玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1025.77-2.632.72250.6914.7280.82N/A-
2024/926.47-7.4133.77224.9216.2881.970.38-
2024/828.586.1734.03198.4514.2879.510.4-
2024/726.9212.1339.11169.8711.5276.040.41-
2024/624.01-4.3918.96142.957.573.00.42-
2024/525.115.1310.1118.945.4573.430.41-
2024/423.88-2.2310.493.834.2770.70.43-
2024/324.439.15-6.169.942.3469.940.38-
2024/222.38-3.236.0845.517.5370.020.38-
2024/123.13-5.618.9723.138.9772.940.36-
2023/1224.51-3.15-13.16268.32-36.7774.890.35-
2023/1125.30.88-15.7243.81-38.4570.170.37-
2023/1025.0826.78-30.41218.51-40.3266.190.39-
2023/919.78-7.23-49.43193.43-41.460.460.45-
2023/821.3310.2-44.87173.64-40.3260.860.44-
2023/719.35-4.1-48.57152.32-39.6362.340.43-
2023/620.18-11.51-48.39132.97-38.0664.620.39-
2023/522.815.42-39.9112.79-35.7670.460.36-
2023/421.63-16.85-42.2789.98-34.6268.750.36-
2023/326.0223.32-30.5168.34-31.7568.340.42-
2023/221.1-0.6-27.542.32-32.4970.550.4-
2023/121.23-24.78-36.8121.23-36.8179.470.36-
2022/1228.22-5.98-10.98424.4118.9794.290.37-
2022/1130.02-16.71-14.09396.1921.89105.190.33-
2022/1036.05-7.879.6366.1726.23113.860.31-
2022/939.131.1316.72330.1228.35115.440.35-
2022/838.692.8217.32291.030.1115.420.35-
2022/737.63-3.7720.68252.3132.31114.680.35-
2022/639.13.0325.38214.6834.58114.540.34-
2022/537.951.2532.02175.5836.81112.880.35-
2022/437.480.0837.18137.6238.2104.030.38-
2022/337.4528.6839.71100.1438.58100.140.4-
2022/229.1-13.3743.1562.6937.9294.40.43-
2022/133.595.9533.6833.5933.68100.250.4-
2021/1231.71-9.2725.67356.7331.6499.540.35-
2021/1134.956.2636.33325.0232.25101.350.34-
2021/1032.89-1.8833.58290.0831.7799.390.35-
2021/933.521.6447.18257.1931.5597.680.34-
2021/832.985.7647.69223.6729.4995.340.35-
2021/731.18-0.0232.01190.6926.7891.110.36-
2021/631.198.4931.33159.5125.8187.250.34-
2021/528.755.2122.29128.3324.5482.870.36-
2021/427.321.9332.5599.5825.274.450.4-
2021/326.831.8422.3572.2622.6372.260.4-
2021/220.33-19.112.1345.4622.870.680.41-
2021/125.13-0.3933.0425.1333.0475.990.38-
2020/1225.23-1.5715.5270.9821.3675.480.38-
2020/1125.634.1124.72245.7622.073.030.4-
2020/1024.628.123.28220.1221.6969.720.41-
2020/922.771.9913.76195.521.4968.720.44-
2020/822.33-5.4510.59172.7322.5969.690.43-
2020/723.62-0.5419.47150.424.670.870.42-
2020/623.751.0242.0126.7925.667.860.4-
2020/523.514.0343.61103.0422.3566.020.41-
2020/420.61-5.9110.4679.5417.2260.650.44-
2020/321.9120.8333.8758.9219.7858.920.43-
2020/218.13-4.0156.2137.0212.7658.860.43108年2月工作天數較少
2020/118.89-13.52-10.9918.89-10.9961.280.41-
2019/1221.846.276.53223.27-5.90.0N/A-
2019/1120.552.91.87201.43-7.070.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/123.132023/121.232022/133.592021/125.132020/118.89
2024/222.382023/221.12022/229.12021/220.332020/218.13
2024/324.432023/326.022022/337.452021/326.82020/321.91
2024/423.882023/421.632022/437.482021/427.322020/420.61
2024/525.112023/522.812022/537.952021/528.752020/523.5
2024/624.012023/620.182022/639.12021/631.192020/623.75
2024/726.922023/719.352022/737.632021/731.182020/723.62
2024/828.582023/821.332022/838.692021/832.982020/822.33
2024/926.472023/919.782022/939.132021/933.522020/922.77
2024/1025.772023/1025.082022/1036.052021/1032.892020/1024.62
N/AN/A2023/1125.32022/1130.022021/1134.952020/1125.63
N/AN/A2023/1224.512022/1228.222021/1231.712020/1225.23
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 24.94%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)11.39-1.89649.34
24Q2 (19)11.615.07892.31
24Q1 (18)11.051.28904.55
23Q4 (17)10.91617.76752.34
23Q3 (16)1.5229.91-5.59
23Q2 (15)1.176.36-7.87
23Q1 (14)1.1-14.06-28.57
22Q4 (13)1.28-20.54.92
22Q3 (12)1.6126.77-30.6
22Q2 (11)1.27-17.53-44.05
22Q1 (10)1.5426.23-17.2
21Q4 (9)1.22-47.41-26.51
21Q3 (8)2.322.238.92
21Q2 (7)2.2722.0426.82
21Q1 (6)1.8612.0566.07
20Q4 (5)1.66-0.6127.4
20Q3 (4)1.67-6.70.0
20Q2 (3)1.7959.820.0
20Q1 (2)1.1253.420.0
19Q4 (1)0.730.00.0

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