玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1112.52.02-22.35162.2814.5237.12N/A-
2024/1012.26-0.81-22.93149.7719.2539.63N/A-
2024/912.36-17.68-10.56137.5225.3743.481.17-
2024/815.01-6.817.01125.1630.5547.781.06-
2024/716.11-3.316.68110.1534.5849.31.03-
2024/616.660.7710.6194.0438.2249.611.06-
2024/516.530.6621.1277.3846.0749.091.07-
2024/416.421.7953.0660.8554.7245.711.15本月及本年增加53.07%及54.73%,主係市場需求增加所致。
2024/316.1322.6442.8444.4355.3644.431.2本年累計較去年同期增加55.37%,係市場需求增加所致。
2024/213.15-13.1153.3828.2963.5344.971.18本月及累計較去年同期增加53.38%及63.54%,係市場需求增加所致。
2024/115.14-9.1973.5215.1473.5247.921.11本月較去年同期增加73.52%,係市場需求增加所致。
2023/1216.673.5252.01158.36-13.6248.681.05本月較去年同期增加52.02%,係市場需求增加所致。
2023/1116.11.2631.12141.69-17.845.821.12-
2023/1015.915.1131.83125.59-21.5543.751.17-
2023/913.82-1.5116.55109.68-25.941.651.24-
2023/814.031.612.2895.87-29.642.91.2-
2023/713.81-8.332.1181.84-33.1742.521.21-
2023/615.0610.34-7.9368.03-37.5539.441.27-
2023/513.6527.21-24.7252.97-42.7835.671.4-
2023/410.73-5.0-41.9439.32-47.1830.61.63-
2023/311.2931.68-39.4928.6-48.928.61.85-
2023/28.58-1.7-52.0817.3-53.4228.161.88本月及本年減少52.08%及53.43%,主係市場需求減少所致。
2023/18.73-19.61-54.678.73-54.6731.741.67本月較去年同期減少54.67%,係工作天數及市場需求減少所致。
2022/1210.85-10.73-53.66182.41-29.7835.11.54本月較去年同期減少53.67%,係市場需求減少所致。
2022/1112.160.59-48.96171.55-27.4236.191.5-
2022/1012.091.22-48.89159.39-25.037.891.43-
2022/911.94-13.86-48.09147.31-22.0139.461.4-
2022/813.861.5-38.48135.36-18.3943.441.27-
2022/713.66-14.19-37.67121.5-15.2447.861.15-
2022/615.92-12.95-22.64107.84-11.1952.211.14-
2022/518.291.54-11.2391.92-8.8554.781.09-
2022/418.01-2.55-11.0373.64-8.2454.391.1-
2022/318.483.25-7.0855.63-7.355.631.13-
2022/217.9-7.01-6.1437.15-7.4160.571.04-
2022/119.25-17.82-8.5619.25-8.5666.50.95-
2021/1223.43-1.671.86259.792.4170.90.94-
2021/1123.820.724.6236.372.4670.480.95-
2021/1023.652.825.59212.542.2369.190.96-
2021/923.02.073.67188.891.8267.460.98-
2021/822.542.832.69165.881.5765.031.01-
2021/721.916.495.66143.351.463.091.05-
2021/620.58-0.112.71121.430.6661.420.99-
2021/520.61.773.78100.850.2660.731.0-
2021/420.241.760.5280.25-0.659.21.02-
2021/319.894.29-4.3460.01-0.9860.010.99-
2021/219.07-9.41-2.9140.120.7763.120.94-
2021/121.05-8.454.3721.054.3766.830.89-
2020/1223.00.970.36253.6718.8168.170.81-
2020/1122.781.67-0.5230.6821.0367.360.82-
2020/1022.40.94-3.59207.923.9766.530.83-
2020/922.191.11-3.17185.528.464.870.86-
2020/821.945.815.15163.3134.3562.720.88-
2020/720.743.523.46141.3740.4160.620.92-
2020/620.030.9212.76120.6349.660.020.89-
2020/519.85-1.4142.41100.5960.0160.780.88本年累計較去年累計增加60.01%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/420.14-3.1656.9980.7465.0260.570.88本月較去年同期增加57%及本年累計較去年累計增加65.02%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/320.795.8666.4260.6167.8760.610.82本月較去年同期增加66.42%及本年累計較去年累計增加67.88%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/219.64-2.6277.9539.8168.6462.730.79本月較去年同期增加77.95%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/120.17-11.9660.4620.1760.460.0N/A本月較去年同期增加60.47%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2019/1222.910.0960.47213.523.410.0N/A本月較去年同期增加60.48%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/115.142023/18.732022/119.252021/121.052020/120.17
2024/213.152023/28.582022/217.92021/219.072020/219.64
2024/316.132023/311.292022/318.482021/319.892020/320.79
2024/416.422023/410.732022/418.012021/420.242020/420.14
2024/516.532023/513.652022/518.292021/520.62020/519.85
2024/616.662023/615.062022/615.922021/620.582020/620.03
2024/716.112023/713.812022/713.662021/721.912020/720.74
2024/815.012023/814.032022/813.862021/822.542020/821.94
2024/912.362023/913.822022/911.942021/923.02020/922.19
2024/1012.262023/1015.92022/1012.092021/1023.652020/1022.4
2024/1112.52023/1116.12022/1112.162021/1123.822020/1122.78
N/AN/A2023/1216.672022/1210.852021/1223.432020/1223.0
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.9-18.08-34.54
24Q2 (19)3.54-28.920.85
24Q1 (18)4.98-11.761.17
23Q4 (17)5.6427.31140.0
23Q3 (16)4.4326.21106.05
23Q2 (15)3.5113.5929.52
23Q1 (14)3.0931.4924.1
22Q4 (13)2.359.3-33.43
22Q3 (12)2.15-20.66-28.33
22Q2 (11)2.718.84-33.42
22Q1 (10)2.49-29.46-50.89
21Q4 (9)3.5317.67-33.9
21Q3 (8)3.0-26.2913.64
21Q2 (7)4.07-19.72126.11
21Q1 (6)5.07-5.06161.34
20Q4 (5)5.34102.27105.38
20Q3 (4)2.6446.670.0
20Q2 (3)1.8-7.220.0
20Q1 (2)1.94-25.380.0
19Q4 (1)2.60.00.0

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