玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1017.7-7.2912.57175.86-23.751.85N/A-
2024/919.126.83-18.98158.16-26.3549.511.46-
2024/815.06-1.97-19.78139.06-27.2651.131.41-
2024/715.36-25.85-5.62124.01-28.0753.921.34-
2024/620.7216.07-24.26108.65-30.4256.841.22-
2024/517.85-2.37-27.3287.93-31.7258.031.19-
2024/418.28-16.51-28.4270.08-32.7653.751.29-
2024/321.961.43-34.7751.8-34.1751.81.41-
2024/213.57-16.96-43.2229.9-33.7261.881.18-
2024/116.34-48.9-23.0316.34-23.0368.481.07-
2023/1231.9758.49-12.31282.63-15.9667.871.1-
2023/1120.1728.29-33.82250.66-16.4159.471.25-
2023/1015.72-33.29-38.25230.48-14.4458.061.28-
2023/923.5725.57-31.0214.76-11.9558.611.37-
2023/818.7715.33-38.62191.19-8.8562.41.29-
2023/716.27-40.5-40.95172.42-3.7768.191.18-
2023/627.3511.38-28.89156.152.9877.450.96-
2023/524.56-3.844.3128.7913.8283.670.89-
2023/425.54-23.9222.43104.2316.3283.010.89-
2023/333.5740.5216.778.6914.4678.691.2-
2023/223.8912.5514.845.1212.8581.581.16-
2023/121.23-41.7810.7321.2310.7388.171.07-
2022/1236.4619.6131.41336.3420.7192.411.02-
2022/1130.4819.770.39299.8819.5390.111.05主係缺料情況緩解, 出貨增加所致
2022/1025.47-25.4638.07269.3915.6290.211.04-
2022/934.1611.727.26243.9313.6992.311.18-
2022/830.5810.9556.15209.7711.7596.611.13主係缺料情況緩解, 出貨增加所致
2022/727.56-28.3533.6179.186.5889.571.22-
2022/638.4763.3941.17151.622.882.871.37-
2022/523.5412.86-12.38113.15-5.8973.171.55-
2022/420.86-27.48-2.6689.61-4.0270.441.61-
2022/328.7738.2215.6568.75-4.4268.751.67-
2022/220.818.56-9.9739.98-15.0467.731.7-
2022/119.17-30.91-19.9219.17-19.9264.811.78-
2021/1227.7555.09-22.93278.62-13.3964.081.44-
2021/1117.89-2.99-49.31250.88-12.1863.181.46-
2021/1018.44-31.29-30.64232.99-6.9564.871.42-
2021/926.8437.07-22.71214.54-4.1367.061.3-
2021/819.58-5.06-38.35187.7-0.7267.461.3-
2021/720.63-24.28-31.7168.116.8774.751.17-
2021/627.251.39-8.29147.4816.0475.551.0-
2021/526.8725.381.35120.2423.4773.181.03-
2021/421.43-13.841.9393.3631.7469.421.09-
2021/324.877.598.3971.9344.3271.931.01-
2021/223.12-3.43121.0947.0674.9883.060.88主要疫情趨緩,市場需求逐漸回溫,帶動公司營收成長
2021/123.94-33.545.6523.9445.6595.240.77-
2020/1236.01.98104.93321.71103.2797.90.72主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/1135.332.74126.92285.7103.0796.630.73主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/1026.59-23.4594.68250.4100.193.10.75主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/934.749.34141.43223.81100.7796.710.7主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/831.775.19144.22189.0794.7491.730.74主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/730.21.51143.1157.387.0986.470.79主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/629.7512.2299.47127.1377.4277.290.86主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/526.5126.09103.5497.3871.6270.450.95主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/421.03-8.2481.9770.8762.1254.41.23主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/322.91119.1387.749.8154.8749.811.27主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2020/210.46-36.3815.8126.8934.7944.461.42-
2020/116.44-6.4450.4716.4450.4749.561.27主係因新增合併子公司仲琦增加營收,使本月營收年增率達50%以上
2019/1217.5712.9315.81158.261.390.0N/A-
2019/1115.5613.8810.03140.69-0.150.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.342023/121.232022/119.172021/123.942020/116.44
2024/213.572023/223.892022/220.812021/223.122020/210.46
2024/321.92023/333.572022/328.772021/324.872020/322.91
2024/418.282023/425.542022/420.862021/421.432020/421.03
2024/517.852023/524.562022/523.542021/526.872020/526.51
2024/620.722023/627.352022/638.472021/627.252020/629.75
2024/715.362023/716.272022/727.562021/720.632020/730.2
2024/815.062023/818.772022/830.582021/819.582020/831.77
2024/919.12023/923.572022/934.162021/926.842020/934.74
2024/1017.72023/1015.722022/1025.472021/1018.442020/1026.59
N/AN/A2023/1120.172022/1130.482021/1117.892020/1135.3
N/AN/A2023/1231.972022/1236.462021/1227.752020/1236.0
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 26.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)14.4254.5628.75
24Q2 (19)9.33-15.8712.41
24Q1 (18)11.09-10.7142.36
23Q4 (17)12.4210.8943.25
23Q3 (16)11.234.9421.61
23Q2 (15)8.36.55-5.47
23Q1 (14)7.79-10.15-16.68
22Q4 (13)8.67-5.864.21
22Q3 (12)9.214.911.77
22Q2 (11)8.78-6.112.28
22Q1 (10)9.3512.386.25
21Q4 (9)8.320.97-13.78
21Q3 (8)8.245.37-24.68
21Q2 (7)7.82-11.1466.38
21Q1 (6)8.8-8.81108.53
20Q4 (5)9.65-11.7995.34
20Q3 (4)10.94132.770.0
20Q2 (3)4.711.370.0
20Q1 (2)4.22-14.570.0
19Q4 (1)4.940.00.0

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