玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.24-6.42-17.183.1817.50.78N/A-
2024/90.25-14.4814.432.9421.560.841.1-
2024/80.290.21-9.062.6922.270.861.07-
2024/70.297.332.632.427.660.891.03-
2024/60.27-16.66-17.862.1127.00.980.92-
2024/50.33-12.7555.141.8338.261.120.8客戶業務成長
2024/40.38-10.2211.991.535.061.160.78-
2024/30.4215.3418.11.1344.991.130.81-
2024/20.364.3599.790.7167.460.930.98客戶業務成長
2024/10.3555.2643.260.3543.260.81.14-
2023/120.22-3.94-36.833.16-14.580.741.19-
2023/110.23-17.86-39.962.94-12.220.741.19-
2023/100.2829.31-15.142.71-8.580.831.06-
2023/90.22-32.04-14.812.42-7.740.760.98-
2023/80.3246.150.292.2-6.970.880.86-
2023/70.22-33.5422.11.88-8.120.760.98-
2023/60.3357.48.91.66-11.060.880.76-
2023/50.21-37.02-50.011.33-14.970.90.74本月營收較去年同期減少主係內銷減少
2023/40.34-5.3247.961.11-1.930.870.77-
2023/30.3595.135.670.78-14.370.780.81-
2023/20.18-25.165.40.42-26.090.780.81-
2023/10.24-31.54-39.590.24-39.590.990.64-
2022/120.35-8.71-3.013.7-13.471.080.51-
2022/110.3916.09-13.753.35-14.440.980.56-
2022/100.3329.82-11.312.96-14.530.910.6-
2022/90.26-19.99-31.462.63-14.930.760.58-
2022/80.3277.9210.532.37-12.630.810.54-
2022/70.18-40.72-53.132.05-15.420.910.48本月營收較去年同期減少53%主係外銷減少
2022/60.31-27.74-6.161.86-8.260.950.45-
2022/50.4286.411.081.56-8.660.980.44-
2022/40.23-32.38-21.451.14-14.330.730.59-
2022/30.3494.63-17.840.91-12.340.910.48-
2022/20.17-57.12-34.590.57-8.770.940.47-
2022/10.49.919.80.49.81.220.36-
2021/120.37-18.8238.244.2831.591.190.31-
2021/110.4519.3783.833.9131.01.20.31本月營收較去年同期增加主係外銷增加
2021/100.380.325.083.4626.281.040.35-
2021/90.3829.0414.133.0929.471.050.3-
2021/80.29-24.5538.572.7131.931.00.32-
2021/70.3918.6652.052.4231.181.090.29本月營收較去年同期增加52%主係外銷增加
2021/60.33-14.4628.452.0327.840.990.32-
2021/50.3831.7940.51.7127.731.080.3-
2021/40.29-29.2710.911.3324.480.960.33-
2021/30.4154.96-1.951.0428.861.040.33-
2021/20.26-28.0152.920.6361.870.890.38本月營收較去年同期增加係大陸客戶訂單增加。
2021/10.3738.3869.00.3769.00.880.39本月營收增加係國外客戶年假前提前備貨,出貨增加。
2020/120.267.94-15.033.25-6.080.870.4-
2020/110.24-31.75-5.652.99-5.190.930.37-
2020/100.368.9660.522.74-5.150.90.39本月國外出貨較前期增加
2020/90.3356.67-21.92.38-10.650.790.49-
2020/80.21-17.210.262.05-8.540.720.54-
2020/70.250.24-3.411.84-9.450.780.5-
2020/60.25-6.44-25.311.59-10.350.780.42-
2020/50.274.04-15.051.34-6.810.960.35-
2020/40.26-38.5927.411.07-4.450.860.39-
2020/30.42146.06-10.210.81-10.770.810.44-
2020/20.17-20.44-6.140.39-11.380.70.51-
2020/10.22-30.42-15.140.22-15.140.790.46-
2019/120.3119.8511.713.46-14.830.0N/A-
2019/110.2616.11-26.213.15-16.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.352023/10.242022/10.42021/10.372020/10.22
2024/20.362023/20.182022/20.172021/20.262020/20.17
2024/30.422023/30.352022/30.342021/30.412020/30.42
2024/40.382023/40.342022/40.232021/40.292020/40.26
2024/50.332023/50.212022/50.422021/50.382020/50.27
2024/60.272023/60.332022/60.312021/60.332020/60.25
2024/70.292023/70.222022/70.182021/70.392020/70.25
2024/80.292023/80.322022/80.322021/80.292020/80.21
2024/90.252023/90.222022/90.262021/90.382020/90.33
2024/100.242023/100.282022/100.332021/100.382020/100.36
N/AN/A2023/110.232022/110.392021/110.452020/110.24
N/AN/A2023/120.222022/120.352021/120.372020/120.26
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.18-25.0-56.1
24Q2 (19)0.24-14.29-11.11
24Q1 (18)0.28-17.65-3.45
23Q4 (17)0.34-17.0730.77
23Q3 (16)0.4151.8557.69
23Q2 (15)0.27-6.93.85
23Q1 (14)0.2911.5426.09
22Q4 (13)0.260.04.0
22Q3 (12)0.260.013.04
22Q2 (11)0.2613.048.33
22Q1 (10)0.23-8.0-4.17
21Q4 (9)0.258.74.17
21Q3 (8)0.23-4.17-17.86
21Q2 (7)0.240.014.29
21Q1 (6)0.240.020.0
20Q4 (5)0.24-14.294.35
20Q3 (4)0.2833.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.215.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2-13.040.0
19Q4 (1)0.230.00.0

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