玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.8-4.2932.8744.921.4814.56N/A-
2024/95.025.942.0940.120.2414.690.56-
2024/84.74-3.9824.3535.0817.6614.20.58-
2024/74.939.0549.230.3416.6814.150.59-
2024/64.53-3.4825.5825.4111.9413.690.63-
2024/54.694.724.3320.889.3713.430.64-
2024/44.484.9325.616.25.6811.750.73-
2024/34.2742.214.7911.72-0.3511.720.69-
2024/23.0-32.54-22.077.45-3.0810.80.75-
2024/14.4532.6715.984.4515.9811.80.69-
2023/123.35-16.23-10.7544.32-16.2410.970.7-
2023/114.010.75-8.3340.96-16.6611.150.69-
2023/103.612.34-14.3736.96-17.4710.960.7-
2023/93.53-7.31-14.7633.35-17.7910.650.78-
2023/83.8115.19-5.4929.82-18.1410.720.78-
2023/73.31-8.21-12.0626.01-19.7110.680.78-
2023/63.6-4.44-18.222.7-20.7210.940.78-
2023/53.775.76-26.1519.1-21.1811.410.75-
2023/43.57-12.44-18.6515.32-19.8511.490.74-
2023/34.075.74-24.6511.76-20.211.760.81-
2023/23.850.39-8.997.69-17.6311.440.84-
2023/13.842.08-24.83.84-24.811.960.8-
2022/123.76-13.96-22.2852.91-14.1712.350.76-
2022/114.373.46-16.349.16-13.4812.730.74-
2022/104.221.87-16.7644.79-13.1912.40.76-
2022/94.142.76-27.5540.57-12.8111.940.81-
2022/84.037.18-28.8936.43-10.7412.20.79-
2022/73.76-14.61-32.2932.39-7.8113.270.72-
2022/64.41-13.73-19.5928.63-3.2213.90.79-
2022/55.1116.52-4.0524.230.514.890.73-
2022/44.38-18.9-13.0619.121.7914.020.78-
2022/35.427.724.0614.747.2414.740.64-
2022/24.23-17.0413.069.339.1714.170.66-
2022/15.15.516.145.16.1415.150.62-
2021/124.83-7.3515.5261.6537.6715.120.56-
2021/115.222.928.1756.8239.9616.010.53十一月營收雖較上月及去年同期成長,但仍受終端客戶IC缺料、第四季需求放緩及庫存調整的影響,營收成長動能受限,無法大幅提升。
2021/105.07-11.3332.5651.641.2716.460.52十月營收較上月下滑,最主要受大陸十一長假影響,工作天數減少,影響生產及出貨實績。
2021/95.720.8635.4746.5342.2916.940.42車用電子及網通市場出貨增加;其餘市場受IC缺料影響,不如預期。昆山地區月底限電,微幅影響營收。故9月營收僅較上月小幅成長。
2021/85.672.0742.8240.8143.316.70.428月業績成長在於車用電子及大陸網通市場新產品出貨增加,其餘市場則受IC缺料及疫情影響出貨不如預期,故營收較上月小幅成長。
2021/75.561.3834.9135.1443.3816.360.43-
2021/65.482.9350.7229.5845.0915.840.4因各廠新增產能陸續到位且訂單足夠,致營收成長。
2021/55.325.5834.0524.1143.8715.560.4-
2021/45.04-2.9225.4318.7846.9213.980.45-
2021/35.1938.7732.9613.7456.7713.740.43由於訂單增加,致兩期變動達50%以上。
2021/23.74-22.1262.268.5575.9212.730.47由於訂單增加,致兩期變動達50%以上。
2021/14.8114.8288.274.8188.2713.060.46由於訂單增加,致兩期變動達50%以上。
2020/124.182.7924.6444.7833.5912.080.49-
2020/114.076.4228.4940.5934.5912.120.49-
2020/103.83-9.3823.7436.5235.312.020.49-
2020/94.226.3241.3432.736.812.310.49-
2020/83.97-3.5731.6828.4836.1511.720.52-
2020/74.1213.2639.8124.5136.911.720.52-
2020/63.64-8.4542.8820.3936.3311.620.52-
2020/53.97-1.249.1516.7534.9811.90.51-
2020/44.022.8947.7112.7831.1110.230.59-
2020/33.9169.3551.538.7624.698.760.0客戶需求較去年同期增加所致。
2020/22.31-9.6329.864.869.158.220.0-
2020/12.55-23.97-4.592.55-4.599.080.0-
2019/123.365.9630.833.52-5.530.0N/A-
2019/113.172.4917.0530.16-8.360.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.452023/13.842022/15.12021/14.812020/12.55
2024/23.02023/23.852022/24.232021/23.742020/22.31
2024/34.272023/34.072022/35.42021/35.192020/33.91
2024/44.482023/43.572022/44.382021/45.042020/44.02
2024/54.692023/53.772022/55.112021/55.322020/53.97
2024/64.532023/63.62022/64.412021/65.482020/63.64
2024/74.932023/73.312022/73.762021/75.562020/74.12
2024/84.742023/83.812022/84.032021/85.672020/83.97
2024/95.022023/93.532022/94.142021/95.722020/94.22
2024/104.82023/103.612022/104.222021/105.072020/103.83
N/AN/A2023/114.02022/114.372021/115.222020/114.07
N/AN/A2023/123.352022/123.762021/124.832020/124.18
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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