玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.1532.01-17.081.417.140.44N/A-
2024/90.11-40.21-44.911.2610.920.440.84-
2024/80.1928.7520.391.1523.00.460.8-
2024/70.1410.4835.40.9623.520.470.79-
2024/60.13-31.26-3.060.8221.630.430.88-
2024/50.1974.9252.570.6927.830.430.89本月因客戶專案出貨,致營收較去年同期增加。
2024/40.11-14.32-6.00.520.360.351.08-
2024/30.1310.7617.510.3930.630.391.0-
2024/20.11-21.711.750.2638.130.410.96-
2024/10.151.1969.440.1569.440.450.86本月營收增加,主係因今年工作天數較去年同期增加所致。
2023/120.14-11.2537.21.62-25.30.490.91-
2023/110.16-7.9534.961.48-28.490.540.81-
2023/100.18-12.2930.781.31-32.440.530.82-
2023/90.230.6526.81.14-37.170.461.1-
2023/80.1544.8-38.450.93-43.350.41.29-
2023/70.11-20.9-45.580.78-44.230.371.39-
2023/60.148.19-17.340.67-44.010.381.28-
2023/50.127.77-41.30.54-48.210.351.38-
2023/40.127.1-51.610.41-49.990.331.47市場景氣不佳,終端需求下降。
2023/30.115.33-47.470.3-49.330.31.75-
2023/20.118.72-26.980.19-50.330.291.76因客戶庫存尚未去化,致本年度營收較去年同期下滑。
2023/10.09-18.05-63.990.09-63.990.311.66本月營收減少,主係因本月工作天數較去年同期減少所致。
2022/120.11-12.7-49.272.17-10.990.361.63-
2022/110.12-10.8-57.092.07-7.410.421.42去年同期因專案出貨,致營收增加,而本期則無此情形。
2022/100.14-14.96-34.091.94-0.230.551.08-
2022/90.16-36.58-34.621.813.750.611.07-
2022/80.2528.0239.211.659.990.611.06-
2022/70.220.13-11.211.45.990.571.14-
2022/60.16-23.16-23.011.29.450.621.12-
2022/50.21-11.14-1.351.0417.230.661.05-
2022/40.2416.2422.190.8323.210.591.18-
2022/30.2146.4329.340.5923.630.591.18-
2022/20.14-41.4613.30.3820.740.591.17-
2022/10.2415.4525.570.2425.570.730.95-
2021/120.21-26.1639.652.4421.790.70.91-
2021/110.2837.0281.862.2320.360.730.86本期因專案出貨,致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/100.21-15.648.151.9514.750.631.0-
2021/90.2435.0337.581.7415.580.650.98-
2021/80.18-18.3578.591.512.650.611.03本期因拓展其他業務,致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/70.224.1813.691.327.240.650.97-
2021/60.21-1.5531.451.16.020.620.74-
2021/50.2210.0616.870.891.330.570.81-
2021/40.223.0413.170.67-2.820.480.96-
2021/30.1628.27-20.260.47-8.170.471.03-
2021/20.12-35.11-17.740.32-0.560.461.06-
2021/10.1928.3915.020.1915.020.50.99-
2020/120.15-3.84-5.262.0-3.40.490.91-
2020/110.15-18.51-6.321.85-3.250.520.86-
2020/100.197.30.511.7-2.960.470.96-
2020/90.1875.2816.691.51-3.390.471.06-
2020/80.1-48.02-40.091.33-5.550.461.09-
2020/70.1920.4517.681.23-0.850.540.93-
2020/60.16-12.475.571.04-3.70.520.96-
2020/50.186.58-8.980.87-5.240.560.9-
2020/40.17-13.3-12.360.69-4.180.520.95-
2020/30.232.336.10.52-1.10.520.97-
2020/20.15-9.277.860.32-5.150.471.05-
2020/10.175.74-14.510.17-14.510.491.02-
2019/120.16-4.9216.752.07-16.010.0N/A-
2019/110.17-12.55-6.851.92-17.90.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.152023/10.092022/10.242021/10.192020/10.17
2024/20.112023/20.12022/20.142021/20.122020/20.15
2024/30.132023/30.112022/30.212021/30.162020/30.2
2024/40.112023/40.122022/40.242021/40.22020/40.17
2024/50.192023/50.122022/50.212021/50.222020/50.18
2024/60.132023/60.142022/60.162021/60.212020/60.16
2024/70.142023/70.112022/70.22021/70.222020/70.19
2024/80.192023/80.152022/80.252021/80.182020/80.1
2024/90.112023/90.22022/90.162021/90.242020/90.18
2024/100.152023/100.182022/100.142021/100.212020/100.19
N/AN/A2023/110.162022/110.122021/110.282020/110.15
N/AN/A2023/120.142022/120.112021/120.212020/120.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.03200.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.01-66.67-80.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-25.0-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.0433.330.0
23Q3 (16)0.03-40.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.05-16.67-28.57
23Q1 (14)0.0650.0-45.45
22Q4 (13)0.04-33.33100.0
22Q3 (12)0.06-14.29500.0
22Q2 (11)0.07-36.36250.0
22Q1 (10)0.11450.0450.0
21Q4 (9)0.02100.0100.0
21Q3 (8)0.01-50.0-50.0
21Q2 (7)0.020.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.02100.0100.0
20Q4 (5)0.01-50.0-66.67
20Q3 (4)0.020.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.02100.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.01-66.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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