玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.526.4510.4813.8814.524.38N/A-
2024/91.430.685.1612.3515.044.290.42-
2024/81.42-0.927.810.9216.474.210.43-
2024/71.436.1211.949.517.894.130.44-
2024/61.350.497.128.0719.024.040.5-
2024/51.340.0312.046.7121.744.030.5-
2024/41.340.1318.455.3724.433.890.52-
2024/31.3411.5219.654.0326.574.030.48-
2024/21.2-18.5814.582.6830.344.060.48-
2024/11.487.4746.781.4846.784.240.46-
2023/121.38-1.0219.4814.881.564.140.34-
2023/111.390.8214.3613.510.034.130.34-
2023/101.381.3314.412.12-1.384.060.34-
2023/91.363.223.5710.74-3.093.960.34-
2023/81.322.8823.189.38-6.043.860.35-
2023/71.281.5619.748.06-9.553.740.36-
2023/61.265.119.76.78-13.553.60.37-
2023/51.25.75-7.835.52-17.553.460.39-
2023/41.131.14-15.344.31-19.893.310.41-
2023/31.126.8-19.93.18-21.43.180.49-
2023/21.054.29-11.02.06-22.23.210.49-
2023/11.01-12.51-31.221.01-31.223.370.46-
2022/121.15-5.27-20.6614.65-48.513.570.52-
2022/111.220.85-28.513.5-50.013.520.53市場需求減緩
2022/101.219.45-38.5112.29-51.463.380.55市場需求減緩
2022/91.12.88-45.5211.08-52.543.240.75市場需求減緩
2022/81.070.0-57.219.98-53.213.290.74市場需求減緩
2022/71.07-6.95-62.598.91-52.683.520.69市場需求減緩
2022/61.15-11.68-59.797.84-50.93.790.73市場需求減緩
2022/51.3-2.85-54.36.69-48.964.040.68市場需求減緩
2022/41.34-4.3-52.155.39-47.483.920.71市場需求減緩
2022/31.418.66-47.164.05-45.724.050.68-
2022/21.18-19.39-48.732.65-44.924.10.67-
2022/11.460.92-41.411.46-41.414.620.6-
2021/121.45-14.62-37.3328.4629.815.110.62-
2021/111.7-13.27-18.6227.0137.745.680.56-
2021/101.96-3.010.525.3144.466.480.49-
2021/92.02-19.26.3323.3549.967.380.49-
2021/82.5-12.5635.1721.3356.038.220.44產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/72.860.0258.8718.8359.298.570.42產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/62.860.3561.6215.9759.378.510.33產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/52.851.7163.9913.1158.898.30.34產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/42.85.6864.8310.2657.537.760.36產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/32.6515.1360.667.4554.947.450.33產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/22.3-7.8743.894.851.967.120.34產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2021/12.57.9460.242.560.246.910.35產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2020/122.3210.8653.3521.9328.46.360.27產能擴充、市場需求增加。
2020/112.097.1143.9519.6125.985.940.29-
2020/101.952.638.317.5224.135.70.31-
2020/91.92.7136.8415.5722.565.550.24-
2020/81.852.7634.0213.6720.85.420.24-
2020/71.81.7630.4211.8218.975.310.25-
2020/61.771.8128.2310.0217.125.210.24-
2020/51.742.2322.818.2514.985.090.24-
2020/41.73.0113.316.5113.064.950.25-
2020/31.653.110.024.8112.974.810.24-
2020/21.62.5933.23.1614.574.670.25-
2020/11.563.30.21.560.24.520.26-
2019/121.514.06-5.9117.08-5.350.0N/A-
2019/111.452.9-11.015.57-5.30.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.482023/11.012022/11.462021/12.52020/11.56
2024/21.22023/21.052022/21.182021/22.32020/21.6
2024/31.342023/31.122022/31.42021/32.652020/31.65
2024/41.342023/41.132022/41.342021/42.82020/41.7
2024/51.342023/51.22022/51.32021/52.852020/51.74
2024/61.352023/61.262022/61.152021/62.862020/61.77
2024/71.432023/71.282022/71.072021/72.862020/71.8
2024/81.422023/81.322022/81.072021/82.52020/81.85
2024/91.432023/91.362022/91.12021/92.022020/91.9
2024/101.522023/101.382022/101.212021/101.962020/101.95
N/AN/A2023/111.392022/111.222021/111.72020/112.09
N/AN/A2023/121.382022/121.152021/121.452020/122.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.61%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.18100.063.64
24Q2 (19)0.09-25.0-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.12-25.0-42.86
23Q4 (17)0.1645.4523.08
23Q3 (16)0.11-38.89-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.18-14.29350.0
23Q1 (14)0.2161.54162.5
22Q4 (13)0.13-40.9130.0
22Q3 (12)0.22450.0100.0
22Q2 (11)0.04-50.0-77.78
22Q1 (10)0.08-20.0-72.41
21Q4 (9)0.1-9.09-77.78
21Q3 (8)0.11-38.89-50.0
21Q2 (7)0.18-37.9328.57
21Q1 (6)0.29-35.560
20Q4 (5)0.45104.550
20Q3 (4)0.2257.140.0
20Q2 (3)0.1400.0

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