玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.8124.6255.771.8329.7920.39112.64-19.98-35.4949.78-23.01-16.6485.07-15.14-25.6677.34-26.47-35.5
24Q2 (19)0.6547.7330.01.4118.4911.02140.77-31.86-23.0664.66-15.23-9.49100.25-26.35-16.59105.18-28.32-21.64
24Q1 (18)0.44-34.33-13.731.19-40.2-0.83206.5851.1215.6776.2866.950.85136.1240.248.24146.7371.9814.2
23Q4 (17)0.6728.85-16.251.9930.9219.88136.70-21.7219.4845.69-23.49-16.4797.06-15.180.1585.32-28.8418.19
23Q3 (16)0.524.0-41.571.5219.693.4174.62-4.5671.3859.72-16.41-3.69114.43-4.7919.36119.90-10.6776.25
23Q2 (15)0.50-1.96-58.331.275.83-23.49182.972.45140.471.44-5.5530.63120.19-4.4374.59134.224.47116.62
23Q1 (14)0.51-36.25-50.491.20-27.71-24.05178.6056.11102.2275.6438.2831.11125.7629.7793.72128.4877.9758.44
22Q4 (13)0.80-10.11-33.881.6612.93-12.63114.4112.2952.6554.70-11.7914.3496.911.0881.0472.196.114.25
22Q3 (12)0.89-25.83-3.261.47-11.455.0101.8933.872.7962.0113.38-4.3695.8739.2624.4968.039.8-21.76
22Q2 (11)1.2016.510.091.665.06-6.7476.11-13.82-8.7654.69-5.27.2168.846.0410.9861.96-23.59-14.42
22Q1 (10)1.03-14.884.041.58-16.840.6488.3217.84-4.0357.6920.59-0.6764.9221.28-1.6481.0917.1-3.59
21Q4 (9)1.2131.52-17.691.9035.71-9.5274.95-24.3821.147.84-26.2210.6153.53-30.4926.4369.25-20.3610.27
21Q3 (8)0.92-15.6-28.121.40-21.352.9499.1218.8239.7464.8427.11-2.8677.0124.1577.8586.9520.1-7.87
21Q2 (7)1.0910.119.781.7813.3863.383.42-9.36-16.1451.01-12.17-38.7662.03-6.020.9372.40-13.92-40.33
21Q1 (6)0.99-32.654.211.57-25.2418.9492.0348.7-3.9158.0834.29-15.866.0055.88-5.8284.1133.93-11.15
20Q4 (5)1.4714.8431.252.1054.4119.3261.89-12.74-23.7943.25-35.21-16.3842.34-2.22-33.4262.80-33.46-9.43
20Q3 (4)1.2840.660.01.3624.770.070.93-28.70.066.75-19.870.043.30-29.550.094.38-22.210.0
20Q2 (3)0.91-4.210.01.09-17.420.099.483.870.083.3020.760.061.46-12.30.0121.3328.160.0
20Q1 (2)0.95-15.180.01.32-25.00.095.7717.930.068.9833.370.070.0810.210.094.6736.530.0
19Q4 (1)1.120.00.01.760.00.081.210.00.051.720.00.063.590.00.069.340.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)2.23-15.216.043.42163.7618.0260.40-3.31123.5518.73100.613.54
2022 (9)2.63-38.265.84-22.85138.7661.9562.4729.55104.0690.1797.1722.72
2021 (8)4.2617.037.5730.5285.68-14.4948.22-23.3954.72-20.1679.18-16.31
2020 (7)3.64-31.715.80-23.58100.2046.2362.9430.9368.5478.1294.6121.11
2019 (6)5.33-8.897.5914.3168.529.8148.07-12.4938.48204.1978.12-25.37
2018 (5)5.8522.136.6444.6662.40-18.0654.93-30.9712.658.21104.68-27.32
2017 (4)4.7916.554.5919.5376.15-14.2679.57-16.211.6919.65144.03-17.22
2016 (3)4.117.033.8434.7488.82-6.6594.95-25.739.7714.94173.99-18.89
2015 (2)3.842.132.85-7.4795.15-1.99127.857.828.5017.4214.502.92
2014 (1)3.760.273.08-9.4197.08-0.36118.5810.37.2416.59208.424.88

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