玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.5-0.525.9863.28.4519.48N/A-
2024/96.531.271.6356.78.7419.780.42-
2024/86.45-5.186.8650.179.7319.610.42-
2024/76.87.0222.7543.7210.1719.660.42-
2024/66.36-2.179.3236.928.1319.230.44-
2024/56.51.8313.0730.567.8819.410.43-
2024/46.38-2.3518.3524.066.5617.020.49-
2024/36.5359.130.1217.682.8717.680.45-
2024/24.11-41.68-29.2211.154.5516.620.48-
2024/17.0428.744.877.0444.8718.720.43-
2023/125.47-11.89-1.2569.95-19.6517.810.44-
2023/116.211.27-5.9764.48-20.918.770.42-
2023/106.13-4.67.6758.27-22.2218.590.42-
2023/96.436.48-5.9852.14-24.6818.00.34-
2023/86.048.91-13.9545.72-26.7317.390.35-
2023/75.54-4.68-29.3139.68-28.3517.10.36-
2023/65.811.17-31.4634.14-28.1916.950.38-
2023/55.756.58-28.5428.32-27.4817.660.36-
2023/45.39-17.38-25.5122.58-27.217.720.36-
2023/36.5312.48-30.3317.19-27.7217.190.48-
2023/25.819.37-7.0210.66-26.0216.20.51-
2023/14.86-12.27-40.534.86-40.5317.00.48-
2022/125.54-16.1-32.287.07-7.6817.840.6-
2022/116.615.97-24.7481.53-5.3519.130.56-
2022/105.69-16.7-31.074.93-3.1519.550.55-
2022/96.84-2.53-22.2669.230.1621.690.58-
2022/87.01-10.51-17.7362.43.4423.340.54-
2022/77.84-7.595.655.386.9224.360.52-
2022/68.485.497.4647.547.1423.760.54-
2022/58.0411.0913.9339.067.0824.650.52-
2022/47.24-22.73-0.9531.025.4322.850.56-
2022/39.3750.126.6723.787.5423.780.45-
2022/26.24-23.6414.9614.418.1222.580.47-
2022/18.170.03.418.173.4125.120.43-
2021/128.17-6.877.5194.3219.1425.20.33-
2021/118.786.3317.0786.1420.3825.820.33-
2021/108.25-6.1624.5277.3720.7725.570.33-
2021/98.793.1515.2469.1120.3324.740.31-
2021/88.5314.8527.8560.3221.1223.840.32-
2021/77.42-5.9611.1351.7920.0722.370.34-
2021/67.8911.8426.0244.3721.7122.260.34-
2021/57.06-3.4219.436.4820.8223.150.33-
2021/47.31-16.7810.0429.4221.1621.520.35-
2021/38.7861.7917.0722.1125.3522.110.31-
2021/25.43-31.3112.3913.3331.4820.930.32-
2021/17.93.9648.847.948.8423.00.29-
2020/127.61.422.8279.161.8321.720.32-
2020/117.513.17.4771.560.0221.750.32-
2020/106.63-13.166.564.06-0.7820.930.34-
2020/97.6314.4416.257.43-1.5520.980.31-
2020/86.67-0.16-6.1449.8-3.8119.610.34-
2020/76.686.63-4.2643.13-3.4418.850.35-
2020/66.265.96-9.5236.45-3.2918.810.43-
2020/55.91-10.99-17.030.19-1.8820.050.41-
2020/46.64-11.465.724.282.6618.970.43-
2020/37.555.3211.3117.641.5617.640.48-
2020/24.83-9.0318.5810.14-4.6116.330.52-
2020/15.31-14.2-19.025.31-19.0218.470.46-
2019/126.19-11.277.9377.73-9.50.0N/A-
2019/116.9712.084.671.54-10.740.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.042023/14.862022/18.172021/17.92020/15.31
2024/24.112023/25.82022/26.242021/25.432020/24.83
2024/36.532023/36.532022/39.372021/38.782020/37.5
2024/46.382023/45.392022/47.242021/47.312020/46.64
2024/56.52023/55.752022/58.042021/57.062020/55.91
2024/66.362023/65.812022/68.482021/67.892020/66.26
2024/76.82023/75.542022/77.842021/77.422020/76.68
2024/86.452023/86.042022/87.012021/88.532020/86.67
2024/96.532023/96.432022/96.842021/98.792020/97.63
2024/106.52023/106.132022/105.692021/108.252020/106.63
N/AN/A2023/116.212022/116.62021/118.782020/117.5
N/AN/A2023/125.472022/125.542021/128.172020/127.6
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.18%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.68-29.1747.83
24Q2 (19)0.96-5.8877.78
24Q1 (18)1.02-2.86168.42
23Q4 (17)1.05128.26228.12
23Q3 (16)0.46-14.8148.39
23Q2 (15)0.5442.1174.19
23Q1 (14)0.3818.752.7
22Q4 (13)0.323.236.67
22Q3 (12)0.310.0-32.61
22Q2 (11)0.31-16.22-8.82
22Q1 (10)0.3723.3319.35
21Q4 (9)0.3-34.78-3.23
21Q3 (8)0.4635.29119.05
21Q2 (7)0.349.68126.67
21Q1 (6)0.310.072.22
20Q4 (5)0.3147.6247.62
20Q3 (4)0.2140.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.15-16.670.0
20Q1 (2)0.18-14.290.0
19Q4 (1)0.210.00.0

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