28256.0140.2096.3815.03-71.916.89-95.9548.340
2021 (7)17.83255.896.82139.320.47-71.8853.51-58.18169.98-58.38-95.990
2020 (6)5.01-14.512.8548.4472.8016.97127.94-32.59408.4022.2-207.660
2019 (5)5.86-40.871.92-31.6762.2468.95189.8046.22334.21101.7-82.170
2018 (4)9.9112.232.81-18.5536.84-10.91129.8022.74165.7067.560.94-98.05
2017 (3)8.8371.123.45-36.741.35-41.53105.7557.7998.8950.3648.21-33.01
2016 (2)5.16-1.715.45070.721.6567.02065.7730.3271.97276.81
2015 (1)5.254.170.00069.57-3.910.00050.47-0.5719.10-11.74

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