玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.8-8.890.2115.914.925.55N/A-
2024/91.9811.184.0814.115.555.480.42-
2024/81.783.139.0712.145.795.220.44-
2024/71.720.2319.210.365.255.00.46-
2024/61.7210.4612.378.642.854.840.45-
2024/51.56-0.720.226.920.734.410.5-
2024/41.5721.65-5.655.360.883.90.56-
2024/31.2923.65-16.233.83.853.80.53-
2024/21.04-28.91-10.052.5118.454.20.48-
2024/11.47-13.4952.891.4752.894.920.41因客戶訂單追加需求及新機種量產,訂單增加,致本月與同期比較營收大於50%。
2023/121.69-3.435.0118.623.725.250.38-
2023/111.75-2.3-12.4616.923.595.450.37-
2023/101.8-5.37-11.0315.175.845.320.37-
2023/91.916.52-7.7113.378.614.970.42-
2023/81.6312.71-11.4811.4711.884.60.45-
2023/71.45-5.5-8.49.8417.04.530.46-
2023/61.53-1.461.698.422.864.740.4-
2023/51.55-6.5516.76.8728.844.750.4-
2023/41.668.0144.155.3232.874.360.43-
2023/31.5432.7760.573.6628.313.660.62本期因汽車市場需求成長,客戶訂單增加及新機種量產,致本月與同期比較營收大於50%。
2023/21.1620.8360.392.1211.963.730.6去年同期因農曆春節休假工作天數較少,致本月與同期比較營收差異大於50%。
2023/10.96-40.58-17.960.96-17.964.580.49-
2022/121.61-19.5-9.1517.954.495.640.37-
2022/112.0-0.7112.2616.346.076.080.34-
2022/102.02-1.840.0414.335.255.920.35-
2022/92.0611.75-5.0412.316.165.480.55-
2022/81.8416.63-1.1610.258.744.920.61-
2022/71.584.915.08.4111.174.410.68-
2022/61.513.0834.126.8410.323.990.8-
2022/51.3315.4211.285.335.063.440.92-
2022/41.1520.326.194.03.152.831.12-
2022/30.9632.621.672.851.972.851.04-
2022/20.72-38.1916.641.892.123.670.81-
2022/11.17-34.2-5.161.17-5.164.730.63-
2021/121.78-0.53-2.7617.181.695.580.47-
2021/111.79-11.515.7615.42.235.970.44-
2021/102.02-6.84-1.1213.611.786.050.44-
2021/92.1716.337.811.62.315.40.61-
2021/81.8635.713.19.431.134.360.75-
2021/71.3722.34-0.17.570.653.690.89-
2021/61.12-6.17-2.886.20.823.40.93-
2021/51.210.13-5.75.071.683.220.98-
2021/41.0915.2-18.323.884.22.651.2-
2021/30.9452.14-23.432.7916.712.790.963月營收較2月增加50%以上,係因2月遇農曆春節,工作日數減少致營收減少。
2021/20.62-49.7572.231.8559.193.680.73去年2月受疫情影響,營收大幅下降,因去年同期基期較低,致增減變動超過50%。
2021/11.23-32.5353.351.2353.354.750.56兩期差異係因去年1月農曆春節工作天數減少且玻璃事業終止營運,另109年下半年後台灣接單增加所致。
2020/121.838.1833.8516.89-28.365.560.42-
2020/111.69-17.283.6815.06-32.185.740.4-
2020/102.041.5620.5513.38-35.025.860.4-
2020/92.0111.2615.7211.33-40.05.190.5-
2020/81.8131.49-21.419.32-45.644.330.6-
2020/71.3718.94-45.317.52-49.393.80.68-
2020/61.15-8.89-42.456.14-50.223.750.62上半年營收較去年增減達50%以上,除疫情影響外,主要係因集團玻璃事業終止運營及消費性電子產品部份新機種開發進程減緩所致。
2020/51.27-4.6-42.684.99-51.723.830.61本月較去年同期營收增減百分比達50%以上,主要係因集團玻璃事業終止接單運營以及因部分消費性電子產品新機種開發進程減緩。
2020/41.338.0-52.683.72-54.192.920.8本月較去年同期增減百分比達50%以上,主要係因集團玻璃事業結束及受疫情影響以致供應鏈整體出貨遞延.
2020/31.23242.27-47.832.39-54.982.390.98本月較去年同期增減百分比達50%以上主要係因玻璃事業結束及去年同期部份產品市售鋪貨增長所致。
2020/20.36-55.26-65.821.16-60.682.530.93本月較去年同期增減百分比達50%以上,主要係因新型冠狀病毒疫情所致。
2020/10.8-41.11-57.850.8-57.853.80.62本月較去年同期增減百分比達50%以上,主要係因適逢農曆春節及原東莞嘉鎂營運終止,相關產銷同步結束所致。
2019/121.36-16.19-47.1323.58-12.870.0N/A-
2019/111.63-3.81-41.2822.21-9.250.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.472023/10.962022/11.172021/11.232020/10.8
2024/21.042023/21.162022/20.722021/20.622020/20.36
2024/31.292023/31.542022/30.962021/30.942020/31.23
2024/41.572023/41.662022/41.152021/41.092020/41.33
2024/51.562023/51.552022/51.332021/51.22020/51.27
2024/61.722023/61.532022/61.52021/61.122020/61.15
2024/71.722023/71.452022/71.582021/71.372020/71.37
2024/81.782023/81.632022/81.842021/81.862020/81.81
2024/91.982023/91.92022/92.062021/92.172020/92.01
2024/101.82023/101.82022/102.022021/102.022020/102.04
N/AN/A2023/111.752022/112.02021/111.792020/111.69
N/AN/A2023/121.692022/121.612021/121.782020/121.83
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.36%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.17142.8654.55
24Q2 (19)0.07-12.5-53.33
24Q1 (18)0.08-46.67-75.76
23Q4 (17)0.1536.36-40.0
23Q3 (16)0.11-26.67-65.62
23Q2 (15)0.15-54.55-31.82
23Q1 (14)0.3332.0153.85
22Q4 (13)0.25-21.8847.06
22Q3 (12)0.3245.4568.42
22Q2 (11)0.2269.23-4.35
22Q1 (10)0.13-23.5385.71
21Q4 (9)0.17-10.5354.55
21Q3 (8)0.19-17.3926.67
21Q2 (7)0.23228.570
21Q1 (6)0.07-36.360
20Q4 (5)0.11-26.67-50.0
20Q3 (4)0.1500.0

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