玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.58-6.24-39.7516.23-27.444.67N/A-
2024/91.6819.99-33.0114.65-25.814.560.53-
2024/81.4-4.91-43.4712.96-24.764.650.52-
2024/71.48-16.49-36.6811.56-21.64.550.53-
2024/61.7735.08-23.7410.08-18.774.590.48-
2024/51.31-13.77-38.988.31-17.634.390.5-
2024/41.52-2.81-26.677.01-11.874.630.47-
2024/31.560.72-23.875.49-6.675.490.44-
2024/21.55-34.72-18.243.932.546.610.37-
2024/12.38-11.4622.952.3822.957.80.31-
2023/122.68-2.199.2427.79-13.448.050.34-
2023/112.744.665.9725.11-15.317.880.34-
2023/102.624.24-3.1822.36-17.357.620.36-
2023/92.511.261.4519.74-18.937.330.38-
2023/82.486.54.5117.23-21.247.130.39-
2023/72.330.57-16.1814.74-24.386.790.41-
2023/62.328.07-26.2312.41-25.746.530.35-
2023/52.153.63-35.1310.1-25.636.270.36-
2023/42.070.88-34.87.95-22.576.020.38-
2023/32.058.17-30.165.88-17.095.880.44-
2023/21.9-1.83-2.073.83-7.846.280.41-
2023/11.93-21.33-12.881.93-12.886.980.37-
2022/122.46-5.12-11.6432.1139.87.750.37-
2022/112.59-4.3737.5529.6546.897.770.37-
2022/102.719.2238.0527.0647.857.560.38-
2022/92.484.3133.6924.3549.027.640.41-
2022/82.38-14.5730.0921.8750.988.30.38營收增加主要係客戶需求增加
2022/72.78-11.4957.8919.554.09.230.34營收增加主要係客戶需求增加
2022/63.14-4.9676.0716.7253.379.620.33營收增加主要係客戶需求增加
2022/53.314.1572.213.5748.929.420.33主要係客戶需求增加
2022/43.178.0656.010.2742.718.050.39營收增加係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/32.9451.745.127.0937.477.090.49-
2022/21.94-12.6744.364.1532.536.930.5-
2022/12.22-20.2123.682.2223.686.880.5-
2021/122.7847.730.0622.96-25.536.620.45-
2021/111.88-4.02-17.4420.18-29.675.70.53-
2021/101.965.78-28.4718.3-30.725.640.53-
2021/91.851.5-42.2216.34-30.985.440.46-
2021/81.833.67-43.3214.49-29.225.370.47-
2021/71.76-1.29-41.0112.66-26.595.470.46-
2021/61.78-7.05-41.4610.9-23.575.740.39-
2021/51.92-5.63-39.349.11-18.75.980.37-
2021/42.040.52-33.947.19-10.595.40.41-
2021/32.0250.9-9.65.163.95.160.47-
2021/21.34-25.1767.723.1315.05.270.46去年二月受疫情影響,今年無此情形。
2021/11.79-16.1-6.891.79-6.896.210.39-
2020/122.14-6.24-13.9530.8427.197.160.35-
2020/112.28-16.852.0328.731.898.230.31-
2020/102.74-14.5432.2826.4235.39.170.27-
2020/93.21-0.4240.1423.6835.669.420.31-
2020/83.227.8853.9420.4734.999.260.32係因客戶需求增加。
2020/72.99-2.0451.917.2531.959.20.32本月增減比例達50%,係因客戶需求增加
2020/63.05-3.6980.3214.2628.429.30.27係因客戶需求增加。
2020/53.172.7575.8411.2119.098.490.3本月增減百分比達50%以上,係因客戶需求增加。
2020/43.0837.5765.638.055.686.120.41本月增減百分比達50%以上,係因客戶需求增加。
2020/32.24179.9913.44.97-13.74.970.54-
2020/20.8-58.46-50.682.73-27.865.210.51受肺炎疫情影響
2020/11.93-22.46-10.711.93-10.716.640.4-
2019/122.4811.1733.0624.25-0.360.0N/A-
2019/112.237.794.2921.76-3.140.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.382023/11.932022/12.222021/11.792020/11.93
2024/21.552023/21.92022/21.942021/21.342020/20.8
2024/31.562023/32.052022/32.942021/32.022020/32.24
2024/41.522023/42.072022/43.172021/42.042020/43.08
2024/51.312023/52.152022/53.312021/51.922020/53.17
2024/61.772023/62.322022/63.142021/61.782020/63.05
2024/71.482023/72.332022/72.782021/71.762020/72.99
2024/81.42023/82.482022/82.382021/81.832020/83.22
2024/91.682023/92.512022/92.482021/91.852020/93.21
2024/101.582023/102.622022/102.712021/101.962020/102.74
N/AN/A2023/112.742022/112.592021/111.882020/112.28
N/AN/A2023/122.682022/122.462021/122.782020/122.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.03-40.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.0566.6766.67
24Q1 (18)0.030.0-25.0
23Q4 (17)0.030.0-40.0
23Q3 (16)0.030.0-75.0
23Q2 (15)0.03-25.0-40.0
23Q1 (14)0.04-20.0-33.33
22Q4 (13)0.05-58.33-37.5
22Q3 (12)0.12140.0-20.0
22Q2 (11)0.05-16.67-16.67
22Q1 (10)0.06-25.050.0
21Q4 (9)0.08-46.67-27.27
21Q3 (8)0.15150.0400.0
21Q2 (7)0.0650.0100.0
21Q1 (6)0.04-63.640.0
20Q4 (5)0.11266.67266.67
20Q3 (4)0.030.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.03-25.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0433.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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