玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.14-3.1563.7134.6223.8614.55N/A訂單量增加
2024/95.3129.6196.3829.4818.8213.060.52營收成長是因湖北廠與歐洲廠客戶接單量增加
2024/84.112.1746.2824.179.3311.310.6-
2024/73.652.5846.6420.073.9710.380.65-
2024/63.5612.4642.7316.42-2.359.520.6-
2024/53.1713.3913.7312.86-10.28.740.66-
2024/42.790.35-7.289.69-15.986.960.83-
2024/32.78100.812.796.9-19.066.90.88-
2024/21.39-49.23-65.314.12-32.038.350.73營收較去年同期減少主要係本月工作時間較其他月份少(含年節期間),使得出貨訂單遞減所致
2024/12.73-35.632.472.7332.4710.790.56-
2023/124.2411.0437.5436.0148.0711.20.44營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/113.8221.4921.6331.7749.69.480.52營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/103.1416.162.0727.9554.458.460.58營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/92.52-10.0521.5224.6263.957.810.63營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/82.812.4521.2722.170.757.790.63營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/72.49-0.1433.3319.381.57.770.63累計營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/62.49-10.38-2.4416.8191.768.290.59累計營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/52.78-7.56112.4914.32130.568.260.6營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/43.0122.08115.4211.53135.399.470.52營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/32.47-38.2485.718.52143.368.520.78營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/23.9993.88424.156.06178.599.140.73營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2023/12.06-33.1445.992.0645.998.280.8營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/123.08-1.79171.0424.3280.759.30.61營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/113.141.9683.3321.2372.428.290.69營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/103.0848.45235.0818.170.657.460.76營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/92.07-10.24117.1715.0255.066.250.68營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/82.3123.6372.7312.9448.276.740.63營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/71.87-26.94120.3310.6443.855.740.74營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/62.5695.1951.468.7733.945.270.65營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2022/51.31-6.2843.936.2127.854.040.85-
2022/41.45.2431.654.924.143.490.99-
2022/31.3374.2823.923.521.373.50.61-
2022/20.76-45.9925.412.1719.873.310.64-
2022/11.4124.1217.081.4117.084.260.5-
2021/121.14-33.57-21.3713.4550.53.770.44營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/111.7186.3577.9512.3264.373.580.47營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/100.92-3.78-18.4710.662.373.210.52營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/90.95-28.623.349.6979.223.140.62營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/81.3457.7191.248.7388.573.870.5營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車頪產品訂單增加所致
2021/70.85-49.7867.977.3988.093.450.57營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/61.6985.48383.06.5591.063.660.47營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/50.91-14.27134.594.8657.883.040.57營收較去年同期增加主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/41.06-0.9336.323.9546.812.740.63-
2021/31.0776.3821.132.8851.092.880.55營收較去年同期主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/20.61-49.5856.581.8176.973.260.49營收較去年同期增長,主要係汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2021/11.21-16.6489.411.2189.413.610.44子公司營運成長
2020/121.4550.3448.638.946.953.530.37-
2020/110.96-14.6261.057.491.462.860.46本月營收較去年同期增長61.06%,主要系汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2020/101.1345.5564.056.53-3.772.60.5本月營收較去年同期增長64.06%,主要系汽車類產品訂單增加所致
2020/90.7710.68-3.225.4-11.411.980.63-
2020/80.738.52-24.974.63-12.641.550.8-
2020/70.544.4-16.663.93-10.011.241.0-
2020/60.35-9.9-31.043.43-8.941.520.84-
2020/50.39-50.18-24.83.08-5.52.050.62-
2020/40.78-11.97-1.752.69-1.872.050.62-
2020/30.88128.026.171.91-1.921.910.69-
2020/20.39-39.01-40.121.02-17.742.00.66-
2020/10.64-34.586.550.646.552.210.6-
2019/120.9762.9127.348.3629.530.0N/A本公司新增客戶,故本月營收較去年同期成長達101%
2019/110.6-13.0319.067.3822.580.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.732023/12.062022/11.412021/11.212020/10.64
2024/21.392023/23.992022/20.762021/20.612020/20.39
2024/32.782023/32.472022/31.332021/31.072020/30.88
2024/42.792023/43.012022/41.42021/41.062020/40.78
2024/53.172023/52.782022/51.312021/50.912020/50.39
2024/63.562023/62.492022/62.562021/61.692020/60.35
2024/73.652023/72.492022/71.872021/70.852020/70.5
2024/84.12023/82.82022/82.312021/81.342020/80.7
2024/95.312023/92.522022/92.072021/90.952020/90.77
2024/105.142023/103.142022/103.082021/100.922020/101.13
N/AN/A2023/113.822022/113.142021/111.712020/110.96
N/AN/A2023/124.242022/123.082021/121.142020/121.45
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.01-50.0-87.5
24Q2 (19)0.02-83.33-80.0
24Q1 (18)0.12-25.0-73.33
23Q4 (17)0.16100.0-73.33
23Q3 (16)0.08-20.0-38.46
23Q2 (15)0.1-77.78-75.0
23Q1 (14)0.45-25.040.62
22Q4 (13)0.6361.54215.79
22Q3 (12)0.13-67.5-51.85
22Q2 (11)0.425.073.91
22Q1 (10)0.3268.42-38.46
21Q4 (9)0.19-29.63-68.33
21Q3 (8)0.2717.39-27.03
21Q2 (7)0.23-55.770
21Q1 (6)0.52-13.330
20Q4 (5)0.662.160
20Q3 (4)0.3700.0

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